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SCP-1313 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-1313
Expected annual
$58.4M
One-time setup
$46.7M
Annual recurring
$50.8M
Personnel
64
One-time infrastructure and facility buildouts are estimated at tens of millions (major drivers: high-security labs, long-term holding facilities, and airlift/vehicle procurement), while recurring annual costs are driven by large reserve/legal allocations, staff wages, monitoring, and high-security operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $46.7M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $22.6M
[#5, #6, #12] Amnestic production facility buildout, monitoring platform initial build, and containment/testing / high-security lab upgrades for anomalous biological research.
Facilities $15.9M
[#9, #14, #21] Secure bear-holding/quarantine construction, archive hardening, and initial school retrofit work (modular enclosures/quarantine wards, secure archive rooms, limited school retrofits).
Equipment $4.5M
[#7, #8, #19, #20, #26] Field capture kits, airlift/helicopter purchase option, telemetry collars, drone/thermal fleet purchase, and secure archive/print vaulting materials.
Behavioral Training Initial $3.0M
[#15] Initial covert behavioral training and cover-story briefings/materials for priority schools (one-time rollout for ~1,000 priority schools).
Training Initial $650K
[#22] Initial specialized responder training (big-animal capture, memetic-safety briefings) for first responder cohort (~100 responders initial).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $50.8M/yr
Legal Contingency Reserve Allocation $10.0M/yr
[#16] Annual amortized allocation toward long-tail legal/cover-up contingency (amortized portion of recommended large contingency reserve).
Catastrophic Reserve Allocation $10.0M/yr
[#24] Annual allocation toward catastrophic multi-site response/reserve (amortized portion of recommended reserve).
Staff Wages $5.4M/yr
[#2, #13, #10, #6, #20, #23] Salaries and benefits for MTF Delta-10 core team, research specialists, on-site veterinary staff, monitoring analysts, drone/field technicians, and red-team/personnel-control staff.
Cover Story And Legal $5.0M/yr
[#16, #17] Ongoing legal/PR operations, per-incident cover-up/settlement provisioning (operational legal team and incident-level cover activities); large-scale reserve allocations handled in separate reserve lines.
Compensation Reserve Allocation $5.0M/yr
[#17] Annual set-aside toward victim compensation, hush funds, and related contingencies.
International Operations $5.0M/yr
[#25] Covert international liaison, covert facilities support, and cross-jurisdiction legal/operational costs for global incidents.
High Security Lab Operations $2.5M/yr
[#12] Annual operations for high-BSL/anomalous containment experiments, specialized staffing, and consumables.
Supplies And Consumables $1.2M/yr
[#3, #4, #7, #11, #19, #21] Field amnestic doses & administration consumables, capture consumables (darts/sedatives), carcass disposal/rendering costs, telemetry unit consumables/repair, and stockpiled crowd-control/deployment materials.
Facilities Maintenance $1.2M/yr
[#5, #9, #12, #14] Annual maintenance, utilities, and upkeep for amnestic production labs, holding/quarantine facilities, high-security labs, and hardened archives.
Logistics And Transport $1.1M/yr
[#1, #8] MTF rapid-response deployment travel/vehicle costs (per-incident deployments aggregated), plus contracted airlift/helicopter ops budgeted annually.
Research And Monitoring $700K/yr
[#6, #13] Monitoring platform hosting, AI/SOC infrastructure and non-salary research monitoring costs; non-wage research program expenses.
Opportunity Cost Overhead $600K/yr
[#30] Estimated annual inefficiency/overhead tax (10–30% band applied to research/analysis due to 'no one may solve' policy).
Incident Investigation And Forensics $500K/yr
[#18] Crime-scene teams, autopsies, DNA testing, and site remediation per year (aggregated across incidents).
Amnestic Production Operations $450K/yr
[#5] Annual operations, QA, and supplies for amnestic production facility (staffing, QA, consumables).
Archive Operations $350K/yr
[#14, #29] Recurring auditing, IT hardening, redaction auditing, and secure archive operations.
Red Team Ops $300K/yr
[#23] Psych screening, insider monitoring, access audits, and enforcement/responsibility costs to prevent staff solving SCP-1313.
Physical Security Post Incident $300K/yr
[#27] Temporary security details and perimeter hardening at affected schools aggregated annually.
Data Retention And Redaction Audits $250K/yr
[#29] Ongoing electronic/paper archiving, redaction audits, and legal records maintenance.
Behavioral Training Refresh $200K/yr
[#15] Ongoing refresh training and maintenance of covert school/local-authority training programs.
Responder Training Refresh $200K/yr
[#22] Annual refresher courses and recertification for specialized capture/responder teams.
Drone Operations $200K/yr
[#20] Operators, maintenance, and consumables for drone/thermal recon fleet.
Wastewater Remediation $200K/yr
[#28] Biohazard decontamination and environmental remediation for contaminated sites.
Tracking And Telemetry Ops $125K/yr
[#19] Data costs, maintenance, and replacement for GPS/radio collars and telemetry infrastructure.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $50.8M/yr
80.0% probability / year
Normal year with ~30 incidents/year and no major breaches; recurring operations continue at budgeted levels.
~30 incidents/year no multi-site outbreak no major legal/PR crises
🚨 Minor Incident $51.3M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
A year with one or several higher-severity incidents (larger legal payouts, extra deployments, extra emergency medical cases) but no systemic breach.
major school incident requiring multiple deployments several serious injuries/fatalities needing larger settlements
🚨 Major Breach $200.8M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150.0M vs baseline
Large-scale breach or surge (multi-site outbreaks, derivative manifestations, mass casualties) requiring major emergency response, reserve drawdown, international operations, and accelerated containment construction.
multi-site outbreaks derivative/√/power manifestations attempted at scale major public exposure/legal cascade
👥 Personnel 64 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 24 [#2] Delta-10 operators, medics, logistics, and team leaders (rotating shifts).
Research Scientist 8 [#13] Mathematicians, theoretical physicists, and anomaly specialists dedicated to SCP-1313 research.
Monitoring Analyst 8 [#6] 24/7 analyst bench for monitoring educational institutes, social feeds, and dispatch feeds.
Medical Officer / Veterinarian 4 [#10] Large-animal vets and techs for on-site care and necropsy.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#9, #12] Facilities and containment maintenance staff for holding/quarantine and high-security labs.
Administrative Staff 6 [#29, #16] Admin, records, and legal support for archiving, redaction audits, and cover-story coordination.
Drone Operators / Field Technicians 4 [#20, #19] Drone/thermal fleet operators and telemetry/receiver technicians.
Legal / Cover Ops Staff 3 [#16, #17] PR/legal specialists handling cover stories, settlements, and liaison with external actors.
Red Team / Psych Screening 3 [#23] Personnel for internal monitoring, psych screening, and anti-solve enforcement.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes are detailed with ranges for most items, allowing reasonable mid-point estimates; large reserve decisions and long-tail legal costs are highly policy-dependent and introduce uncertainty (hence medium confidence).
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