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SCP-1126 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1126
Expected annual
$214K
One-time setup
$354K
Annual recurring
$208K
Personnel
2.2
Estimated one-time capital expenditures total $354,500, driven primarily by an optional climate-controlled enclosure and initial suppression/legal work; annual recurring costs are approximately $208,450/yr driven mainly by security wages, a horticulturist, monitoring, and a sizable contingency reserve. Recurring operational items (security staffing, research/monitoring, maintenance, utilities, and contingency) dominate long-run costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $354K
Climate Controlled Enclosure Construction $225K
[#25] Optional long-term heated greenhouse/enclosure construction (high-cost, optional capital expenditure).
Facilities $38K
[#1, #3] Concrete anchor pillars and site bed stabilization (foundations, soil amendment, geotechnical work).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $30K
[#16, #17, #18] Initial genetic/fabric analysis and lab setup, trench coat conservation assessment, and freezer purchase for sample storage.
Equipment $28K
[#2, #4, #8, #10, #19] Tethering hardware, automated watering system installation, CCTV/audio NVR, initial environmental sensors, and on-site PPE/tools.
Cover Story Initial Suppression $28K
[#23] Initial cover-story/legal suppression and related one-time costs (records sealing, legal counsel, PR) if required.
Anchor Replacement Reserved $5K
[#13] Scheduled cable/hardware replacement when due (~every 8–12 years) accounted as a reserved one-time replacement cost.
Emergency Relocation Planning $2K
[#20] One-time emergency relocation planning/documentation and pre-contracted equipment agreements.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $208K/yr
Staff Wages $110K/yr
[#6, #7] Part-time horticulturist (0.15–0.3 FTE) and two security guards (redundant daytime coverage / remote night monitoring).
Contingency Reserve $45K/yr
[#24] Reserve for unforeseen events (storm damage, lawsuits, accelerated replacements); set as a percentage reserve of operating budget.
Research And Monitoring $19K/yr
[#9, #16, #17] Data storage/archival and analyst time, recurring behavioral/lab follow-up research, and periodic trench-coat preservation work.
Administrative Overhead $10K/yr
[#22] Logs, security clearances, compliance audits, SOP updates, and record-keeping overhead.
Facilities Maintenance $7K/yr
[#10, #11, #13, #14, #18] Sensor/data maintenance, electricity/utilities baseline, annual anchor inspections, grounds maintenance (pruning/mowing), and freezer electricity/maintenance.
Cover Story And Legal $6K/yr
[#23] Ongoing legal/PR/records management and maintenance of cover-story if active.
Cold Weather Mitigation $6K/yr
[#12] Seasonal/temporary heaters, frost cloths, and emergency winter rentals averaged as an expected recurring seasonal cost.
Psychological Support $3K/yr
[#21] Counseling, staff screening, and stigma/trauma management for personnel exposed to a speaking/sentient object.
Supplies And Consumables $3K/yr
[#5, #15, #19] Water consumption/municipal fees, integrated pest management/medications, and PPE/tool replacements.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[#20] Emergency relocation execution costs (crane/flatbed) are contingency-driven and not budgeted as expected baseline recurring; planning covered in one-time costs.
Climate Controlled Enclosure Operation $0/yr
[#25] Recurring energy & maintenance for optional enclosure (listed as 0 in baseline; only applies if enclosure is chosen).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $208K/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with no major incidents and no enclosure retrofit in the year.
routine maintenance scheduled inspections normal watering and monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $218K/yr
8.0% probability / year +$10K vs baseline
Localized stress event or moderate weather emergency requiring emergency heating/rental and limited repairs.
extreme cold spell temporary sensor or irrigation failure minor rootball movement requiring rapid intervention
🚨 Major Incident $268K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$60K vs baseline
Significant containment work: emergency relocation/removal or major equipment replacement plus legal/PR response.
uplifting/rootball failure storm damage requiring crane/relocation public exposure requiring rapid legal suppression
🚨 Long Term Conservation $433K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$225K vs baseline
Decision-year to construct a climate-controlled enclosure/greenhouse to preserve the palm long-term (one-time capital spend).
policy decision to prioritize conservation budget allocation for greenhouse construction
👥 Personnel 2.2 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#7] Two on-site guards for redundant daytime coverage and access control.
Horticulturist / Botanist 0.2 [#6] Part-time horticulturist/botanist (0.15–0.3 FTE) for plant care, monitoring, and sample coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges enabling a reasonable estimate, but optional decisions (greenhouse, level of legal suppression), multi-year replacement timing, and weather variability introduce moderate uncertainty.
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