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SCP-1147 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-1147
Expected annual
$1.4M
One-time setup
$1.2M
Annual recurring
$1.4M
Personnel
8
Initial establishment of a secure, research-grade greenhouse and lab (one-time ≈ $1.17M) is the main up-front cost; ongoing annual operations — staff wages, testing, waste disposal, and contingency/reserve funds — drive recurring costs (~$1.35M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.2M
Facilities $400K
[#1] Construction of a 10 m × 30 m sealed greenhouse including foundation, security fencing and airlock; midpoint capital estimate used.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $398K
[#12, #17, #25, #30] In‑house analytical capital (GC–MS/ICP–MS/HPLC etc.), initial containment protocol development and training, LIMS/record-keeping system setup, and initial curation/seed‑bank/archive setup.
Equipment $297K
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #6, #9, #10, #26, #28, #29] HVAC installation, backup generator/UPS purchase, planters and opaque seed containers for ~50 specimens, handling tools and autoclave, initial reusable PPE, CCTV installation, entry air-shower / screening hardware, laboratory refrigeration/freezers, planter sensors, and specialized chemical PPE initial equipment.
Secure Transport Vehicle $60K
[#21] Purchase of a modified secure van for specimen/sample transport (alternative: contracted transport is recurring).
Cover Story Initial $25K
[#23, #24] Initial PR/cover-story and initial legal/PR setup costs to establish plausible public-facing identity (e.g., agricultural research center).
Containment Scaling Initial $0
[#31] Reserve/placeholder for initial scaling costs per additional specimens (not required for baseline 50‑specimen program).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.4M/yr
Staff Wages $640K/yr
[#7, #8, #16] Greenhouse technicians (2 FTEs) and security staff (3 FTEs) plus research staff (senior scientist(s) and junior researchers/postdocs) salaries and benefits.
D Class Testing $150K/yr
[#14] Budgeted cost for ethically fraught subject-testing alternatives / recruitment, compensation, medical monitoring and legal oversight if D‑class style testing is used or contracted substitutes employed.
Research And Monitoring $130K/yr
[#12, #13] Operational lab consumables and reagents for in-house analysis and routine outsourcing, plus food-safety/toxicology testing throughput (outsourced testing budget mid-range).
Contingency Reserve $100K/yr
[#22] Annual reserve allocation for remediation/field response in the event of accidental dispersal; scalable for larger incidents.
Cover Story And Legal $81K/yr
[#23, #24, #25] Annual insurance/legal retainer and compliance; ongoing PR/cover-story maintenance and liaison; data/record-keeping maintenance and secure backups.
Incident Forensic Reserve $35K/yr
[#27] Yearly reserve for incident investigation, independent consultants, and third‑party verification.
Facilities Maintenance $30K/yr
[#2, #3, #9, #10] HVAC/dehumidification filter replacement and maintenance, generator fuel/testing and maintenance, CCTV/hardware maintenance, and entry/exit screening system upkeep.
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#21] Annual operating cost for secure specimen/sample transport (vehicle upkeep, driver/secure courier or contracted trips).
Hazardous Waste Disposal $30K/yr
[#11] Contracted hazardous waste handling and disposal (incineration/chemical remediation) contingency for contaminated plant waste.
Medical Monitoring $30K/yr
[#15] Occupational health, baseline and post‑exposure screenings, emergency care readiness and quarantine capacity costs.
Energy Costs $30K/yr
[#20] Electricity for lighting, continuous environmental control, heating/cooling loads for greenhouse and lab.
Supplies And Consumables $26K/yr
[#6, #18, #19] Consumable PPE/disposables, replacement substrates/media for planters, and distilled/treated water and nutrient solutions.
Chemical Ppe Replenishment $12K/yr
[#29] Replenishment of specialized chemical‑protection suits, cartridges, decon chemicals and respirator supplies.
Training Refresher $10K/yr
[#17] Annual refresher training, SOP updates, and documentation upkeep.
Audit And External Review $10K/yr
[#32] Periodic independent audits of containment and safety protocols (annual/biannual).
Curation And Archiving $6K/yr
[#30] Annual costs for seed‑bank maintenance, archival sample management and secure long‑term storage.
Sensor Maintenance $2K/yr
[#28] Ongoing maintenance/calibration for planter sensors and telemetry.
Cold Storage Energy $1K/yr
[#26] Electricity and minor maintenance for refrigerators/freezers used for sample storage.
Containment Scaling Reserve $0/yr
[#31] Ongoing reserve for scaling containment per additional specimen groups (budgeted when/if expansion occurs).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.4M/yr
84.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine testing, maintenance and no major containment incidents.
routine_operations scheduled_testing no_dispersal_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $1.5M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized escape or contamination requiring targeted remediation and investigation.
small_seed_dispersal localized_contamination single‑planter_failure
🚨 Major Breach $2.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Significant dispersal or contamination event requiring large‑scale remediation, public mitigation and legal response.
widespread_seed_release environmental_contamination public_exposure
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $1.8M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Discovery or promising result that triggers accelerated testing and rapid scaling of containment/research capacity.
high‑value_research_result approval_to_scale_testing
👥 Personnel 8 total
Role Count Notes
Greenhouse Technician 2 Full-time technicians to tend ~50 planters, watering, monitoring and routine handling [#7].
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 Onsite security for 24/7 coverage via rotating shifts (midpoint staffing assumption) [#8].
Research Scientist 3 Senior researcher(s) plus junior researchers/postdocs responsible for test approvals, experimental design and oversight (salary budget included) [#16].
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide mid‑range estimates and explicit line items for most costs, but many items are scenario-dependent (waste disposal, D‑class testing, remediation) and contain wide ranges; therefore confidence is moderate.
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