SCP-1196 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1196
Expected annual
$1.5M
One-time setup
$1.2M
Annual recurring
$1.5M
Personnel
11
One-time setup (purchase + retrofit) is estimated at approximately $1.21M; recurring annual costs are approximately $1.48M, driven primarily by security staff wages, legal/cover/insurance, and medical/contracted response. Major cost drivers are the decision to purchase property versus lease and the scale of legal/cover retainer and medical liability budgets.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.2M
Facilities $934K
[#1, #3, #14] Includes mid-range purchase of former clinic/basement (~$900k median of $300k–$1.5M), reinforced-basement door/installation (~$15,500 median of listed ranges), and basement lighting/HVAC retrofit (~$18k median of listed ranges).
Displacement Reserve $150K
[#24] One-time reserve for rapid relocation/recontainment if SCP-1196's area shifts (midpoint of $50k–$250k).
Equipment $116K
[#4, #5, #6, #12, #17, #22, #25] One-time purchase and installation of access control (~$9k), CCTV/audio system (~$17.5k), motion-sensor integration (~$7k), initial PPE/extraction kit (~$25k), forensic kit (~$8.5k), secure vehicle purchase (~$32.5k), and initial IT/hardware (~$17.5k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $10K
[#13] Initial incident-response and research training course/tabletop drills (~$10k median).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.5M/yr
Staff Wages $750K/yr
[#7, #8, #9] Security staffing (6 guards, 3-shift coverage; benefits/overtime included ~$300k), site director and authorized admin (~$140k + $50k = ~$190k), small research/tech team (2 researchers + 1 technician, ~$260k).
Cover Story And Legal $336K/yr
[#2, #10, #20, #21, #26] Front-business operating budget (~$30k–75k), human-subject legal/ethical counsel (portion of #10, ~$50k–$200k), insurance/workers' comp/liability (~$30k–$100k), secrecy/legal retainer and classification management (~$25k–$150k), and municipal compliance/PR (~$2–10k) aggregated.
Emergency Medical Contract $115K/yr
[#11] On-call medic/EMT/trauma contract (median of $80k–$150k).
Research And Monitoring $62K/yr
[#4, #5, #6, #10, #13, #25] Ongoing monitoring and analysis costs: camera/audio storage (~$1–5k), access/motion system maintenance (~$1–2k and ~$0.5–2k), human-subject stipend budget (~$20k–75k median used here), ongoing drills (~$2–6k), and IT/software licensing/backups (~$2–8k).
Property Lease $60K/yr
[#1] Alternative recurring option if leasing instead of purchasing (~$24k–$96k/year; median used).
Contingency Reserve Annual $50K/yr
[#24] Ongoing annual contingency reserve for smaller relocation/containment contingencies (midpoint of suggested $50k–$250k reserve amortized as recurring buffer).
Mortuary And Body Disposal Reserve $30K/yr
[#18] Annual contingency reserve for autopsy/disposal/per-fatality reserve (midpoint of $10k–$50k/year).
Supplies And Consumables $20K/yr
[#12, #16, #17, #11] Consumable replacements and disposables: PPE replacement (~$2–5k), chair testing replacements (~$1k–$10k), forensic consumables (~$2–8k), trauma consumables refill (~$3–10k) aggregated to a median annual consumables budget.
Administrative Overhead $20K/yr
[#23] Administrative overhead, secure records storage, auditing and clerical time (partial admin salary/operational costs).
Logistics And Transport $15K/yr
[#22, #16] Vehicle operating costs and driver (~$8–20k/year) plus chair disposal/transport (~$0.5–2k/year).
Facilities Maintenance $12K/yr
[#14, #15] Routine basement/lighting/HVAC maintenance (~$1–3k) and routine structural/clean-up maintenance (~$5–$15k/year median).
Psychological Support $10K/yr
[#19] Ongoing mental-health and EAP support for staff (~$5k–$15k/year).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.5M/yr
77.0% probability / year
Uneventful year with normal operations, routine testing under controls, no fatalities or major exposures.
routine_operations scheduled_testing no_major_incident
🚨 Minor Incident $1.6M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$70K vs baseline
Limited incident: a subject exceeds safe exposure threshold resulting in injury, localized damage, medical response, small repairs and legal/administrative overhead.
subject_injury localized_property_damage short-term_medical_response
🚨 Major Breach $2.1M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$600K vs baseline
Serious event: fatality or public exposure requiring autopsy, litigation, PR/legal retainers, major repairs and potential temporary relocation.
fatality public_exposure forced_recontainment_or_relocation
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 2 per shift, 3-shift coverage; salary+benefits/overtime budgeted into staff_wages (~$300k total).
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 Level-3+ authorized director, on-call; salary included (~$140k median).
Administrative Staff 1 Front-business/admin to support cover story and record-keeping; salary included (~$50k).
Research Scientist 2 Two researchers conducting tests, audio/behavior analysis; wages included in research team (~part of $260k total for research team).
Engineer / Technician 1 Technical support for monitoring systems, evidence handling, and experiment setup; included in research team wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of analyst ranges and map all enumerated line items; however major decision variables (purchase vs lease, scale of legal/insurance expenditures, and frequency of human testing) create substantial uncertainty, so confidence is medium.
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