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SCP-1509 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1509
Expected annual
$1.4M
One-time setup
$740K
Annual recurring
$1.4M
Personnel
12
One-time setup costs are moderate (~$740,000) driven by containment buildouts, safety equipment, and a large incident-response reserve; annual recurring costs are dominated by personnel wages and a modest research program (~$1.4M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $740K
Incident Response Reserve $250K
[#20] Incident response contingency reserve for surge hiring, contracts, emergency procurement (~$250,000 one-time reserve).
Emergency Ambulance Purchase $200K
[#4] Alternative to contract transport: purchase/operate ambulance (~$200,000 one-time, plus staffing—not selected in baseline).
Biohazard Incinerator Purchase $100K
[#13] On-site cremation/incinerator purchase option (~$100,000 one-time purchase).
Equipment $75K
[#2, #4, #7, #8, #15, #17, #22] Access control/CCTV/setup (#2: $10,000), crate & gurney (#4: $10,000), initial PPE stockpile (#7: $5,000), endoscope & surgical instruments (#8: $35,000), force/restraint equipment (#15: $8,000), entomology rearing/setup (#17: $2,000), IT/server setup (#22: $5,000).
Facilities $65K
[#1, #3, #14] Secure storage locker retrofit and anchoring (#1: $15,000), dedicated containment/observation room buildout (#3: $25,000), interrogation/containment cell buildout (#14: $25,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $50K
[#11] Amnestics stock setup/secure production/validation and controlled storage (~$50,000 one-time).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.4M/yr
Staff Wages $750K/yr
[#5, #6] Security staffing: 6FTE guards + 1 supervisor (~$305,000/yr) and scientific/operational staffing: Level-2 scientist, physician (pro-rata), nurse/medic, 2 techs (~$445,000/yr) → total ≈ $750,000/yr.
Research And Monitoring $475K/yr
[#8, #9, #12, #17, #18, #19, #23, #25] Surgical suite usage per-incident aggregated (~$50,000/yr assuming 5 major incidents), imaging/diagnostics (~$15,000/yr), forensic pathology & sequencing + research sequencing (~$75,000/yr), entomology research/time (~$20,000/yr), psychological counseling/staff aftercare (~$5,000/yr), training/SOP development (~$10,000/yr), pathology consumables per-case included (~$5,000/yr), modest research program into mechanism (~$300,000/yr).
Logistics And Transport $60K/yr
[#4] Vehicle contract/maintenance for rapid patient transfer / on-call transport (~$60,000/yr chosen for baseline over ambulance purchase).
Cover Story And Legal $54K/yr
[#11, #21] Amnestic per-dose administration and monitoring for non-Foundation civilians (~$4,000/yr) plus legal/cover-up/PR contingency (~$50,000/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $20K/yr
[#7, #10, #15, #23] Recurring PPE replenishment (~$2,500/yr), emergency pharmaceuticals & blood replenishment (~$10,000/yr), ammunition/maintenance (~$2,000/yr), baseline medical lab consumables/reagents (~$5,000/yr).
Biohazard Contract Estimate $18K/yr
[#13] Alternative option: contract cremation/disposal for bodies and transport (~$3,500 per body incl. transport × assumed 5 bodies/year ≈ $17,500/yr).
Biohazard Operation $10K/yr
[#13] On-site incinerator operation cost if purchased (~$10,000/yr operation).
Facilities Maintenance $10K/yr
[#2, #3, #14, #15, #24] Access control/CCTV maintenance & retention (~$1,000/yr), observation room utilities/maintenance (~$500/yr), interrogation cell maintenance (~$5,000/yr), security equipment maintenance/ammo (~$2,000/yr), utilities/climate control allocation (~$1,000/yr).
Incident Consumables $2K/yr
[#7] Per-incident disposable consumables averaged to annual (~$500/incident × assumed 5 incidents ≈ $2,500/yr).
It Hosting $2K/yr
[#22] Secure server hosting, encrypted backups, CCTV retention (~$2,000/yr).
D Class Housing $0/yr
[#16] Conditional cost if SCP-1509-2 instances are converted to D-Class (~$40,000/yr per D-Class). Not included in baseline recurring estimate unless policy chosen (modeled in scenarios).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.4M/yr
68.0% probability / year
Normal year with assumed testing cadence and maintenance; no major breaches or policy changes.
routine_testing no_major_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $1.4M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Single unexpected major misuse or civilian exposure requiring extra medical/surgical work and modest legal/PR response.
single_mishandling small_public_exposure
🚨 Major Incident $1.9M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Significant misuse or multi-person exposure causing multiple major injuries, large legal exposure, and emergency procurement/hiring.
multiple_exposures public_incident surge_medical_response
🚨 Conversion To D Class $1.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$40K vs baseline
Policy decision to retain one or more SCP-1509-2 instances as D-Class rather than termination/release.
policy_change decision_to_retain_instance
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#5] Six FTE guards dedicated to 24/7 coverage.
Security Supervisor 1 [#5] One supervisor to manage guard team.
Research Scientist 1 [#6] Level-2 responsible scientist overseeing SCP-1509 operations.
Medical Officer 1 [#6] Trauma physician on-call (counted as allocated FTE/pro-rata).
Nurse / Medic 1 [#6] One nurse/medic for observation and emergency care.
Research Technician 2 [#6] Two technicians for testing, sample handling, and containment assistance.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are drawn directly from analyst line items and reasonable assumptions (e.g., 5 incidents/year). Several line items include conditional alternatives (ambulance purchase vs contract, incinerator purchase vs contract, D-Class conversion, scale of research program), and incident frequency is uncertain, so overall confidence is medium.
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