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SCP-1506 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-1506
Expected annual
$22.4M
One-time setup
$68.5M
Annual recurring
$20.6M
Personnel
40
One-time capital and contingency costs are estimated at $68,450,000, driven by aerospace platforms, aircraft procurement and advanced neutralization capability; recurring annual costs are approximately $20,610,000/yr, driven by staff wages, satellite tasking, facilities maintenance and international/contingency operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $68.5M
Aerospace Platforms $20.0M
[#6] R&D and procurement of stratospheric balloons/airships/heavy-lift platforms (one-time aerospace capital).
Advanced Neutralization Capability $20.0M
[#33] One-time investment in controlled neutralization capability / liaison with military-level systems (development or procurement of high-cost destructive options).
Aircraft Procurement $12.0M
[#7] Fixed-wing and rotorcraft procurement/capital purchase for interception and transport.
Contingency Reserve $7.5M
[#22] Initial contingency fund for property damage & civilian compensation (establish reserve).
Facilities $3.8M
[#9, #11] Containment chamber buildout and site security/perimeter install (containment chambers and security infrastructure).
Equipment $2.7M
[#2, #8, #12, #19, #30] Image-processing/dev hardware, heavy-lift ground kit, PPE initial set, data-archive setup, incident kitting.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.5M
[#13, #16] Chemical/laser/web-neutralization R&D program setup and forensics/pathology instrumentation (mass specs, EM, lab buildout).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $20.6M/yr
Staff Wages $7.5M/yr
[#4, #11, #16, #34] Salaries & benefits for MTF Phi-17 operatives, site security staffing, forensics staffing and program management/admin.
Facilities Maintenance $3.3M/yr
[#10, #24] Real-estate, utilities, site management and energy for containment sites and environmental chambers.
Research And Monitoring $1.8M/yr
[#2, #3, #13, #16, #17, #19] Ongoing ML/cloud ops for imagery, meteorological modelling subscriptions/HPC time, ongoing countermeasure R&D supplies, forensics consumables, genetic/communication program, and archive/cyber-OPSEC maintenance.
Satellite Tasking $1.5M/yr
[#1] Commercial satellite tasking/licensing for high-resolution optical/multispectral realtime monitoring (annual buy-in).
International Operations $1.5M/yr
[#21] Covert international operational budgets, local assets, permits and liaison for global footprint.
Cover Story And Legal $1.1M/yr
[#20, #26] Public relations, legal retainer, cover-story operations and covert procurement/legal overhead.
Contingency Replenishment $1.0M/yr
[#22] Annual replenishment/reserve contributions for contingency fund following incidents.
Supplies And Consumables $650K/yr
[#29, #12, #14, #18, #28, #30] Field consumables (nets, cables, solvents), PPE replacement, biohazard disposal, drone replacements, captive-colony feeding, and kit replenishment.
Logistics And Transport $500K/yr
[#25, #7] Airlift, road transport, freight, and (if leasing) aircraft/helicopter operating/lease costs.
Training And Drills $500K/yr
[#5] Annual specialized MTF training, live exercises, and preparedness drills.
Communications Jamming And Media $400K/yr
[#31] Ongoing communications takedown, media sanitization, and online countermeasures.
Medical And Quarantine $400K/yr
[#15] Field medical capacity, quarantine wards, prophylactics and post-exposure monitoring.
Public Health Surveillance $300K/yr
[#27] Veterinary and ecological monitoring of prey populations and wildlife impacts.
Public Safety Coordination $200K/yr
[#23] Public warning infrastructure, civil-defense coordination and push-notification systems.
Psychological Support $60K/yr
[#32] Counseling and long-term mental-health support for exposed personnel.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $20.6M/yr
76.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine monitoring, maintenance, staffing and research.
regular_monitoring standby_MTF no_major_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $22.6M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Single descent event requiring rapid response, capture/containment effort and localized cleanup/medical response.
single_colony_descent localized_medical_response short_capture_operations
🚨 Major Incident $40.6M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Significant incident (e.g., aircraft collision, multiple casualties) requiring large emergency response, compensation and major cleanup.
aircraft_collision mass_casualties large_compensation_payouts
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $95.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$75.0M vs baseline
Catastrophic event with infrastructure loss or widespread casualties requiring very large one-off spending and possible neutralization deployment.
multi-site_casualties infrastructure_loss military_level_neutralization_deployment
👥 Personnel 40 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 24 [#4] Rapid-response operatives (MTF Phi-17) for interception, capture and field containment.
Research Scientist 6 [#16, #17] Scientists for genetic, behavioural and countermeasure research; forensics oversight.
Engineer / Maintenance 3 [#6, #7, #8] Engineers for aerospace platforms, aircraft support, cranes and maintenance of containment systems.
Forensic Technician / Lab Staff 4 [#16] Forensics, pathology and entomology technicians supporting lab analyses and sample processing.
Medical Officer 1 [#15, #32] Field medic/quarantine lead for exposed personnel and casualty triage.
Administrative Staff 2 [#34, #26] Program managers, procurement/legal coordination and admin support.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of wide ranges and programmatic assumptions (number of sites, procurement vs lease choices, frequency of incidents). SCP-1506 is global and episodic; cost drivers and incident rates are uncertain, producing medium confidence.
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