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SCP-118 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-118
Expected annual
$260.5M
One-time setup
$1.3B
Annual recurring
$245.0M
Personnel
200
Initial program capital including construction, vessels, ROVs and a large contingency reserve is approximately $1.28B one-time; recurring annual operations and staffing are roughly $245M/yr, driven by ROV mission ops, facility operations, reserve replenishment and vessel/airborne surveillance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.3B
Emergency Reserve Fund $500.0M
[#17] Initial contingency/reserve fund (~$500M) for catastrophic detonation response, remediation, evacuation and compensation.
Facilities $465.0M
[#10, #19, #24] Hardened secure storage/dismantlement facility ($400M), interim waste-processing / conditioning facility buildout ($55M), and secure offices/data-centers / SCIF capital ($10M).
Equipment $286.0M
[#1, #3, #5, #7, #8, #9] Purchase of patrol vessels (~$48M), underwater sensor network installs (~$13.5M), deep-sea ROV/AUV fleet (~$35M), heavy-lift/DP vessel purchase (~$175M), EOD tooling/simulator (~$7.5M), and shielded transport casks (~$7M).
Medical Reserve $20.0M
[#21] Long-term medical / lifetime-care reserve for radiation-related illnesses (~$20M).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $6.5M
[#11, #13] Radio/isotope analysis lab capital (~$5.5M) plus sample containment and combined biosafety/radiological fitout (~$1.0M).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $245.0M/yr
Reserve Replenishment $75.0M/yr
[#17] Annual target replenishment contribution to the emergency contingency fund (~$50–100M/yr; midpoint used).
Facilities Maintenance $47.9M/yr
[#3, #10, #24] Annual maintenance and replacement for underwater sensors (~$1.35M), operations and security of hardened dismantlement facility (~$45M/yr), plus utilities and comms (~$1.5M/yr).
Logistics And Transport $46.2M/yr
[#1, #2, #6, #7, #9] Patrol vessel operations (crew/fuel/maintenance) (~$5.7M/yr), aerial surveillance charters (~$3M/yr), ROV mothership/mission-days (~$25M/yr), heavy-lift charter contingency budget (~$10M/yr), and transport operation costs for recovered devices (~$2.5M/yr).
Staff Wages $40.0M/yr
[#14] Core payroll for security, researchers, marine technicians, logistics and program leadership (~$40M/yr).
Research And Monitoring $9.4M/yr
[#4, #11, #12, #13, #18] Satellite/AIS/commercial imagery subscriptions (~$1M/yr), radio/isotope lab consumables (~$1M/yr), biological research program (~$4M/yr), sample containment ops (~$0.45M/yr), and environmental monitoring (~$3M/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $8.0M/yr
[#15, #16] Cover-story liaison/diplomatic costs (~$5M/yr) plus PR/legal/compensation and cover-up operations (~$3M/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $5.5M/yr
[#22] Consumables, spare parts and depot stockpiles for ROVs, sensors, tooling and assay (~$3–8M/yr; midpoint used).
Waste Disposal Operations $5.0M/yr
[#19] Annual radioactive waste processing, conditioning and disposal contracts (~$2–8M/yr; midpoint used).
Eod Training And Ops $3.5M/yr
[#8] Recurring EOD training, certifications, specialized team salaries and refresher simulators (~$2–5M/yr; midpoint used).
Cybersecurity And Intel $2.0M/yr
[#20] Cybersecurity, intelligence monitoring of publications/dark-web and leak prevention (~$1–3M/yr).
Medical Monitoring Program $1.2M/yr
[#21] Annual medical monitoring, dose registries and routine surveillance (~$0.5–2M/yr; midpoint used).
Training Exercises $1.2M/yr
[#23] Periodic joint training, drills, ROV recovery and public evacuation exercises (~$0.5–2M/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $245.0M/yr
82.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, recovery operations and no large-scale incidents.
routine_ROV_missions sensor_maintenance regular_research_and_surveillance
🚨 Minor Incident $255.0M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Localized containment incident requiring expedited recovery and limited remediation (no large detonation).
localized_device_discovery accelerated_ROV_recovery minor_remediation_and_public_compensation
🚨 Major Breach $445.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or detonation in a sparsely populated/coastal zone requiring large remediation and international coordination.
uncontrolled_detonation large_scale_remediation international_response
🚨 Catastrophic Detonation $2.2B/yr
0.5% probability / year +$2.0B vs baseline
Detonation in a populated/coastal area causing catastrophic damage, long-term remediation and massive public costs.
coastal_city_detonation mass_casualties multi-billion_dollar_remediation
👥 Personnel 200 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 80 [#1, #10, #14] Armed security for Red Zones, facility security and site protection; bulk of security payroll included in staff_wages.
Research Scientist 35 [#11, #12, #18, #4] Radioisotope analysts, molecular biologists and environmental scientists performing lab research and monitoring.
Marine Technician / ROV Crew 30 [#5, #6, #1] ROV/AUV operators, deck crews and vessel technicians supporting deep-sea operations and patrol vessels.
Engineer / Maintenance 20 [#3, #24, #19] Sensor, facility and waste-processing plant maintenance engineers and technical staff.
EOD Specialists 10 [#8] Explosive ordnance disposal technicians specializing in deep-water nuclear recovery operations and training.
Logistics / Operations Coordinators 8 [#6, #9, #23] Mission planners, transport coordinators and logistics staff coordinating charters, shipments and exercises.
Administrative Staff 10 [#24, #15, #16] Program administration, legal liaison, procurement and cover-story coordination support.
Medical Officer 5 [#21] Occupational health physicians and medical monitoring staff for dose registries and long-term care coordination.
Site Director / Executive Staff 2 [#14] Program leadership and high-level liaison with navies and government partners.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, allowing moderately confident budgeting; wide ranges on maritime charters vs purchases and low-frequency catastrophic risks lower confidence to medium.
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