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SCP-1574 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-1574
Expected annual
$22.0M
One-time setup
$60.0M
Annual recurring
$21.4M
Personnel
141
One-time capital costs are dominated by regional facilities, sensor procurement, and a response fleet (~$60M). Recurring annual costs center on personnel, operations, sensor upkeep, and readiness (~$21.45M/year).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $60.0M
Large Scale Upgrade Contingency $20.0M
[#30] Contingency for major capital scale-up if SCP-1574 targets population centers (additional ships, major construction, emergency large-scale operations).
Facilities $17.5M
[#1, #2, #22, #25] Construction of a regional monitoring/control compound, coastal station site buildouts, initial secure temporary storage infrastructure, and installation of specialized imaging/safety chambers. Estimates combine mid-range values from site construction and installation line items.
Equipment $10.8M
[#4, #5, #6, #9, #18, #7] Initial procurement of SIGINT/signal-processing hardware, mobile response fleet (boats/helicopters/vehicles), UAV fleet hardware, secure mobile containment units (trailers/pods), initial data storage/server hardware, and procurement portion of specialized sensors.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $9.8M
[#8, #7, #14] Multi-year R&D program funding and lab buildout for countermeasure research, development portion of specialized sensor programs, and initial amnestic production facility/stockpile costs.
Insurance And Asset Replacement Reserve $2.0M
[#17] One-time seed for an insurance/asset-replacement reserve to cover destroyed/disabled vessels, craft, or equipment.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $21.4M/yr
Staff Wages $10.5M/yr
[#11, #12, #13] Salaries and benefits for field operatives/technicians, analytical & scientific staff, and dedicated security/site staff; includes hazard pay and overseas allowances.
Cover Story And Legal $3.5M/yr
[#15, #16, #26, #28] Covert operations, local liaison payments, legal/PR operations, diplomatic/legal incident preparedness fund, and public compensation/hush-money reserves.
Public Emergency Fund $2.0M/yr
[#24] Reserve to fund staged emergency response, cleanup, reconstruction cover stories, and other public-facing disaster expenses.
Logistics And Transport $1.6M/yr
[#10, #20, #5] Annual relocation/evacuation contingency fund and recurring fuel/power costs for boats/helicopters/vehicles and generators; supports mobile response fleet operations.
Facilities Maintenance $1.2M/yr
[#1, #2, #22, #25] Ongoing maintenance, utilities, generator upkeep, and regular servicing for regional compound, coastal stations, secure storage bays, and imaging/safety chambers.
Research And Monitoring $750K/yr
[#3, #6, #7, #18, #27] Recurring costs for high-resolution satellite tasking subscriptions, UAV/drone maintenance cadence, sensor calibration & upkeep, secure data processing operations, and ongoing archival/historical research.
Supplies And Consumables $700K/yr
[#14, #19] Consumables and replacements including amnestic doses/admin costs and spare parts/consumables for radars, sonar transducers, drones, boats, and generators.
High Risk Testing And Casualty Insurance $600K/yr
[#21] Medical response, on-call trauma teams, morgue capacity, casualty investigation, and insurance/compensation related to high-risk tests and accidents.
Training And Drills $250K/yr
[#23] Regular drills for evacuation/relocation, sensor operator training, amnestic administration certification, and memetic-safety rehearsals.
Sigint Operations $200K/yr
[#4] Ongoing SIGINT/broadcast monitoring operations, continuous recording, automated transcription, and xenocryptography analysis tool operation (recurring ops budget).
Psychological Support $150K/yr
[#29] Counseling, memetic/amnestic checkups, and psychological debriefing for exposed personnel.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $21.4M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, maintenance, and no major incidents requiring large-scale emergency spending.
routine_operations scheduled_maintenance minor_testing
🚨 Minor Incident $22.4M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized incident requiring one evacuation/removal event, asset repair, overtime, and partial use of relocation/emergency reserves.
localized_evacuations small_asset_damage single_relocation_event
🚨 Major Breach $36.5M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Significant incident (multiple assets lost/damaged, major facility hit, accelerated R&D), requiring large capital replacement and emergency public response.
major_asset_loss facility_targeted large_scale_evacuations
🚨 Political Exposure $26.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Cross-border diplomatic incident or public exposure requiring legal defense, emergency extra-cover operations, large hush-money/compensation payouts, and diplomatic extractions.
operative_seizure public_exposure diplomatic_seizure
👥 Personnel 141 total
Role Count Notes
Field Operative / Technician 50 [#11, #5, #6] Day/night patrols, sensor maintenance, boat/vehicle crews, and UAV operators referenced in field personnel and mobile fleet/UAV notes.
Research Scientist / Analyst 15 [#12, #8, #7] Xenocryptographers, data scientists, physicists, and xenobiologists conducting analysis and R&D.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 60 [#13, #5] Security staffing and guards for facilities, transits, and evacuation escorts.
Medical Officer / Amnestic Technician 5 [#14, #21] Licensed medical staff to administer amnestics, manage medical response and high-risk testing casualty protocols.
Engineer / Maintenance 6 [#1, #2, #19, #20] Site and equipment maintenance engineers for generators, radars, sonar, and vessels.
Administrative Staff / Local Liaison 4 [#15, #16] Administrative, legal liaison, and cover-story coordination staff handling permits, local fixers, and PR/legal coordination.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#1] Senior oversight for the regional monitoring/control facility and program management.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line items in analyst notes provide ranges and clear categories, enabling mid-range point estimates; however SCP-1574's anomalous behavior and contingency scenarios (scale-up, unpredictable manifestations) produce significant uncertainty in true tail costs and reserve sizing.
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