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SCP-1213 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1213
Expected annual
$4.2M
One-time setup
$2.2M
Annual recurring
$4.1M
Personnel
13
First-year (setup + one year operations) one-time costs are approximately $2.20M, and steady-state annual costs are approximately $4.09M; the largest recurring drivers are staff wages, insurance/reserve contributions, and ongoing R&D/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.2M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.3M
[#15, #27] Specialized instrumentation and test equipment (#15) and initial R&D program to neutralize/disable anomalous function (#27 initial program cost).
Facilities $384K
[#1, #2, #11] Shipping container purchase and modification (#1), reinforced internal catch/inner cell engineering (#2), and initial wildlife/exclusion perimeter installation (#11).
Forensic Cleanup $145K
[#13] Forensic cleanup and hazardous materials remediation at discovery site.
Decommissioning Contingency $135K
[#26] One-time decommissioning / long-term disposal contingency estimate.
Legal And Pr Setup $125K
[#18] Initial legal/PR/cover-story setup and liaison costs.
Equipment $73K
[#3, #9, #21, #22] Heavy-duty immobilization hardware initial procurement (#3), surveillance installation/hardware (#9), initial power infrastructure/UPS/generator hardware (#21), and initial data-logging/server hardware (#22).
Recovery And Transport $32K
[#12] Transportation and initial recovery from discovery site (vehicles, cranes, travel, scene control).
Permits And Quarantine $14K
[#25] Transport permits, import/export compliance, quarantine inspections and fees.
Conservation Initial $10K
[#20] Initial conservation/environmental control installation for wooden artifact (humidity control, pest proofing).
Security Training Initial $10K
[#7] Initial security training, vetting and background check costs (one-time portion).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.1M/yr
Insurance Reserve Contribution $1.2M/yr
[#19] Recurring contributions to insurance/self-insurance reserve for liability (recommended reserve contributions).
Staff Wages $1.2M/yr
[#6, #14] 24/7 security staffing (guards + rapid-response premium) (#6) and research staff salaries (PI, engineers, technicians, data analyst) (#14). Includes a surveillance/operator FTE.
Catastrophic Fund Contribution $500K/yr
[#30] Recurring contributions to a segregated catastrophic incident fund for low-probability, high-cost containment failures.
R And D Program Ongoing $300K/yr
[#27] Ongoing R&D program costs if the neutralization/disablement project continues (recurring budget).
Facilities Maintenance $246K/yr
[#5, #11, #21] Pro rata placement in secure facility / sector overhead (#5), wildlife perimeter maintenance and patrols (#11 recurring), and generator/fuel & maintenance (#21 recurring).
Misc Contingency $150K/yr
[#29] Miscellaneous contingency (10%–20% of annual ops recommended) to cover unpredictable costs and overages.
Research And Monitoring $125K/yr
[#8, #10, #22, #23] Surveillance monitoring & upkeep (sensor/monitoring operator, cloud storage) (#8/#10 recurring), data logging/storage maintenance (#22 recurring), and emergency response drills / contingency planning (#23).
Supplies And Consumables $112K/yr
[#4, #16, #20, #28] Replacement consumable restraints & spare parts (#4), testing program consumables & dummies (#16), ongoing conservation/wood maintenance (#20 recurring), and cleanup/repair after testing (#28).
Medical Standby $105K/yr
[#17] Contracted EMS/trauma care on-call, medevac arrangements, stocked trauma kits and per-incident readiness.
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#18] Ongoing legal, PR and cover-story management (liaison, counsel, community measures).
Security Training Recurring $15K/yr
[#7] Ongoing security training and refresher courses (recurring portion).
Psychological Support $10K/yr
[#24] Recurring psychological support and counseling for staff and investigators.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.1M/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with no containment failures; routine operations, monitoring, maintenance, and planned R&D.
no incidents regular maintenance planned testing
🚨 Minor Incident $4.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized incident with equipment failure or an unauthorized access resulting in non-fatal injuries or modest property damage.
strap/strap-failure without large breach unauthorized access / small breach localized legal/medical claims
🚨 Major Breach $5.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant containment failure causing multiple serious injuries and major repairs, triggering extended investigations and larger settlements.
failed secondary containment during launch multiple injuries local media exposure and litigation
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $12.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$8.0M vs baseline
Containment failure resulting in fatalities of juvenile civilians and widespread public/political fallout requiring major settlements and prolonged remediation.
fatalities involving juveniles large-scale public exposure government intervention / long-term relocation
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#6] Continuous guard coverage: 2guards per shift × 3 shifts = 6 full-time guards; includes rapid-response premium (costs modeled in staff_wages).
Research Scientist (PI) 1 [#14] Senior PI to lead study of launching mechanism and mitigation (part of research staff salaries).
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#14] Mechanical/robotics engineers for instrumentation, prototyping and containment engineering (part of research staff salaries).
Technician 2 [#14] Technicians to run tests, maintain instrumentation and perform routine maintenance (part of research staff salaries).
Data Analyst / AI Specialist 1 [#14] Data analyst/AI person for analysis of launch events and sensor data (part of research staff salaries).
Surveillance Operator / Monitoring Staff 1 [#8, #10] Operator for CCTV/sensor monitoring and video review (recurring monitoring costs include operator salaries).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, enabling a mid-range estimate, but wide ranges on R&D, insurance reserves, and catastrophic liabilities produce material uncertainty; probability estimates for incidents are judgment-based.
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