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SCP-090 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-090
Expected annual
$15.0M
One-time setup
$33.2M
Annual recurring
$14.3M
Personnel
39
Estimated one-time setup costs are approximately $33.2M, driven by hardened vault construction, Class-OT compute/storage and initial research/imaging systems; recurring costs are roughly $14.3M/yr dominated by staffing, ongoing research, compute/storage operations and legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $33.2M
Incident Contingency Reserve $20.0M
[#17] Large dedicated contingency/disaster reserve (escrow) for catastrophic response, legal action, evacuation and extraordinary remediation; selected midpoint-scale reserve for Keter-level risk posture.
Facilities $5.5M
[#1, #30] Hardened underground vault construction/modification (airlock, blast-rated door, biometric locks, radiation/EM shielding, seismic isolation) — midpoint estimate between $3M–$8M; #30 (posture guidance) mapped here as overarching design posture requirement.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $4.9M
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #7] Primary high-resolution imaging (#3), redundant backup/multispectral sensors (#4), initial software development for ingestion/QA (#5 one-time dev), Class-OT supercomputer purchase (#6), initial SAN/replication storage hardware (#7).
Equipment $1.7M
[#2, #9, #12, #16, #18, #20, #23] Vault security hardware & installation (#2), UPS and generator hardware & installs (#9), security force initial kit-out (#12), emergency response initial kit (#16), legal retainer/structuring (#18 initial), initial intensive training (#20 initial), initial transport provisioning/kit (#23 one-time move provisioning).
Decommissioning Reserve $1.1M
[#29] Contingency for decommissioning / safe-storage plan (midpoint of $250k–$2M).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $14.3M/yr
Staff Wages $4.8M/yr
[#11, #12, #13, #14] 24/7 monitoring/operators (Class-D-equivalent contracted operators), full-time AXA-level security force salaries and benefits, senior research staff & analysts, containment engineers & maintenance tech wages (salaries + benefits/overhead).
Research And Monitoring $3.4M/yr
[#22, #24] Experimental budget and controlled testing (#22) and specialized materials research / contracted national-lab work to study indestructibility and mitigation (#24).
Cover Story And Legal $2.3M/yr
[#18, #25, #26, #27] Ongoing legal counsel, secrecy/liaison operations (#18), regulatory/compliance/self-insurance costs (#25), media/cover story fabrication and local remediation (#26), and ethical/legal oversight and compliance operations (#27).
Replacement And Depreciation Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#28] Set-aside to amortize replacements for cameras, compute nodes, storage arrays, HVAC and mechanical systems (annual depreciation/replacement reserve).
Class Ot Supercomputer Operations $668K/yr
[#5, #6, #3, #4] Maintenance, licensing and upgrades for Class-OT supercomputer (#6 recurring), support/licensing for ingestion pipeline (#5 recurring), calibration and maintenance for primary and backup imaging systems (#3, #4 recurring).
Software Development And Ml $600K/yr
[#15] Ongoing development, ML model training, validators, testing and security audits for analytics, change-detection and automated reporting.
Data Storage And Archival $500K/yr
[#7, #8] Ongoing storage operations, replication, tape rotation and archival management for continuous high-volume imaging (combined estimate for SAN ops + 1–3 PB/yr storage management).
Facilities Maintenance $470K/yr
[#2, #9, #10, #14] Ongoing maintenance of vault security hardware (#2 maintenance), generator fuel & maintenance (#9 fuel/maintenance), increased electricity/chiller/HVAC and associated maintenance (#10), spare parts & service contracts for containment systems (#14 spare parts).
Personnel Training And Drills $175K/yr
[#20] Regular training, certification, drills, external audits and procedural updates (recurring portion; initial intensive training is one-time).
Psychological Support $125K/yr
[#19] Psychological screening, counseling, rotation programs and trauma support for staff.
Logistics And Transport $100K/yr
[#23] Ongoing secure logistics contingency, transport readiness and insurance provisioning (annual contingency for possible moves or transport operations).
Emergency Replenishment $62K/yr
[#16] Replenishment of emergency response consumables, hazmat supplies, portable shielding and annual drills/replenishment.
Supplies And Consumables $60K/yr
[#21] PPE, lab consumables, camera cleaning supplies, backup batteries, seals, adhesives, lubricants, and other small consumables.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $14.3M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with continuous monitoring, routine experiments, and no major incidents or breaches.
routine_monitoring scheduled_maintenance controlled_testing
🚨 Minor Incident $15.8M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Localized incident or alignment-driven event causing evacuation, emergency response, limited equipment damage, increased legal/PR activity and short-term research surge.
localized_alignment_event temporary_evacuations emergency_response_activation
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $39.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Major containment breach or alignment sequence that requires national-level response, extended evacuation, large-scale remediation and draws on contingency reserves.
major_alignment_sequence containment_failure national_emergency_response
👥 Personnel 39 total
Role Count Notes
Monitoring Operators 10 [#11] 24/7 human monitoring operators across three shifts (9–12 recommended); midpoint staffing used.
Security Officer / AXA-Level Agents 16 [#12] Full-time armed security team (12–20 recommended); includes rapid reaction and perimeter operations.
Research Scientist / Analysts 9 [#13] Senior research staff, anomaly specialists and computational modelers (6–12 recommended).
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#14] Containment engineers and maintenance technicians (3–6 recommended) responsible for vault, imaging rigs, power and environmental systems.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst ranges supplied in notes; many line items have wide ranges (especially contingency reserve, compute/storage and specialized research). Known technical requirements (continuous imaging, Class-OT compute, hardened vault) give medium confidence in structural and recurring categories, but catastrophic scenario costs and exact contingency sizing remain uncertain.
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