SCP-1558 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1558
Expected annual
$2.0M
One-time setup
$3.1M
Annual recurring
$1.9M
Personnel
9
One-time capital of approximately $3.1M (dominated by a seeded contingency reserve and initial R&D/MTF equipping). Annual recurring baseline operations are ~ $1.9M/yr driven by staff wages, ongoing R&D/monitoring, MTF readiness and cover/legal/contingency replenishment.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.1M
Contingency Reserve $2.0M
[#21] Seed catastrophic-risk reserve for large-scale incidents (aviation-scale cover, mass-casualty logistics, major scene security).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $506K
[#6, #10] Forensic audio lab buildout and initial scientific R&D program startup to analyze triggers and prototype countermeasures.
Mtf Equipping $250K
[#7] Capital equipping of MTF Rho-14 (radios, DF gear, vehicles, tactical equipment) for a single squad.
Equipment $126K
[#2, #4, #9] 1U rack server purchase/RAID/drives and rack gear, initial offline backup hardware/encryption appliances, spectrum analyzers/mobile DF starter equipment.
Facilities $100K
[#1] Reinforced, access-controlled high-value storage locker build/retrofit with environmental controls and tamper sensors.
Neutralizer Stockpile $60K
[#11] Development/one-off device costs and initial small stockpile of neutralization/jamming devices or Faraday solutions.
Declassification Content $50K
[#24] Initial creation/authorship/localization of false public files, vendor records and cover documentation.
It Security Setup $12K
[#5] Initial IT security software, integration and logging/SIEM setup for server and evidence systems.
Ups Replacement Capital $1K
[#3] Initial UPS battery/replacement purchase as part of capital/maintenance planning.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.9M/yr
Staff Wages $650K/yr
[#18] Salaries and benefits for ~1–3 researchers, IT tech, 1–2 security/lock specialists, audio/cyber analysts, incident coordinator and admin support.
Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr
[#14, #15] Standing PR/legal liaison, modest annual cover-up/liaison budget and liaison costs with civilian authorities.
Mtf Operational $200K/yr
[#7] Annual training, ammunition, vehicle maintenance and readiness costs for MTF Rho-14.
Contingency Replenish $200K/yr
[#21] Annual replenishment allocation to restore the catastrophic-risk reserve after drawdowns.
Research And Monitoring $150K/yr
[#6, #10] Ongoing R&D follow-up, prototyping, and partial funding for an audio forensic technician and RF/cognitive analysis.
Cyber Forensics Team $100K/yr
[#17] Ongoing cyber forensics personnel, tooling, and annual forensic case support capacity.
Spectrum Monitoring $60K/yr
[#9] Licenses, calibration, recurring sweep campaigns and software for spectrum analyzers/DF units.
It Security $50K/yr
[#5] Managed SOC access, 2FA licensing, logging, intrusion detection and partial sysadmin support.
Public Safety Training $50K/yr
[#20] Training workshops, materials and limited stipends for local first responders and controlled briefings.
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#8, #12] Amortized annual expectation for deployment logistics, travel, fuel, per‑diem and secure transport of recovered items.
Supply Chain Investigation $30K/yr
[#16] Deep investigation and tracing per-case amortized across years (forensics, subpoenas, field investigators).
Mental Health $20K/yr
[#19] Counseling, monitoring and trauma support for analysts and recovery personnel.
Supplies And Consumables $15K/yr
[#23] Fuel for sweep vehicles, replacement batteries, gloves, tamper-evident bags and other consumables.
Compliance Audits $15K/yr
[#22] Annual internal audits, evidence integrity checks and certification activities.
Forensic Processing $10K/yr
[#6] Per-file processing, transcription and chain-of-custody consumables (variable workload).
Neutralizer Replacement $10K/yr
[#11] Replacement stock and small-scale production for neutralization devices and Faraday gear.
Neutralization Per Unit $10K/yr
[#13] Expected average annual cost for lab deactivation, controlled destruction or heavily shielded storage per recovered unit.
Declassification Maintenance $10K/yr
[#24] Ongoing maintenance and localization of false public files and cover documentation.
Facilities Maintenance $3K/yr
[#1] Annual maintenance, environmental certification and small repairs for the high-value locker and vault environment.
Backups And Archival $1K/yr
[#4] Media replacement, off-site encrypted copies and rotation/integrity checks for audio evidence.
Utilities $1K/yr
[#3] Share of electricity and cooling for SCP-1558-2 and evidence systems.
Server Upkeep $700/yr
[#2] Annual spares/replacement amortization for the dedicated 1U server and drives.
Ups Battery Replacement $300/yr
[#3] Amortized UPS battery replacement costs over a multi-year cycle.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.9M/yr
68.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, staff salaries, scheduled training and small maintenance/no major incidents.
no activations routine audits scheduled sweep campaigns
🚨 Minor Incident $2.0M/yr
30.0% probability / year +$115K vs baseline
Domestic activation(s) to recover an extant antenna or limited cluster of activations requiring MTF deployment and localized cover/legal actions.
domestic recovery single-unit neutralization local cover-up/legal engagement
🚨 Major Air Incident $4.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Large-scale aviation incident (small aircraft or airliner-involved) attributable to SCP-1558 requiring major response, extended investigations and large cover-up/liaison expenditures.
aircraft crash attributed to SCP-1558 mass-casualty event international recovery and major PR/legal operation
👥 Personnel 9 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 2 [#10, #18] RF engineers and cognitive/linguistic analysts supporting R&D and countermeasure development.
IT Technician 1 [#2, #5, #18] Server and backup maintenance, access control and SIEM support.
Security Officer / Lock Specialist 2 [#1, #18] Secure storage management, locker maintenance and access control.
Incident Response Coordinator 1 [#8, #18] Coordinates MTF deployments, logistics and scene management during recoveries.
Audio Forensic Technician 1 [#6, #18] Processes, catalogs and transcribes intercepted audio evidence.
Cyber Forensics Analyst 1 [#17, #18] Forensic imaging, firmware/malware analysis and server traffic review.
Administrative Staff 1 [#15, #18] Administrative, legal liaison and documentation support for cover-story maintenance.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges but many items (incident frequency, scope of sweep campaigns, scale of cover-ups) are highly uncertain. Estimates choose mid-range values and reasonable operational assumptions; large single-event costs remain highly variable.
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