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SCP-1162 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1162
Expected annual
$45.8M
One-time setup
$596.0M
Annual recurring
$43.2M
Personnel
8
One-time mission development and readiness work for Mars access dominate costs (~$595.95M one-time); ongoing yearly costs are dominated by maintaining Mars access readiness and inspection missions (~$43.045M/year).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $596.0M
Mission Development And Initial Response $500.0M
[#1] Capital engineering, propulsion adaptation and testing, FS Iskander modification and the initial crewed discovery/boarding mission (development, testing, crew training, launch/transfer).
Mission Contingency Reserve $75.0M
[#15] One-time contingency reserve allocated for mission failures/emergency extraction/salvage tied to initial mission development and the first missions.
Escalation Capital Reserve $10.0M
[#16] One-time contingency set-aside for potential escalation planning or preparatory actions if SCP status changes (reserve toward larger escalation costs).
Remains Recovery And Return $5.0M
[#8] One-time option for recovery & secure return of remains from Mars (sterile/quarantine transport, mortuary preparations) if executed.
Eva Suits And Tools Initial $4.0M
[#6] Purchase/qualification/outfitting of Mars-rated EVA suits, life-support packs and specialized tools for an initial inspection team.
Decommissioning Disposition $1.0M
[#18] One-time budget for potential program wind-down/disposition options (digital cleanup, limited physical/archival actions).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $300K
[#7, #9] Initial forensic/sample analysis and secure evidence/archive setup (secure lab time, classified servers, chain-of-custody facilities, initial specialist time).
Cover Story Initial $250K
[#10] Initial low-level cover/OPSEC costs to establish plausible deniability (PR assets, legal memos, small liaison payments) at program start.
Sensor Packages Initial $200K
[#13] Initial emplacement/acquisition of small sensor packages (seismometer/Hume detectors, RTG/solar + comms relay) for site monitoring.
Camouflage Painting And Site Work $150K
[#3] Paint/coating materials, EVA time and mission-marginal labor to apply camouflage on SCP-1162 exterior.
Interagency Payments One Time $50K
[#17] One-time payments/legal fees for plausible-deniability instruments or quiet data redaction at program outset.
Facilities $0
[] No significant new physical construction or structural work required.
Equipment $0
[] No single equipment line-item isolated; major hardware and vehicle modifications are budgeted under mission development.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $43.2M/yr
Logistics And Transport $20.0M/yr
[#2] Ongoing Mars access readiness and fleet sustainment (maintaining at least one mission-capable shuttle, spare parts, flight readiness, crew training cycles) enabling periodic inspections.
Research And Monitoring $9.7M/yr
[#4, #5, #7] Orbital imaging tasking, periodic inspection mission amortization (robotic/crewed visits annualized) and recurring forensic/research follow-ups.
Longterm Liability Reserve $5.0M/yr
[#16] Annual reserve to cover long-term liability planning, escalation readiness and monitoring against status changes.
Staff Wages $3.0M/yr
[#11] Salaries, benefits and training for a small dedicated team (mission planners, pilots/crew specialists, planetary scientists, anomalous researchers, intelligence/OPSEC analysts).
Facilities Maintenance $3.0M/yr
[#19] Pro-rated share of Lunar Area-09 overhead (command center, communications arrays, labs) and facility upkeep that supports Mars operations.
Program Contingency Reserve Recurring $1.0M/yr
[#15] Ongoing program-level contingency reserve (10–25% applied over time to cover mission overruns and emergency R&D).
Supplies And Consumables $575K/yr
[#14, #20] Consumables and mission logistics (propellant margins, O2/food per mission amortized, sample containers, spare comms gear, field consumables).
Cybersecurity And Data Protection $300K/yr
[#12] Classified-level cyberdefense costs for orbital telemetry, mission feeds, archived imagery and secure comms to the lunar base.
Eva Suit Replacement And Upgrades $200K/yr
[#6] Periodic replacement, upgrades and qualification costs for Mars EVA suits and life-support gear.
Forensic Followup Research $200K/yr
[#7] Ongoing lab tests, specialist time and anomalous research follow-ups on returned/archived samples.
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#10, #17] Ongoing low-level OPSEC/cover maintenance, liaison budgets and small interagency payments to maintain plausible deniability.
Secure Archive Ops $50K/yr
[#9] Yearly secure storage, archival operations and personnel to maintain classified evidence and redundancy.
Power And Sensor Ops $50K/yr
[#13] Telemetry/relay operations and upkeep for small sensor packages (power provisioning and comms relay costs).
Remains Monitoring $20K/yr
[#8] In-situ monitoring costs if remains are left on-site (periodic imagery/tasking marginal costs).
Interagency Payments Recurring $0/yr
[#17] [] Interagency/quiet payments are folded into cover_story_and_legal recurring budget; set to 0 here to avoid double-counting.
Admin Overhead Allocation $0/yr
[#19] [] Administrative overhead already represented in facilities_maintenance core line to avoid double-counting.
Miscellaneous Small Items $0/yr
[] Misc small recurring items are included in supplies_and_consumables to avoid double-counting.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $43.2M/yr
97.5% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine monitoring, archive upkeep and readiness maintenance but no recovery missions or escalations.
routine_orbital_imagery scheduled_inspection_amortization normal_staff_and_ops
🚨 Minor Incident $48.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$4.8M vs baseline
A low-probability recovery/response event (robotic recovery or targeted crewed visit) occurs requiring an incremental mission to recover remains or address an anomaly.
remains_return unexpected_site_change targeted_recovery_mission
🚨 Major Escalation $543.0M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$499.8M vs baseline
SCP status changes (mobility, spread, or public exposure) forcing large-scale escalation such as long-term human deployment or sterilization/containment operations.
public_exposure anomalous_escalation requirement_for_permanent_mars_assets
👥 Personnel 8 total
Role Count Notes
Mission Planner / Pilot 2 [#1, #11] Pilots and mission planners responsible for Mars missions and shuttle readiness.
Research Scientist 2 [#7, #11] Planetary scientists and forensic analysts conducting sample analysis and research.
Anomalous Research Specialist 1 [#7, #11] Specialist in anomalous properties and Hume-level assessment.
Intelligence Analyst / OPSEC Liaison 1 [#10, #17, #11] Manages cover story, liaison and counter-surveillance efforts.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#2, #6, #11] Maintains shuttle/suit readiness and handles technical upkeep.
Administrative Staff 1 [#9, #19] Administrative support for evidence handling, logistics and facility allocation.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates derived from analyst ranges for space operations and Foundation assumptions; major uncertainties arise from choice between robotic vs crewed missions, contingency sizing, and speculative escalation costs, so overall confidence is medium.
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