SCP-001-DEEPWELL-PROPOSAL Keter ? low confidence
Deepwell Proposal
Expected annual
$1.9M
One-time setup
$2.4M
Annual recurring
$1.7M
Personnel
13
Initial one-time containment and research setup is estimated at several million dollars including a contingency reserve; the main recurring drivers are staff wages (security + research) and equipment replacement/insurance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.4M
Site Relocation $500K
[#23] Partial site relocation / critical infrastructure replacement contingency if area must be abandoned.
Contingency Reserve $396K
[#27] 20% contingency/reserve applied to the sum of planned one-time costs to cover unexpected escalation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $318K
[#11, #13] Downhole instrumentation and sensor array plus secure on-site lab space and instrumentation buildout.
Facilities $242K
[#1, #2, #3] Erect tamper-resistant perimeter fencing, vegetation/site clearing, and engineered reinforced cap design/fabrication/installation.
Equipment $203K
[#4, #5, #6, #9, #10] Temporary mechanical cover, remote A/V system hardware, backup power hardware (solar/generator/batteries), initial robotic exploration units procurement, and high-capacity winch/tether system.
Compensation Per Incident $200K
[#20] Budgeted per-incident compensation/settlement reserve (per incident, one-time if triggered).
Containment Engineering Consultancy $138K
[#14] External geotechnical/anomalous containment consultancy, modeling, and scenario planning.
Legal And Cover Initial $110K
[#19] Initial legal, permitting, and cover-story setup for local authorities and PR.
Attempted Remediation $100K
[#15] Baseline budgeted attempt at filling/grouting the shaft (shallow scenario); deeper remediation treated as separate scenario.
Environmental Assessment $80K
[#21] Environmental impact studies, permitting fees, and initial mitigation planning.
Heavy Equipment Rental $52K
[#25] Transportation, crane and heavy-equipment mobilization/demobilization for in-situ work.
Training And Protocol Development $25K
[#8] Development of SOPs and initial site training/drills.
Archive And Memorial $11K
[#26] One-time archive, records redaction, and memorialization costs.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.7M/yr
Staff Wages $1.2M/yr
[#7, #12] 24/7 armed security coverage (~8 guards) and dedicated scientific research team (4–6 FTE).
Equipment Replacement $132K/yr
[#9, #16] Annual replacement budget for expendable/tethered robots, cameras, and lost/damaged tools.
Insurance Premium $105K/yr
[#24] Incremental public safety liability and site insurance premiums due to active hazard.
Research And Monitoring $104K/yr
[#5, #11, #13, #21, #22] Monitoring maintenance and data storage, sensor calibration, lab operating costs, environmental monitoring, and long-term data retention.
Emergency Response Retainer $60K/yr
[#17] Annual retainer for hazmat/rescue contractor availability and on-call response.
Cover Story And Legal $55K/yr
[#19] Ongoing legal, permit maintenance, and cover-story expenses.
Psychological Support $15K/yr
[#18] Counseling and trauma support services for staff.
Training And Refresher $10K/yr
[#8] Recurring refresher training and drills.
Facilities Maintenance $7K/yr
[#2, #6] Ongoing vegetation/site maintenance and backup power fuel/maintenance contracts.
Records Management $2K/yr
[#26] Ongoing minimal records management/archival upkeep.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
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Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.7M/yr
86.0% probability / year
Normal year with containment posture maintained, routine monitoring and replacements only.
no incidents routine equipment attrition regular training/maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $1.8M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
Localized incident: equipment loss or minor field activation requiring emergency contractor activation and modest replacements.
robotic/asset loss on-site emergency response activation
🚨 Major Remediation $4.1M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$2.4M vs baseline
Active remediation attempt or large-scale engineering campaign (deep grouting/drilling) that materially increases one-time and operational expenditures.
decision to pursue deep remediation large contractor mobilization
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $6.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Public exposure, multiple casualties, or containment failure forcing relocation, large settlements, and emergency site closure actions.
public discovery/exposure mass casualty or large legal action
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#7] 24/7 armed guard coverage with shift rotations (approx. 8 full-time positions).
Research Scientist 5 [#12] Dedicated scientific/research team (4–6 FTE; midpoint used).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are order-of-magnitude only; key drivers (depth/bottomless behavior, attrition rate of devices, and potential need for deep remediation or site relocation) are highly uncertain, producing low confidence.
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