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SCP-1457 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1457
Expected annual
$402K
One-time setup
$499K
Annual recurring
$377K
Personnel
7
Initial setup is dominated by containment construction, redundancy (duplicate chamber), and contingency/resettlement planning, with estimated one-time costs of roughly $499k. Recurring annual costs (~$377k/yr) are driven mainly by personnel (containment technician, security) and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $499K
Relocation Evacuation Contingency $250K
[#20] Seed contingency for evacuation/relocation or isolation facility costs if broadcast range requires public mitigation.
Facilities $77K
[#1, #14] Primary containment chamber construction ($45,000) and duplicate/fallback chamber ($32,000).
Equipment $57K
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #8, #12, #13] One-time purchases: environmental control hardware ($6,000), observation/sensor package ($6,000), remote/autofeeder ($8,000), initial PPE kits ($1,000), initial horticulture supplies ($650), memetic containment hardware/prototypes ($30,000), emergency/recapture kit ($5,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $50K
[#11] Initial research/lab setup for controlled experiments, specialized sensors, ethics oversight and subject compensation.
Legal Coverup Contingency $50K
[#17] Contingency fund for legal/PR/compensation in the event of accidental public exposure.
Medical Reserve And Contracts $15K
[#10] Initial reserve for emergency medical/psychiatric interventions, amnestic procedures, and contracts with specialists.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $377K/yr
Research And Monitoring $150K/yr
[#11, #3, #12, #19] Ongoing research program (researcher time, experiments, subject compensation), sensor data storage/maintenance, memetic countermeasure testing/maintenance, and averaged periodic external review/audit costs.
Security Staffing $135K/yr
[#7] Incremental security staffing (3 guard FTEs / 24-7 coverage) if not absorbed by existing site security.
Staff Wages $64K/yr
[#6] 1 FTE containment technician (salary & benefits) plus associated training/screening costs.
Medical And Psychiatric Services $15K/yr
[#10] Ongoing psychiatric screening, on-call psychological services, and budgeted amnestic/pharmaceutical contingencies.
Cover Story And Legal $6K/yr
[#16] Administrative, compliance, record-keeping overhead and legal review budgeted annually.
Supplies And Consumables $4K/yr
[#5, #8, #9, #15] PPE replacement/consumables, ongoing horticulture supplies/replacements, feeding consumables, and biohazard disposal.
Emergency Drills And Replacements $2K/yr
[#13] Annual drills, kit replenishment, and small rapid-response equipment replacements.
Facilities Maintenance $2K/yr
[#2, #18] Environmental control maintenance and electricity/utility overhead for HVAC, lighting, and network equipment.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $377K/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no significant incidents; routine containment, research, and maintenance.
routine_operations scheduled_research
🚨 Minor Incident $402K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
Small in-site containment incident requiring overtime, targeted medical/amnestic treatments, and additional cleanup/replacement.
local_escape_within_site minor_exposure targeted_amnestics
🚨 Major Breach $777K/yr
3.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Significant breach with multiple exposures, community-impacting incidents, larger-scale medical/legal response, and extended remediation.
multi-person_exposure extended_recapture community_treatment
🚨 Broadcast Range Revelation $877K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Discovery that SCP-1457's broadcast range affects public areas, necessitating evacuation/relocation, major containment upgrade, and widescale mitigation.
broadcast_affects_public relocation_or_isolation_required mass_amnestic_campaign
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Containment Technician / Primary handler 1 [#6] 1 FTE containment technician (salary & training included in staff_wages).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#7] 3 guard FTEs assumed for 24/7 incremental coverage (included in security_staffing).
Research Scientist 2 [#11] 1–2 researchers budgeted in research_and_monitoring; two researchers assumed to cover experimental workload.
Administrative Staff 1 [#16] Part-time administrative/compliance support covered by annual overhead.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates for containment, staffing, and research, supporting a moderate confidence in operational costs; however the unknown broadcast range/mechanism (potentially requiring large-scale evacuation/relocation) introduces significant tail risk and uncertainty.
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