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SCP-1151 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1151
Expected annual
$472K
One-time setup
$221K
Annual recurring
$458K
Personnel
4.3
Initial one-time setup is estimated at $221,000 driven primarily by an emergency reserve, equipment purchases (vehicle, restraint bed, pumps) and modest facility refit; recurring annual costs are approximately $457,950/yr dominated by security wages and medical readiness.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $221K
Emergency Reserve One Time $100K
[#22] One-time emergency capital/reserve for unexpected containment upgrades or rapid construction (~$100,000 chosen midpoint of $50k-$200k).
Equipment $82K
[#3, #5, #8, #9, #10, #17, #18] Secure sealed containers and tamper sensors (~$3,500), CCTV equipment (~$3,000), infusion pump(s) (~$3,000), trauma kit (~$2,000), restraint/padded bed (~$15,000), vehicle purchase (~$50,000), record-keeping system setup (~$6,000).
Facilities $28K
[#4, #10, #11] Containment cell/locker refit (~$20,000), wall padding (~$6,500) and decontamination/handwash station installation (~$2,000).
Initial Training $10K
[#19] Initial training course for security/medical/research staff and SOP rollout (~$10,000 one-time).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $458K/yr
Staff Wages $240K/yr
[#1, #2, #6] 24/7 security coverage (~4 FTE ≈ $200,000/yr), security overtime/contingency (~$15,000/yr), and partial nurse allocation/on-call premiums (~$25,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $40K/yr
[#16] Annual budget for investigations, cover narratives, legal contingency and modest compensation (~$40,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $38K/yr
[#13, #14] Outsourced imaging/pathology and research contingency (~$20,000/yr) plus researcher time/authorization/admin overhead (~$18,000/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $30K/yr
[#8, #9, #11, #12, #20, #24] IV consumables and TPN (~$10,000/yr), wound/trauma consumables (~$3,000/yr), PPE/gloves (~$1,250/yr), biohazard cleanup contingency (~$5,000/yr), lab/testing consumables (~$6,000/yr), and mortuary/disposition budget (~$5,000/yr).
Emergency Reserve Recurring $25K/yr
[#22] Recurring contingency contribution to allow rapid upgrades if anomalous behavior escalates (~$25,000/yr).
Logistics And Transport $20K/yr
[#17] Per-transfer staffing/vehicle/escort costs averaged annually (assume several transfers per year ≈ $20,000/yr).
Insurance And Risk Management $20K/yr
[#25] Internal accounting for worker comp, risk audits and medical liabilities (~$20,000/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $15K/yr
[#5, #17, #18] CCTV storage/maintenance (~$1,000/yr), vehicle running/maintenance if owned (~$10,000/yr), and record-keeping system maintenance (~$2,000/yr) plus modest facility upkeep (~$2,000/yr).
Incident Medical Response Fund $10K/yr
[#7] Annualized contingency for surgical/OR/transfusion-level trauma response (expected/pooling for occasional incidents; per-incident range $10k–$100k).
Redundant Specimen Storage $10K/yr
[#21] Pro rata holding bed/monitoring allocation for quarantine/redundant specimen policy (~$10,000/yr).
Psychological Support $6K/yr
[#15] Staff counseling and EAP budget (~$6,000/yr).
Training And Drills $3K/yr
[#19] Annual refresher training and drills / SOP update budget (~$3,000/yr).
Energy And Utilities $700/yr
[#23] Marginal power/utility costs for CCTV, small pumps and HVAC (~$700/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $458K/yr
74.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, no major incidents.
no_incident routine_transfers scheduled_training
🚨 Minor Incident $473K/yr
20.0% probability / year +$15K vs baseline
Occasional self-decapitation event requiring medical response, cleanup and limited legal/admin follow-up.
single_medical_event biohazard_cleanup
🚨 Major Incident $583K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$125K vs baseline
Serious medical incident with OR/transfusions, extended investigation, and larger-scale containment/repair.
sustained_medical_trauma multiple_subjects_affected
🚨 Political Exposure $958K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Public exposure or discovery requiring heavy legal, PR, payouts and large-scale containment upgrades.
unauthorized_release media_exposure
👥 Personnel 4.3 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#1] Coverage requires ~4 FTE to provide one officer physically present at containment 24/7 (3 shifts + rotation/backups).
Medical Nurse (part-time) 0.3 [#6] ~0.2–0.4 FTE allocated for IV feeding/on-call nursing support (represented as 0.3 FTE).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates derived from analyst ranges and reasonable midpoints; many line items are range-based (per-incident variability, contingency decisions), so totals are approximate and sensitive to incident frequency and chosen reserve levels.
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