SCP-1402 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1402
Expected annual
$744K
One-time setup
$166K
Annual recurring
$709K
Personnel
8
One-time setup costs are approximately $166,500 driven by secure storage, lab setup, and contingency seed; recurring operating costs are approximately $708,650/year driven primarily by staff wages (security, supervisors, researchers), a long-term research program, legal/PR retainer, and facility overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $166K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $60K
[#10] Laboratory setup for materials analysis (benchtop instruments, fume hood access, sample prep equipment) to enable in-house forensic capability.
Contingency Seed $50K
[#19] Initial contingency / emergency response fund seed to pay for rapid-response measures or third-party contracts.
Equipment $38K
[#2, #3, #4, #11, #12, #14, #23] Access-control hardware and installation; CCTV purchase and tamper sensors (purchase); one-time integration for electronic logging; high-resolution scanner + air-gapped workstation purchase; initial secure server setup for encrypted archive; industrial shredder purchase; transport/secure movement kit purchase.
Facilities $10K
[#1] Upgrade of existing locker to a certified evidence safe (fireproof, tamper-evident, reinforced hinges, corrosion-resistant).
Sop And Training Initial $7K
[#15] Hazard assessment & SOP development, initial training and tabletop exercises.
Locksmith And Mechanical Analysis $1K
[#16] Locksmith fees and mechanical R&D to investigate locks/clips and fabricate key-replacement or transport tools.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $709K/yr
Staff Wages $430K/yr
[#5, #6, #7, #8] 24/7 on-site security staffing (~3 guards); senior staff supervision allocation for Level-4 supervisors; researcher/test personnel and admin; document review/redaction team salaries.
Long Term Research Program $100K/yr
[#24] Multi-year dedicated research program to study SCP-1402's mechanism (staff hires, experiments, material procurement).
Facilities Maintenance $66K/yr
[#3, #4, #11, #12, #14, #21, #22] CCTV and tamper sensor maintenance; electronic-logging licensing/integration maintenance; scanner/OCR/software maintenance; secure archive storage and off-site encrypted backups; contracted shredding; HVAC/electricity allocation; facility overhead allocation.
Cover Story And Legal $50K/yr
[#18] Legal/PR retainer and controlled narrative services to mitigate public incidents or litigation risks derived from outputs.
Insurance Liability $25K/yr
[#20] Insurance / liability reserve to cover accidents, staff harm, or third-party claims resulting from released documents.
Psychological Services $20K/yr
[#17] Psychological screening & counseling for exposed personnel and subjects; contracted counselors / institutional mental-health support.
Research And Monitoring $15K/yr
[#9] Forensic analysis budget per output (contracted GC-MS, FTIR, SEM imaging or consumable tests) for occasional deep analyses.
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#13, #25] Original-document evidence handling consumables (acid-free folders, mylar sleeves, tamper-evident bags) and miscellaneous consumables & small tools (gloves, labels, batteries, stationery).
Logistics And Transport $1K/yr
[#23] Per-transfer secure transport costs (trained courier, vehicle usage) for occasional moves of SCP-1402 or test subjects.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $709K/yr
84.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine testing, archive growth, and no major incidents.
routine_testing scheduled_training no_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $789K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$80K vs baseline
A limited exposure, leak, or contentious output requiring emergency legal/PR response and extra forensic testing.
document_leak public_attention urgent_forensic_analysis
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $959K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
A research result or discovery prompts rapid scale-up of in-house analysis and staff/equipment hiring.
promising_mechanism_discovery grant_or_directive_to_expand
🚨 Catastrophic Memetic Release $2.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
An output contains dangerous memetic or widely viral disinformation causing large-scale response, litigation, or quarantine.
dangerous_memetic_content large_scale_public_exposure regulatory_or_legal_crisis
👥 Personnel 8 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#5] On-site guards to provide 24/7 coverage (example staffing: 3guards covering shifts).
Level-4 Supervisor / Senior Staff 2 [#6] Two Level‑4 supervisors required for any access/testing (count reflects staff on hand to supervise access as required).
Research Scientist 1 [#7] Primary Level‑3 researcher responsible for experiments and reports (1 FTE equivalent).
Administrative Staff 1 [#7] Administrative support for experiment logs, scheduling, and recordkeeping.
Forensic Analyst / Document Reviewer 1 [#8] Forensic linguist/policy reviewer responsible for screening outputs and redaction duties.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst-provided ranges and canonical containment procedures; many line items have wide ranges (legal/PR, contingency, research scale) and frequency of use (presentations per year) is uncertain, so overall confidence is medium.
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