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SCP-1396 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-1396
Expected annual
$41.2M
One-time setup
$3.9B
Annual recurring
$32.5M
Personnel
37
One-time program setup and contingency/mission reserves dominate costs (approx. $3.94B one-time), while ongoing monitoring, personnel, and cooperative reimbursements drive annual costs (~$32.45M/yr). The largest risk is an occasional decision to fund a neutralization mission or large contingency payouts.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.9B
Neutralization Mission $3.0B
[#15] Full interplanetary dedicated neutralization/retrieval mission capital cost (mission hardware, payloads) (#15).
Insurance Reserve $550.0M
[#17] Large contingency reserve for insurance and disaster relief underwriting in worst-case exposures (#17).
Launch Fee Per Launch $105.0M
[#22] Representative per-launch classified launch/integration/insurance fee for covert deep-space launches (per-launch estimate) (#22).
Black Ops Reserve $102.5M
[#16] Standby rapid-response / black-budget reserve for covert operational actions (#16).
Contingency Public Detection One Time $102.5M
[#24] One-time rapid-global response budget for large-scale public detection disclosure response (#24).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $27.5M
[#14] Development of hard-kill/neutralization R&D, early prototyping and feasibility studies (#14).
Covert Liaison Agreements $26.5M
[#8] One-time legal/diplomatic negotiation payouts or buyouts to secure cooperation from space agencies (#8).
Legal Litigation Reserve $10.2M
[#11] One-time litigation/settlement reserve for gag orders, payouts and legal suppression actions (#11).
Facilities $9.4M
[#1, #3, #5] Mission program office fit-out (#1), Secure Mission Operations Center build-out (#3), Dedicated radio-telescope/array build/commission (#5).
Cover Story Surge $5.2M
[#10] One-time surge capacity for a major PR/leak response (ad buys, rapid-response operations) (#10).
Equipment $2.0M
[#6, #7, #21] High-performance compute cluster hardware (#6), deep-space signal intelligence hardware (#7), hardware spares and testbeds one-time purchases (#21).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $32.5M/yr
Staff Wages $5.5M/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #7] Program office staffing (#1), scientific/technical staff (astrophysics, orbital mechanics, signal analysis) (#2), Mission Operations personnel (#3), SIGINT analysts (#7).
Cooperative Reimbursements $5.5M/yr
[#9] Ongoing reimbursements/classified program funding to partner agencies for DSN time, classified slots and cooperation (#9).
Covert Payments $5.2M/yr
[#12] Ongoing covert payments/incentives to private contractors, whistleblower management and relocation/incentives (#12).
International Liaison $5.2M/yr
[#23] Ongoing intelligence liaison, classified briefings, and allied cooperative funding (#23).
Research And Monitoring $3.8M/yr
[#4, #6, #18, #20] DSN/partner deep-space network monitoring fees (#4), compute cluster power/maintenance/licenses (#6), ongoing Earth-impact risk/surveillance modeling (#18), technical audits and peer review under NDA (#20).
Administrative Overhead $3.0M/yr
[#25] Administrative overhead (10% mid-point of recurring program budget) for classified accounting, shell contracts, and bookkeeping (#25).
Cover Story And Legal $2.2M/yr
[#10, #11, #19] Baseline public affairs/PR program (#10), legal retainer and monitoring (#11), archive/redaction/classification operations (#19).
Contingency Planning $1.1M/yr
[#13] Emergency planetary-defense contingency planning, tabletop exercises and interagency drills (#13).
Facilities Maintenance $725K/yr
[#3, #5] Utilities, physical security and upkeep for the Mission Operations Center (#3) and operations/maintenance for dedicated radio-telescope/array (#5).
Supplies And Consumables $175K/yr
[#21] Annual replenishment of lab consumables, spare electronics and test equipment (#21).
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $32.5M/yr
93.8% probability / year
Normal year: continuous monitoring, interagency liaison, and routine research with no major incidents or large expenditures.
routine monitoring interagency cooperation no disclosure
🚨 Minor Incident $42.5M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Localized leak or contractor disclosure requiring PR surge, targeted legal payouts and temporary covert actions.
small public leak contractor data exposure
🚨 Major Breach $232.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Significant public disclosure or diplomatic crisis requiring major covert operations, large legal settlements and extensive international reimbursements.
widespread disclosure diplomatic fallout
🚨 Neutralization Mission $3.1B/yr
0.2% probability / year +$3.1B vs baseline
Decision to mount a full neutralization/retrieval mission to Jupiter L2 with associated launches and mission costs.
policy decision to neutralize escalation of threat indicators
👥 Personnel 37 total
Role Count Notes
Program Manager / Administrative Staff 8 [#1] Program office personnel: program manager, ops lead, administrative and embedded security staff (6–10 FTE budgeted under #1).
Research Scientist 20 [#2] Scientific/technical staff for astrophysics, orbital mechanics and signal analysis (12–25 specialists, budgeted under #2).
Mission Operations / Technical Staff 4 [#3] Mission Operations Center operational personnel, SOC monitoring and physical operations staff (#3).
Signal Intelligence Analysts 5 [#7] Deep-space signal intelligence analysts and tool support staff (#7).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, but several major items (diplomatic buyouts, black-ops reserves, and a full neutralization mission) are highly uncertain and range over orders of magnitude; mid-level confidence reflects good coverage of cost categories but wide numerical uncertainty.
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