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SCP-1446 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-1446
Expected annual
$1.9M
One-time setup
$57.9M
Annual recurring
$1.8M
Personnel
14
One-time capital costs are dominated by equipment, transport, and large contingency reserves (~$58M total one-time, driven by large-scale contingency and legal reserves). Ongoing operations are projected at ~$1.79M/yr, driven primarily by staff wages (security and research), forensic readiness, and recurring training and supplies.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $57.9M
Large Scale Contingency Reserve $50.0M
[#21] Contingency reserve for large-scale containment failure / mass-casualty cleanup (scenario-planning reserve; discretionary).
Major Incident Concealment Reserve $5.0M
[#18] One-time contingency for an initial large incident concealment/legal response (conservative lower-end estimate).
Equipment $1.0M
[#3, #4, #5, #8, #10, #15, #16, #17] Robotic handling (~$275k), remote sensing (~$100k), on-site incinerator (~$115k), dry-ice blasting units & PPE initial (~$65k), IR-limited goggles (~$45k), neutralization tooling (~$125k), secure transport capsule/vehicle (~$225k), air-gapped IT/hardened hardware (~$50k).
Liability Reserve $1.0M
[#19] Liability/insurance reserve (institutional risk tolerance; mid-range set as reserve).
Facilities $600K
[#1, #2] Vault/glovebox construction (~$500k) and negative-pressure room/HVAC install (~$100k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $131K
[#6, #11, #23] Initial sample kit and seals (~$1k), SOP/Protocol development (~$100k), sample-replication/archive initial setup (~$30k).
Decommissioning $100K
[#27] Planned decommissioning / certified destruction / audits when executed.
Regulatory Permits $20K
[#26] One-time permits/environmental compliance setup and paperwork (~$20k).
Dry Ice Stockpile $750
[#9] Initial emergency dry-ice stockpile (~500kg) initial purchase.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.8M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#7, #12, #22] Security staff (6 guards @ ~$60k = $360k), research staff and admin (~$600k total), on-site medical clinician (~$150k).
Forensic Response $200K/yr
[#20] Standby rapid-response / forensic readiness budget to maintain deployment capability and per-year readiness costs.
Research And Monitoring $148K/yr
[#4, #14, #23, #13] Sensor support and data processing (~$10k/yr), D-Class testing operational costs (~$62.5k/yr for 50 tests) + overhead (~$50k/yr), sample-archive maintenance (~$5k/yr), Class-C amnestic medication/administration budget (~$20k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#18] Ongoing legal/PR/coverup retainer and small-scale preparedness (~$100k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $65K/yr
[#5, #16] Contract hazardous-waste disposal overflow / per-sample disposal (~$30k/yr) and transport vehicle ops/maintenance (~$35k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $35K/yr
[#6, #8, #9, #10, #15, #25] Wooden slates/consumables (~$1.25k/yr), PPE replacement (~$2k/yr), dry-ice consumables (~$6k/yr), goggles batteries/parts (~$2k/yr), neutralization consumables and solvents (~$12.5k/yr), assorted spare parts.
Psychological Screening $30K/yr
[#24] Ongoing psych screening, counter-memetic training and monitoring for staff.
Misc Contingency $30K/yr
[#28] Small spares, unexpected repairs, spare gaskets/valves and miscellaneous consumables.
Facilities Maintenance $23K/yr
[#2, #5, #16] HVAC energy & maintenance (~$10k/yr), incinerator fuel/maintenance (~$3k/yr), basic facility upkeep and transport maintenance allocation (~$10k/yr).
Training And Drills $20K/yr
[#11] Annual re-certification, per-person training costs and live drills (~$5k/yr + per-person recertification).
Robotic Maintenance $10K/yr
[#3, #15] Annual maintenance and spare parts for robotic handling and neutralization tooling.
It Maintenance $10K/yr
[#17] Maintenance, key management, secure archival upkeep for air-gapped systems.
Regulatory Compliance $6K/yr
[#26] Ongoing permit renewals, reporting, environmental compliance (~$2k–$10k/yr).
Dry Ice Unit Maintenance $5K/yr
[#8] Maintenance and rotation costs for dry-ice blasting units.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.8M/yr
93.9% probability / year
Normal year with routine testing cadence, no containment incidents; all recurring programs operate as planned.
routine_testing no_breach scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $1.8M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Small containment incident or operational failure limited to facility damage, extra testing, overtime, and minor public exposure contained quickly.
localized_spread equipment_failure limited_exposure
🚨 Major Breach $3.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Significant breach causing multiple exposures requiring MTF deployment, medical response, mass amnestic administration, and legal/PR response.
multiple_observers_exposed public_area_spread MTF_deployment
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $51.8M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Large-scale public exposure / mass-casualty event requiring city-level medical response, mass incineration, long-term monitoring, and major legal/cover operations.
city-scale_spread mass_casualties public_exposure_and_media
👥 Personnel 14 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#7, #8, #10] Two guards on site at all times, staffed with rotations (6 FTE), trained and equipped with dry-ice units and IR goggles.
Research Scientist 5 [#3, #4, #15, #22] Scientists and technical staff to run experiments, analyze sensor data, and operate remote systems (3–8 staff range; 5 used here).
Medical Officer 1 [#12, #13] On-site clinician coverage for exposure incidents, medical monitoring, and amnestic administration.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#2, #3, #15, #16, #17] Facility/robotics/IT maintenance and HVAC oversight (on-staff or dedicated contractor-equivalent).
Administrative Staff 1 [#11, #23, #26, #18] Admin, compliance and protocol management to handle permits, recordkeeping, training coordination and minor legal interfacing.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and reasonable ranges, allowing a medium-confidence estimate. Large contingent items (mass-casualty reserves, legal concealment) are highly uncertain and drive one-time totals upward, reducing overall confidence.
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