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SCP-001-JONATHAN-BALL-S-PROPOSAL Keter ~ medium confidence
Jonathan Ball's Proposal
Expected annual
$600K
One-time setup
$2.3M
Annual recurring
$576K
Personnel
6
Initial capital outlay is approximately $2,287,500 driven by site purchase/construction, contingency/reserve funds, and secure systems; ongoing operations run roughly $576,500/yr driven by 24/7 staffing, contractor retainers, maintenance and legal/administrative overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.3M
Catastrophic Reserve $1.0M
[#16] Dedicated catastrophic remediation reserve fund (~$1,000,000 minimum contingency).
Contingency Pool Initial $625K
[#24] Initial rapid-response/covert ops contingency pool (range $250k–$1,000,000; mid/high reserve chosen).
Facilities $425K
[#1, #2] Purchase of rural parcel (~$150,000 assumed) and construction of single-room secure/blast-hardened building (~$275,000 assumed mid-range).
Equipment $216K
[#3, #4, #6, #8, #9, #12, #14] Reinforced briefcase (~$12,500), detonation wiring/safing (~$80,000), camera system install (~$16,000), UPS/generator (~$20,000), HVAC/install (~$15,000), O5 HSMs/secure hardware (~$25,000), IT/EM shielding install (~$47,500).
Legal Cover Setup $12K
[#15] Initial shell company/legal cover setup and related one-time incorporation/administration costs (~$8k–$15k; mid estimate used).
Initial Vetting $10K
[#19] Initial background vetting for ~20 persons (@ ~$500 each = $10,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $576K/yr
Staff Wages $255K/yr
[#10, #11] Class D posted guards (3 D @ $30k = $90k plus ~$15k overhead = $105k) and 24/7 remote monitoring operators (3 @ $50k = $150k).
Logistics And Transport $94K/yr
[#17, #18, #23] EOD/demolition contractor retainer (~$52,500/yr mid), emergency planning & drills (~$16,500/yr), forensic/ sealed-transfer readiness reserve (~$25,000/yr). (Per-event sealed-transfer costs of $50k–$250k are one-time when they occur.)
Cover Story And Legal $82K/yr
[#15, #25] Ongoing shell company administration, NDA payouts, local cooperation (~$15k–$30k/yr; mid used) plus administrative overhead, secure archival of logs and O5 meeting costs (~$60,000/yr mid).
Insurance Provisioning $50K/yr
[#16] Operational insurance-equivalent provisioning/captive arrangements (~$50,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $38K/yr
[#7, #13, #14, #19, #20] Video storage/retention & forensics (~$4,000/yr), O5 clearance hardware maintenance & secure comms (~$5,000/yr), pen-testing & monitoring (~$5,000/yr), ongoing re-screening (~$5,000/yr), training/SOP updates & compliance audits (~$18,500/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $30K/yr
[#21, #22] Consumables & routine maintenance (batteries, cleaning, replacements ~$7,500/yr) and amortized tech refresh / replacement reserve (~$22,500/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $16K/yr
[#5, #8, #9] Explosives storage licensing/compliance & maintenance (~$10,000/yr), generator fuel & maintenance (~$3,500/yr), HVAC power & maintenance (~$2,000/yr).
Land Lease $12K/yr
[#1] Lease alternative to land purchase (~$12,000/yr) — included as an alternative recurring cost if site is leased instead of purchased.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $576K/yr
93.8% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations, staffing, maintenance and compliance only.
no unauthorized access routine maintenance no emergency detonation or forensic events
🚨 Minor Incident $726K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Limited unauthorized access attempt or system failure requiring forensic response and limited covert remediation.
unauthorized tampering small-scale forensic investigation limited covert recovery
🚨 Major Breach $1.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.1M vs baseline
Significant breach or unauthorized opening requiring large-scale covert response, EOD intervention, forensics and partial remediation.
successful breach and partial opening deployment of EOD & covert retrieval teams substantial forensic & legal costs
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $3.1M/yr
0.2% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Worst-case event: unauthorized opening with mass-casualty or large-scale exposure requiring major remediation, indemnities and full use/replenishment of contingency funds.
full unauthorized opening mass-casualty remediation large-scale covert operations & legal settlements
👥 Personnel 6 total
Role Count Notes
Class-D Personnel 3 [#10] Three Class D posted guards (may not enter) — wages and turnover included in recurring staff costs.
Remote Monitoring Technician 3 [#11] Three 24/7 remote watch operators (3 shifts) included in recurring staff costs.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, enabling a mid-confidence estimate; however large uncertainties remain in contingency sizing, per-event costs and breach probabilities for an anomalous Keter item, so figures are approximate.
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