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SCP-001-CIMMERIAN-KAKTUS-PROPOSAL Iyov ? low confidence
Cimmerian-Kaktus Proposal
Expected annual
$3.1M
One-time setup
$3.1M
Annual recurring
$2.8M
Personnel
17
Initial one-time setup costs are approximately $3.13M driven by emergency reserves, legal/escrow setup, research buildout and equipment; baseline recurring costs are roughly $2.78M/year driven by personnel, global monitoring, legal/PR, GOI cooperation, and operational funds.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.1M
Emergency Contingency Fund $1.0M
[#21] Liquid reserve for immediate payments, rapid relocation, surge operations (recommended minimum reserve).
Creditor Acquisition Contingency $500K
[#20] Contingent one-time purchase of creditor portfolios/claims (represents a mid-range contingency; actual cost can vary widely).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $480K
[#1, #16] Dedicated research team hiring/onboarding and secure IT/lab office setup (#1), experimental containment research lab instrumentation and shielded vaults (#16).
Equipment $475K
[#3, #5, #13, #25] Telephony forensics hardware/software (#3), secure audio ingest/archive pipeline setup (#5), MTF vehicles & equipment (#13), records duplication/off-site archival setup (#25).
Legal Escrow Shell Setup $250K
[#6] One-time creation of escrow accounts, shell entities, law firm and compliance fees for controlled financial-operations program.
Legal Pr Setup $200K
[#9] Initial outside counsel and PR contract setup for takedowns and cover narratives.
Undercover Training Setup $120K
[#11] Recruit/train 2–3 undercover operatives, initial safehouse and cultural/linguistic training.
Non Monetary Pilot Setup $100K
[#18] Setup costs for non-monetary compensation pilot (procurement, monitored deliveries, legal safekeeping).
Facilities $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.8M/yr
Staff Wages $1.3M/yr
[#2, #8, #12, #14] Annual personnel costs: dedicated research team salaries (#2), two forensic accountants (#8), undercover operative salaries/logistics (#12), MTF staffing & readiness (#14).
Research And Monitoring $400K/yr
[#15] Global anomalous-event monitoring / SIGINT feed subscription and associated analytic costs.
Goi Cooperation Payments $300K/yr
[#19] Payments or reciprocal concessions to other Groups of Interest for cooperation and non-interference.
Staff Mental Health $200K/yr
[#23] Ongoing counseling, memetic prophylaxis, medical screening and rotation leave costs.
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#10] Ongoing legal and public-relations actions, takedown renewals and liaison with partners.
Supplies And Consumables $100K/yr
[#17, #27] Experimental consumables and trial costs (#17) plus petty cash/operational consumables (#27).
Controlled Financial Operations $100K/yr
[#7] Operational funds to seed escrows, take ownership of creditor claims and simulate payments (conservative baseline).
Logistics And Transport $60K/yr
[#22] Travel, secure transport, per diems for operatives and researchers.
Telecommunications And Carrier Fees $60K/yr
[#4] Carrier access fees, number-blocking services, legal filing costs for warrants/subpoenas.
Non Monetary Pilot Ops $60K/yr
[#18] Ongoing operations for non-monetary compensation pilot (deliveries, monitoring, safekeeping).
Internal Oversight $30K/yr
[#24] Administrative costs for O5 briefings, ethics review boards and compliance reporting.
Audio Archive Processing $10K/yr
[#5] Recurring storage/processing costs for encrypted voicemail archive, speech-to-text and memetic flagging.
Storage Costs $8K/yr
[#25] Recurring off-site encrypted backup/storage costs for records duplication.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.8M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with monitoring, research, legal cover, HUMINT, and MTF readiness maintained at baseline levels.
no_major_escalation ongoing_monitoring_and_ops
🚨 Minor Incident $3.3M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized escalation requiring surge operations, rapid forensic response, temporary escrow top-ups, and increased legal activity.
sudden_creditor_mobilization public_leak_or_media_attention spike_in_memetic_contacts/voicemails
🚨 Catastrophic Payoff $12.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Decision or necessity to attempt large-scale pacification via third-party payments / massive creditor acquisition leading to open-ended high annual expenditures.
strategic_decision_to_pay_off_creditor_networks large_scale_creditor_acquisition_or_massive_GoI_bribes
👥 Personnel 17 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Lead Anomalistics Researcher 1 [#2] Lead anomalistics researcher included in research team salaries.
Occultist / Memetics Specialist 1 [#2] Memetics specialist included in research team salaries.
Financial Analyst 1 [#2] Financial analyst for creditor strategies included in research team salaries.
Lab Technician 1 [#2] Lab tech included in research team salaries.
Forensic Accountant 2 [#8] Two forensic accounting FTEs to trace flows and audits.
Undercover Operative / HUMINT Agent 3 [#11, #12] 2–3 undercover operatives recruited and maintained for infiltration; recurring salaries in staff_wages.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#13, #14] MTF team (6–12 recommended; 8 on-staff used here) with recurring readiness/staffing costs.
📋 Confidence Notes
While many line items are detailed, the object is highly anomalous and several costs (creditor acquisition, bribery, continuous payoffs) are open-ended. Estimates for contingency and worst-case scenarios are especially uncertain, so overall confidence is low.
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