SCP-1226 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1226
Expected annual
$2.4M
One-time setup
$5.8M
Annual recurring
$2.3M
Personnel
22
One-time setup costs are dominated by an organizational self-insurance reserve and initial containment/instrumentation (~$5.76M). Recurring annual costs are driven by staff wages, legal/cover-story budgets, and contingency reserves (~$2.32M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.8M
Self Insurance Reserve $5.0M
[#20] Initial self-insurance/contingency reserve pool for liability, litigation, or relocation (one-time seed fund).
Facilities $225K
[#1] Construction/fit-out of a single locked, access-controlled containment chamber sized for the 2m x 4m painting with reinforced walls, ballistic door, viewing ports and service hatch.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $225K
[#11, #13, #15] Pathology/autopsy and forensic lab equipment, -80°C freezer/biobank hardware, and initial art conservation assessment and research lab buildout.
Equipment $201K
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #6, #9, #21, #22, #25] Museum-quality mounting/frame stabilization, climate-control hardware, fire-suppression installation, remote observation cameras/recorders, automated cover/robotic manipulator, initial PPE/tactical gear purchases, crate/packaging for transport, one-time communications/IT systems, and initial records/archive setup.
Containment Response Team Setup $60K
[#8] One-time training and kit costs for specialized containment response team (training, tactical medical kits, heavy-duty equipment).
Training Sop Development $40K
[#23] Initial SOP development and staff training program creation and delivery (one-time).
Regulatory Permits One Time $10K
[#29] Initial regulatory and permitting fees and associated legal work (one-time).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.3M/yr
Staff Wages $1.4M/yr
[#7, #8, #10, #11, #14, #30] Annual salaries and benefits for on-site security guards, containment response team members, medical staff (on-call MD/paramedics), pathology/technician salaries, research staff, and program/administrative management.
Contingency Reserve $300K/yr
[#26] Annual contingency/emergency reserve for breaches, escalations, media containment, emergency reinforcement, or relocation (recommended percentage of operating budget).
Cover Story And Legal $255K/yr
[#19, #28, #29] Recurring legal/compliance retainers, cover-story maintenance (PR/Government liaisons), crisis response retainer costs, and permitting renewals/legal fees.
Supplies And Consumables $140K/yr
[#9, #10, #11, #16] Recurring replacement PPE, medical consumables (drugs, disposables), pathology/research supplies, and per-test consumables (D-class prep, single-use instruments) assuming limited testing cadence.
Logistics And Transport $115K/yr
[#12, #17, #18, #21] Biohazard disposal contracts and per-body/containment disposals, D-class procurement/logistics program overhead, termination/end-of-test disposition costs, and recurring transport/move expenses.
Research And Monitoring $80K/yr
[#5, #15, #23, #24, #25, #27] Ongoing remote monitoring/storage, periodic art conservation visits, refresher training/SOP updates, psychological staff support and health monitoring, records/archive backups, and research inefficiency/opportunity-cost overhead.
Facilities Maintenance $22K/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #13, #22] Ongoing energy, HVAC/dehumidification, fire-suppression inspection/service, freezer/preservation maintenance, and IT/security systems support.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.3M/yr
90.5% probability / year
Normal year with restricted/remote-only observation, limited testing cadence and routine operations.
remote-only containment limited scheduled testing no major incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $2.4M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Small containment incident or medical emergency involving 1–2 exposed subjects requiring emergency response and localized remediation.
accidental in-person exposure limited breach or on-site injury
🚨 Major Breach $4.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Significant breach with multiple exposed subjects, large-scale containment operation, decontamination, litigation and replacement/repair costs.
multi-subject exposure facility breach major property damage
🚨 Political Exposure $12.3M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Public discovery or whistleblower event leading to intensive investigations, government intervention, large settlements and program shutdown or relocation.
public leak criminal or governmental investigation major media exposure
👥 Personnel 22 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 10 [#7] 24/7 armed guard coverage with shift rotations (8–12 guards realistic).
Research Scientist 3 [#14] Neuroscientist, neuropathologist/paleoanthropologist, behavioral specialist for protocol design and analysis.
Medical Officer / Paramedic 2 [#10] On-call MD(s)/paramedics for exposures and emergency medicine.
Containment Specialist / Tactical Medic 3 [#8] Rapid-response containment team members trained for violent/superhuman incidents.
Technician / Lab Technician 2 [#11] Pathology/forensic technicians for autopsy and sample processing.
Administrative Staff / Program Manager 2 [#30] Program management, procurement, accounting, HR and legal coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, allowing a bounded estimate; however major uncertainties remain around legal/ethical constraints (D-class use, termination), frequency of testing, and the size of contingency/self-insurance pools, producing medium confidence.
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