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SCP-1187 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1187
Expected annual
$1.7M
One-time setup
$3.1M
Annual recurring
$1.6M
Personnel
9
Upfront capital and site acquisition are the primary one-time costs (~$3.06M). Annual operating costs (~$1.62M) are driven by security staffing, personnel (researchers/drivers), and recurring per-test operations and legal/insurance budgets.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.1M
Catastrophic Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#26] Dedicated catastrophic failure / emergency response contingency reserve for large-scale remediation or buyouts.
Equipment $780K
[#3, #4, #7, #10, #12, #13, #20, #21, #24] Trailer and inversion hardware; secure safe and access control; perimeter intrusion/CCTV hardware; heavy equipment purchase; remote observation instrumentation; communications install; vehicles (truck and vans); initial records/logging systems; initial cybersecurity hardening.
Insurance Reserve $500K
[#19] Dedicated insurance/contingency reserve fund for third-party damages/environmental fines (lower-end reserve allocated).
Test Site Acquisition $300K
[#8] Dedicated test site purchase (mid-range estimate assuming ~48.5 acres or cleared-area interpretation with some clearing).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $212K
[#11, #17, #22, #23] Initial comprehensive geotechnical/utility survey; initial specialist research program and lab setup; initial personnel training program; baseline environmental permitting/impact studies.
Facilities $205K
[#1, #2] Land purchase for remote containment parcel and construction of above-ground enclosure (garage/shelter, pad, anchor points, small office).
Test Site Permanent Fencing $60K
[#9] Permanent fencing and signage for dedicated test site (one-time installation).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.6M/yr
Staff Wages $655K/yr
[#5, #6, #20] Onsite security staffing (6 guards for 24/7 realistic coverage) and Level-1 researcher staffing (2 researchers for rotation) plus one dedicated driver salary.
Per Test Operational Cost $200K/yr
[#27] Aggregated per-test mobilization, staff overtime, rentals, medics, consumables and cleanup (assumes ~10 tests/year at a mid-range per-test cost).
Per Test Fencing Deployments $150K/yr
[#9] Rapid-deploy perimeter fencing, signage and setup crew for routine tests (assumes ~10 tests/year at mid-range per-test cost).
Research And Monitoring $136K/yr
[#11, #12, #17] Per-test specialist analysis and lab processing, ongoing geotechnical/per-test utility locates, and data storage/processing for instrumentation.
Class D Program $125K/yr
[#15] Annual Class D program overhead (transport, on-site holding, medical screening, security for D personnel).
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#18] Annual retainer and cover-story/PR/legal budget for suppressing/disguising tests, payments to landowners, and legal counsel.
Sinking Fund Replacement $60K/yr
[#25] Annual sinking fund for long-term maintenance and scheduled replacement of capital assets (trailer, sensors, fencing, vehicles).
Insurance Premiums $50K/yr
[#19] Annual insurance premiums for liability/third-party coverage (mid-range).
Medical And Emergency Standby $30K/yr
[#14] Annual readiness, training and per-test standby costs for medics/ambulance/evacuation planning (baseline readiness plus some per-test allocation).
Logistics And Transport $26K/yr
[#3, #10] Crane/winch rental and heavy-equipment rental days for site prep and inversion tasks (annualized).
Test Site Lease $20K/yr
[#8] Option: leased/short-term access to dedicated test site (annualized).
Cybersecurity Monitoring $15K/yr
[#24] Ongoing SIEM/hardened server monitoring, insider-risk mitigation and background rechecks.
Environmental Monitoring $15K/yr
[#23] Annual environmental monitoring, permitting renewals and EHS compliance sampling related to repeated soil disturbance.
Records Archival And Audit $10K/yr
[#21] Ongoing archival costs, chain-of-custody logging and audit labor for ignition key access and CCTV archives.
Training Refresher $10K/yr
[#22] Annual refresher training for guards, researchers and drivers on anomalous handling and emergency procedures.
Supplies And Consumables $8K/yr
[#16] Fuel, minor maintenance, consumables and routine parts for ATV, trailer and support vehicles (baseline).
Facilities Maintenance $7K/yr
[#2, #7] Annual maintenance for above-ground enclosure, reinforced pad, anchor points and perimeter/CCTV maintenance.
Remote Parcel Lease $6K/yr
[#1] Option: long-term lease cost for remote containment parcel (annual alternative to purchase).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.6M/yr
91.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine tests and no major incidents.
scheduled_tests routine_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $1.9M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized test damage or limited public exposure requiring extra remediation/legal action.
test_damage limited_public_exposure equipment_failure
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $6.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Uncontrolled operation causing large-scale damage, public safety response and buyouts/remediation.
uncontrolled_mass_movement major_public_casualties large_scale_environmental_damage
👥 Personnel 9 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#5] Six guards to provide realistic 24/7 coverage (three shifts plus backfill).
Research Scientist 2 [#6] Two Level-1 researchers to cover rotation/oversight for testing and data analysis.
Driver 1 [#20] One cleared/qualified driver for trailer moves and vehicle operations (additional contracted drivers possible as needed).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide broad ranges for most line items but require assumptions on test frequency, land purchase vs lease, and contingency sizing; estimates are therefore plausible but sensitive to those assumptions.
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