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SCP-094 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-094
Expected annual
$17.9M
One-time setup
$30.4M
Annual recurring
$17.8M
Personnel
74
Estimated one-time capital costs of $30,380,000 driven by site acquisition, construction, lab/R&D seed and contingency reserves; recurring annual costs of $17,620,000 driven primarily by staff wages, long-term R&D, security/military liaison, and facility operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $30.4M
Facilities $12.6M
[#1, #2, #4, #21] Site purchase/lease and land control, base infrastructure construction, containment room structural work, and on-site accommodations (combined estimates).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $12.5M
[#12, #15, #27] Technical research instrumentation, data acquisition/compute cluster, and one-time R&D seed fund for long-term research programs.
Equipment $2.2M
[#3, #5, #6, #9, #16, #20, #24, #25] Containment cube fabrication, on-site generator/switchgear, HVAC installation, armed/tranquilizer procurement, secure communications hardware, vehicle fleet purchase, monitoring/perimeter hardware, and decontamination kit.
Contingency Seed $2.0M
[#26] One-time seed for catastrophic/exposure contingency fund.
Containment Scale Nearterm Reserve $500K
[#13] Near-term reserve to amortize upcoming containment resizing/upgrade.
Military Liaison Setup $200K
[#8] One-time negotiation/setup fees and initial liaison costs with Argentinian military/airspace enforcement.
Cover Story Setup $100K
[#17] Initial setup for cover company/front and public relations staging.
Legal Setup One Time $100K
[#18] Initial legal/diplomatic negotiation and counsel fees.
Accounting Setup $100K
[#30] Initial classified accounting and procurement system setup.
Personnel Screening Setup $30K
[#22] One-time setup costs for psychological screening and intake protocols.
Training Setup One Time $30K
[#23] Initial training program development and safety equipment for tethering/fall-arrest.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $17.8M/yr
Research And Monitoring $7.3M/yr
[#12, #15, #24, #27] Ongoing R&D program funding, instrumentation calibration/upgrades, data storage/compute/analysis, and monitoring operations for acoustic/telemetry sensors.
Staff Wages $6.4M/yr
[#7, #11, #10, #30] Salaries and benefits for security staff, scientific researchers/technicians, on-site medical staff, and administrative/accounting personnel.
Cover Story And Legal $1.4M/yr
[#17, #18, #8, #29] Ongoing cover-story maintenance, PR activities, legal retainers/diplomatic smoothing, reimbursements/liaison to military forces, and community compensation/public-safety mitigation.
Logistics And Transport $1.0M/yr
[#10, #19] Medevac/helicopter availability/charter costs and personnel rotation/travel logistics.
Facilities Maintenance $870K/yr
[#1, #2, #4, #5, #6, #20, #21] Property taxes/lease renewals and site relations, road/access and perimeter upkeep, containment room maintenance, generator fuel/maintenance, HVAC O&M, vehicle maintenance, and cantonment operating costs.
Supplies And Consumables $300K/yr
[#9, #14, #25, #28] Consumables and replacements: ordnance/tranquilizer consumables, sacrificial experimental payloads, hazardous waste/decon contracts, and routine consumables (harnesses, filters, PPE).
Contingency Reserve $200K/yr
[#26] Annual contribution to contingency fund for catastrophic scenarios or exposure.
Personnel Health And Psych $100K/yr
[#22] Ongoing psychological monitoring, counseling, and treatment programs for personnel attracted to SCP.
Containment Scaling Reserve $50K/yr
[#13] Annual amortization reserve for periodic containment resizing and upgrades as SCP grows.
Training And Safety $50K/yr
[#23] Recurring training, emergency drills, and safety program costs (tethering, fall-arrest, hazmat).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $17.8M/yr
94.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations, research, maintenance and reserve contributions.
routine_operations scheduled_research no_breach
🚨 Minor Incident $18.1M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$350K vs baseline
Localized incident (equipment damage, small containment repair, limited exposure control) requiring emergency response and modest repairs.
equipment_failure small_containment_damage limited_personnel_injury
🚨 Major Breach $42.6M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$24.9M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or public exposure requiring large-scale emergency funds, legal/diplomatic mitigation, rebuilds and international response.
containment_breach public_exposure catastrophic_equipment_loss
👥 Personnel 74 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 40 [#7] Approximately 30–60 security personnel (three shifts); assumed 40 on-site to cover shifts and supervisors (fully-burdened).
Research Scientist 15 [#11] Senior scientists for physics/acoustics/materials; part of core research team.
Lab Technician 8 [#11, #12] Technicians supporting experiments, instrumentation and monitoring.
Administrative Staff 4 [#30] Procurement, classified finance, and site administration.
Medical Officer 2 [#10] On-site med staff for immediate response and rotation health monitoring.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#5, #6, #20] Facility engineers for power, HVAC, vehicles and containment maintenance.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#30] Site leadership and liaison executive.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges but long-term growth, geopolitical liaison complexity, and uncertain experimental cadence introduce meaningful uncertainty — estimates are mid-range choices within provided bounds.
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