SCP-133 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-133
Expected annual
$619K
One-time setup
$532K
Annual recurring
$611K
Personnel
2
Estimated one-time setup costs are $531,500, with recurring annual costs of $611,200; the largest recurring drivers are the sustained research program and contingency/cover-up reserves, while one-time peaks are emergency response and initial cover-up/amnestics funds.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $532K
Catastrophic Response Fund $250K
[#25] One-time set-aside for major public-exposure emergency response (lower-end fund; range $250k–2M).
Amnestic Coverup Initial $125K
[#17] Initial suppression/amnestic costs after discovery/thefts (budget midpoint of $50k–200k).
Legal Pr One Time $100K
[#18] Initial legal/PR cover-up, settlements, or one-time covert payments (placeholder within $50k–500k range).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $26K
[#8, #11, #12, #23] Initial supply kit ($500), test-jig/setup ($6,000), machine-shop/fixture build ($20,000), SOP creation/initial training allocation included.
Sop Development And Initial Training $10K
[#23] SOP development and initial handler/security training.
Equipment $7K
[#3, #4] CCTV/tamper hardware ($3,000) and access-control/software customization ($4,000).
Redundant Containers $6K
[#21] High-quality secondary crates/transport containers for staging and transport.
Facilities $5K
[#1] Custom crate shelving and lock upgrades for dedicated Safe-wing locker.
Crate Preservation $1K
[#2] Conservation treatment and archival enclosure for original shipping crate.
Trauma Kit $1K
[#14] Standby trauma kit for immediate response.
Sem Purchase $0
[#9] Purchase of SEM/FIB is optional/likely unnecessary; one-time purchase range $500,000–2,000,000 (baseline uses recurring access instead).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $611K/yr
Research And Monitoring $280K/yr
[#6, #9, #10, #11, #12, #19] Level-4 review/admin budget (~$10k/yr), SEM access/operation (~$30k/yr), micro-CT allocation (~$15k/yr), mechanical testing operations (~$15k/yr), machine-shop time (~$10k/yr), and long-term research program (~$200k/yr).
Staff Wages $150K/yr
[#5, #7] Marginal security allocation (~$50k/yr) plus research staffing (1 FTE tech + senior researcher allocation ~ $100k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $50K/yr
[#18] Ongoing legal/PR cover-story maintenance and related covert expenditures.
Contingency Reserve $50K/yr
[#15] Budgeted contingency for emergency response, rapid materials, and overtime.
Oversight Board Administration $30K/yr
[#24] Ethics/oversight board administration, review time and compliance costs.
Logistics And Transport $20K/yr
[#16] Secure transfer/armored transport budget for occasional offsite testing/transfers.
Experimental Planning And Risk Management $10K/yr
[#20] Administrative planning to minimize destructive testing and manage limited-item risk.
Record Keeping $6K/yr
[#22] Inventory audits, chain-of-custody paperwork, and database upkeep.
Medical Training And Supplies $5K/yr
[#14] Trauma training, drills, medical supplies and preparedness for personnel injury scenarios.
Hazardous Waste Handling $3K/yr
[#13] Disposal and handling of contaminated test specimens and hazardous residues.
Refresher Training $3K/yr
[#23] Annual refresher training for handlers and security teams.
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#8] Consumables for safe handling (gloves, trays, desiccants) and replacement supplies.
Facilities Maintenance $1K/yr
[#1] Ongoing maintenance/monitoring of dedicated locker/safe-wing allocation.
Security Monitoring $500/yr
[#3] Video storage and monitoring costs for CCTV/tamper detection.
Access Software License $500/yr
[#4] Software license/support for access control and logging.
Crate Preservation Maintenance $200/yr
[#2] Periodic checks and environment adjustments for the original crate.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $611K/yr
96.8% probability / year
Normal year with routine research, maintenance, and no major incidents.
routine_research scheduled_transfers regular_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $761K/yr
3.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized unauthorized access, small accidental destruction of a disc, or limited exposure requiring targeted amnestics and repairs.
unauthorized_access isolated_theft accidental_activation
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $2.1M/yr
0.2% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Major public exposure, weaponization or large-scale misuse requiring mass amnestics, evacuation, site hardening and large emergency funds.
public_exposure weaponization_attempt site_breach
👥 Personnel 2 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 1 [#5] Marginal allocated guard coverage (represents ~$50k/yr of staffing cost as an incremental allocation).
Research Technician 1 [#7] One full-time technician for handling and experiments (~$60k/yr).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes are detailed with line-item ranges; however many items have wide ranges (e.g., equipment purchase vs recurring access, contingency/cover-up funds) and some costs are discretionary, so estimates use midpoints and policy judgment.
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