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SCP-1474 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-1474
Expected annual
$13.2M
One-time setup
$3.4M
Annual recurring
$11.9M
Personnel
47
One-time capital costs are approximately $3.40M driven by sacrificial storage build-out, ventilation/scrubber systems, and equipment; recurring annual costs are approximately $11.9M, dominated by fresh-daisy procurement, garland consumables and assembly labor plus staffing and D‑Class program costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.4M
Facilities $2.0M
[#6, #11, #28, #25, #5] Site land/perimeter fencing and earthworks (#6), sacrificial adjacent storage / ducting build-out (#11), recommended contingency reserve/buyout fund (#28), small one-time kits for alternate containment procedures (#25), optional potted-daisy irrigation/installation capex if chosen instead of cut flowers (#5).
Equipment $973K
[#4, #9, #10, #12, #14, #16, #19, #20, #22, #17] Walk-in refrigeration/transport cooler and related equipment (#4), audio/recording equipment and emergency alert hardware (#9), container refit/locks/sensor mounts (#10), industrial negative-pressure fans and initial scrubber modules (#12), SCBA pool purchase (#14), CDS collars purchase (#16), initial decontamination inventory/equipment (#19), CCTV/sensors/install (#20), backup generator/UPS purchase (#22), decontamination shower/fixtures (#17).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $350K
[#13] Initial R&D/lab setup, respirator-safe sampling rigs, neutralization test equipment and specialized materials R&D bench setup for aerosol capture/neutralization (#13).
Cover Story One Time $60K
[#23] Initial creation of shell companies/cover buyouts and legal/permit setup to conceal repeated large flower purchases and facility actions (#23).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $11.9M/yr
Supplies And Consumables $5.7M/yr
[#1, #2, #19, #14, #26] Daisy stock (cut flowers) weekly replacement baseline (#1), garland assembly consumables and foam/wire (#2), per-event/consumable decon supplies baseline inventory replenishment (#19), SCBA servicing and cylinder refills (#14), butterfly larva program consumables baseline (#26).
Staff Wages $2.8M/yr
[#3, #7, #8, #17, #30] Garland assembly labor (floral technicians) (#3), on-site security staffing payroll (#7), Mandarin-fluent Level‑1 monitoring payroll and premiums (#8), medical/emergency staff salaries (#17), administrative/containment-review staff salaries (#30).
D Class Program $1.5M/yr
[#15] D‑Class procurement, housing, medical, security and rotation costs for a pool (~50) required for regular operations and announced procedures (#15).
Research And Monitoring $1.3M/yr
[#13, #9, #20] Ongoing aerosol capture/neutralization R&D staffing and operations (#13), real-time translation/transcription services or software and monitoring support (#9), archival storage and sensor data review personnel (#20).
Logistics And Transport $200K/yr
[#24, #4] Refrigerated transport scheduling and shipment logistics for frequent flower throughput (#24), occasional refrigerated-truck rentals if needed (#4).
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#23, #29] Ongoing cover operations, shell-company retainers, local liaison and legal/permits (#23); communications and PR retainer for incident response (#29).
Facilities Maintenance $130K/yr
[#4, #6, #10, #12, #22, #17] Refrigeration electricity & maintenance (#4), perimeter/security maintenance (#6), container upkeep and hardware maintenance (#10), filter/module replacement and ventilation servicing (#12), generator fuel & maintenance (#22), decon-shower maintenance (#17).
Training $80K/yr
[#21] Annual training, drills and rehearsals for venting procedures, SCBA/D-Class operations and announced-procedure execution (#21).
Hazardous Waste Disposal $50K/yr
[#18] Baseline annual budget for hazardous disposal of polymerized residues, contaminated filters and PPE; per-incident costs scale higher (#18).
Cds And Drug Supply $12K/yr
[#16] Secure pharmacy, regulatory/storage costs and stimulant supply overhead for CDS collars (#16).
D Class Mortality Allowance $10K/yr
[#27] Small annual allowance for administrative and replacement costs tied to D-Class mortality; per-fatality costs are episodic and can be higher (#27).
Backup Containment Maintenance $10K/yr
[#25] Annual readiness maintenance for backup containment kits and contingency procedure kits (#25).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $11.9M/yr
82.0% probability / year
Conservative weekly daisy replacement schedule, routine operations, no major incidents.
weekly_replacement standard_staffing no_major_breach
🚨 Aggressive Replacement $20.2M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$8.3M vs baseline
Higher-frequency replacement (every ~3 days) and associated logistics/overheads (managerial/policy change or containment rule interpreted strictly).
every_3_day_replacement increased_truck_rental higher_waste_and_staff_overtime
🚨 Major Breach $14.2M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$2.3M vs baseline
Containment breach or extended activation requiring large-scale cleanup, emergency R&D surge, reserve draw and increased D‑Class usage.
extended_operation_of_SCP-1474-01 large-volume_SCP-1474-03_release site_contamination_cleanup
👥 Personnel 47 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 10 [#7] 24/7 on-site guard staffing (includes relief personnel) to secure outdoor storage area and shipments (#7).
Level-1 Mandarin Monitoring Personnel 7 [#8] Two must be present at all times; staffing pool (with relief) budgeted under monitoring wages and premiums (#8).
Floral Technician / Assembler 10 [#3] Skilled assembly staff to construct 400 garlands per replacement cycle; headcount derived from annual labor budget for assembly (#3).
Research Scientist 4 [#13] R&D researchers supporting aerosol neutralization and material testing (#13).
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#12, #10] Ventilation, negative-pressure and container systems maintenance and technical support (#12, #10).
Medical Officer 6 [#17] On-site/on-call medics and decon personnel to respond to exposures and maintain medical readiness (#17).
Administrative Staff 4 [#30] Containment-change review board, legal vetting, logs and administrative overhead (#30).
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#6, #11] Executive oversight for site decisions and liaison on site-land/perimeter and sacrificial-facility matters (#6, #11).
Logistics / Transport Operators 2 [#24, #4] Drivers/operators for refrigerated shipments and logistics coordination (#24, #4).
Archivist / CCTV Analyst 1 [#20, #9] Footage and audio archive analyst for monitoring, translation verification and evidence retention (#20, #9).
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items (especially daisy replacement frequency, interpretation of 'common daisies' and whether synthetic alternatives are permitted) and the aerosol behavior introduce substantial uncertainty; however containment procedures and key drivers are well described, supporting a medium confidence.
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