SCP-1037 — SCP-1037 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-1037 Instrument ~ medium confidence

SCP-1037

Expected annual

$4.2M

One-time setup

$82.0M

Annual recurring

$4.0M

Personnel

One-time setup ~ $82.0M driven primarily by a multi-century endowment and construction/equipment; recurring operating costs ~ $4.025M/yr driven mainly by staff wages and sustained research/energy/maintenance.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $82.0M

Long Term Endowment $62.5M

[#19] Present-value endowment to fund multi-century recurring costs (~$2.5M/yr at 4% real return).

Contingency Reserve Fund $10.0M

[#18] Operational contingency/reserve fund recommended for catastrophic failure response (principal set-aside).

Equipment $5.0M

[#2, #3, #4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #9, #21, #23] Trapdoor assemblies, laser/sensor grid, automated trapdoor release and conveyor/robotics, high-temperature processing furnace + scrubbers, sealed transfer/HEPA systems, redundant power installation (generators/UPS), secondary containment locker hardware, SCADA/monitoring/telemetry systems, particulate/environmental sensors, communications redundancy/satellite link.

Facilities $3.0M

[#1] Containment shaft excavation and reinforced concrete structure (40 m shaft, integrated rails/guide systems, foundations and blast/secondary-containment work).

Emergency Response Kits And Trailer $625K

[#15] Mobile containment trailer, heavy lifting, portable negative-pressure tents, spare gelatin kits and related hardware.

Cover Story And Legal Setup $500K

[#17] One-time cover-setup/legal retainer and initial records/permit handling.

Storage Vaults For Slag $200K

[#13] Initial construction/purchase of secure storage vault(s) for ash/slag and consolidated waste.

Spare Parts And Contractor Stock $125K

[#24] Initial spare parts inventory and contracts (1-2 year spares for motors, PLC modules, polycarbonate fabricators).

Ppe And Decontamination Outfitting $45K

[#14] Initial outfitting (Level A/B suits, decon stations, HEPA vacuums, suit rooms).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $0

[]

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.0M/yr

Staff Wages $1.9M/yr

[#10] 24/7 security (12 staff) ~$720k, engineers/techs ~$400k, furnace operator ~$70k, scientists (3) ~$360k; benefits/training and overtime included (~25%).

Research And Monitoring $1.0M/yr

[#16] Ongoing materials analysis, mass spectrometry, XRD/EM, synchrotron time, modeling, materials testing and laboratory research staff/time.

Energy Consumption $300K/yr

[#12, #5] HVAC for negative-pressure rooms, lasers, control systems, and averaged smelter energy usage.

Cover Story And Legal $250K/yr

[#17] Ongoing legal counsel, PR/cover maintenance, false permits and compliance paperwork.

Routine Maintenance And Calibration $150K/yr

[#11, #9] Laser recalibration, actuator/hinge replacement, software patches, SCADA/PLC support and periodic inspections.

Facilities Maintenance $65K/yr

[#7] Generator/fuel maintenance and facility upkeep (fuel rotation, generator servicing).

Supplies And Consumables $60K/yr

[#6, #14] Filter consumables and annual replacement of HEPA filters, plus minor consumables (PPE replacements).

Emergency Readiness Training $50K/yr

[#15] Readiness training, drills for rapid-reaction kit and trailer.

Incident Drills And Audits $50K/yr

[#20] Full-system failure drills, independent audits, third-party stress tests and tabletop exercises.

Hazardous Waste Monitoring And Storage $45K/yr

[#13] Ongoing monitoring/security of slag/metal storage, chemical assays, recordkeeping.

Contractor Support And Spares $35K/yr

[#24] Annual contractor support contracts, replacement of spares, and specialist repairs beyond in-house capability.

Ppe And Training $20K/yr

[#14] Consumable suit replacements, filter cartridges, and don/doff training refreshers.

Particle Sensor Maintenance $20K/yr

[#21] Maintenance/calibration of real-time particle counters and in-line optical detectors.

Communications And Offsite Hosting $20K/yr

[#23, #9] Secure off-site mirrored logs, encrypted comms hosting, satellite link hosting and backup monitoring center support.

Replacement And Refurbishment $10K/yr

[#22] Averaged budget for periodic trapdoor replacements and shaft refurbishment (~$5k–$15k/yr).

Logistics And Transport $0/yr

[]

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.0M/yr

94.5% probability / year

Normal uneventful year with routine operations, scheduled maintenance, and planned research activity.

normal_operations scheduled_maintenance

🚨 Minor Incident $4.8M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$800K vs baseline

Localized equipment failure or short power outage causing one or a few trapdoors to convert and require smelting/repair.

equipment_failure localized_power_outage unexpected_conversion_event

🚨 Major Breach $24.0M/yr

0.5% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline

Significant containment breach or cascade conversion requiring large-scale replacement, environmental remediation, and emergency response.

power_failure_with_cascade multiple_trapdoor_failures rapid_propogation_event

👥 Personnel 20 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	12	[#10] 24/7 security coverage (multiple shifts).
Engineer / Maintenance	2	[#10] Containment engineers for shaft, HVAC, and furnace systems.
Technician (Automation/Controls)	2	[#10] PLC/SCADA and robotics/automation maintenance and support.
Furnace Operator	1	[#10] Dedicated operator for smelter/processing events.
Research Scientist	3	[#10, #16] Ongoing analysis, materials testing, and monitoring.

📋 Confidence Notes

Line-item estimates are detailed and grounded in typical construction/equipment costs, but many ranges and critical unknowns (behavioral change, the unknown 1.3% substance, multi-century funding assumptions) introduce substantial uncertainty.

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