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SCP-1365 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1365
Expected annual
$1.3M
One-time setup
$953K
Annual recurring
$1.2M
Personnel
7.4
One-time setup (containment modifications, custom racks, equipment, and contingency reserves) estimated at $953,000; recurring annual operations driven by staff salaries, legal/cover-up reserves, retrievals, and security total about $1,250,000/yr.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $953K
Catastrophic Response Reserve $750K
[#24] One-time contingency/reserve for catastrophic failure planning and large-scale response, mid-range of $500k–$1.5M recommendation.
Facilities $110K
[#1, #3] Containment chamber construction/repurpose and removal/relocation of nearby bike racks and related site work; includes labor, materials, permitting. Estimate uses lower-range containment modification ($100,000) + grounds/rack relocation ($10,000).
Initial Reserve And Audit $50K
[#22] Initial internal reserve/liability fund (lower-end of $25k–$200k range) set aside as one-time budgeted reserve.
Equipment $27K
[#2, #4, #13, #18] One-time hardware: custom mock bike racks ($5,000), CCTV camera/hardware one-time costs ($12,000), secure crate purchase ($6,000), redundant containment fixtures/spares one-time items ($4,000).
Sop Development $10K
[#17] One-time SOP and initial training material development cost estimated at $10,000.
Documentation Setup $6K
[#16] One-time setup for secure records, classification/redaction systems; chosen mid-range of $3k–$10k.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.2M/yr
Staff Wages $532K/yr
[#5, #6, #7, #9] Dedicated on-site containment/monitoring technician (1 FTE $80,000), security staffing (5 guards, aggregated $262,500), containment researcher/project lead (0.4 FTE, $40,000 pro rata), dedicated medical standby/trauma coverage ($150,000). Sum of salaries/benefits.
Cover Story And Legal $530K/yr
[#14, #15] Annual contingency reserve for civilian incidents/cover-up ($500,000 chosen mid-range) plus coordination with local authorities and information-control measures (~$30,000/yr).
Logistics And Transport $60K/yr
[#12, #13] Retrieval/rapid-response operations for external reappearances: assumed 10 retrievals/yr at ~$6,000/retrieval -> $60,000. (One-time crate purchased separately.)
Long Term Care Fund $25K/yr
[#11] Amortized reserve for lifetime care/rehabilitation of survivors (placeholder reserve $25,000/yr; per-survivor liabilities are $50k–$300k).
Public Surveillance $20K/yr
[#23] Subscriptions or temporary access to public CCTV feeds to monitor nearby bike racks; chosen continuous-monitoring mid-range ($20,000/yr).
Administrative Overhead $20K/yr
[#25] Permits, internal approvals, Level-3 review sessions, travel and administrative scheduling (~$10k–$30k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $10K/yr
[#8] D-Class testing consumables (sedation, transport PPE) estimated at $1,000/test; baseline 10 tests/yr -> $10,000.
Morgue And Biohazard Disposal $10K/yr
[#10] Morgue, biohazard cleanup, and forensic processing estimated at $1,000–$2,000 per casualty; baseline 10 tests/yr -> $10,000.
Forensic Services $10K/yr
[#19] Forensic/clean-room capability and services for handling retrieved bike traces and evidence suppression (~$10,000/yr).
Psych Support $10K/yr
[#20] Psychological support, EAP, and resiliency programs for exposed staff (~$10,000/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $10K/yr
[#4, #18, #21, #22] Recurring CCTV storage/maintenance ($2,000), spares replacement buffer ($1,000), energy/utilities for cell (~$1,500), and recurring audit/inspection fees (~$5,000).
Research And Monitoring $5K/yr
[#8, #17] Ongoing research coordination, test administration, and monitoring (~$5,000/yr).
Staff Training $5K/yr
[#17] Recurring refresher training and tabletop drills (~$2k–$10k/yr); mid-range value chosen.
Records And Documentation Maintenance $2K/yr
[#16] Ongoing maintenance and audits for secure records and redaction systems (~$1k–$3k/yr).
Spares Replacement Budget $1K/yr
[#18] Small recurring replacement budget for spare locks, cameras, mounts (~$500–$2,000/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.2M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal year with scheduled testing, routine retrievals, and no major public exposure.
routine_testing planned_retrievals no_public_casualty
🚨 Minor Incident $1.4M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$135K vs baseline
Year with increased retrievals/tests and extra forensic/cover-up work but no major public casualty.
increased_retrievals additional_forensic_work minor_public_exposure
🚨 Major Public Exposure $2.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Serious civilian exposure/casualty requiring large cover-up, litigation, and emergency response.
civilian_death public_media_exposure major_litigation_and_cover-up
👥 Personnel 7.4 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 5 [#6] 24/7 coverage: 4–6 guards recommended; midpoint 5 guards to cover shifts.
Containment/Monitoring Technician 1 [#5] Dedicated on-site technician for daily checks, camera review, logging.
Research Scientist / Project Lead 0.4 [#7] Fractional FTE for Level-3 coordination and test oversight (0.25–0.5 FTE range).
Medical Officer / Trauma Team 1 [#9] Dedicated trauma coverage budgeted as a maintained resource rather than per-call fees.
📋 Confidence Notes
Costs are derived from analyst-provided ranges and typical operational assumptions (e.g., 10 tests/yr). Reasonable fidelity for staffing and major reserves, but uncertainty remains around testing frequency, retrieval rates, and the magnitude/likelihood of public-exposure incidents.
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