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SCP-1664 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1664
Expected annual
$5.6M
One-time setup
$27.9M
Annual recurring
$5.5M
Personnel
18
Initial one-time capital for hardened, magnet-capable containment and associated cryogenic/magnet systems dominates costs (~$27.9M). Recurring costs (~$5.52M/yr) are driven by specialized staff wages, magnet operations/maintenance, breach reserves and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $27.9M
Facilities $18.6M
[#1, #4] Containment cell construction/retrofit for four hermetic non-ferrous cells and site-scale emergency magnet room/structural support (midpoint of $2.4M–$4.8M for cells plus midpoint $15M for site-scale magnet array).
Magnetic Gates $3.5M
[#3] Two Class 8 Magnetic Field Gates (MRI-class/superconducting coils or rings) (midpoint $2.0M–$5.0M).
Decommissioning Reserve $2.8M
[#28] End-of-life decommissioning contingency for magnet ramp-down, decontamination and demolition (midpoint $500k–$5M).
Magnet Ancillary Capital $1.2M
[#5] Capital for cryogenics, reliquefaction equipment, quench protection and magnet-safe room construction (midpoint $500k–$2M).
Power Infrastructure $650K
[#6] Generators/UPS and power upgrades sized for magnets and life-safety (midpoint $300k–$1M).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $325K
[#15] Sample handling and analytical equipment capital for non-ferrous manipulators, gloveboxes and spectrometers (midpoint $150k–$500k).
Wired Monitoring Install $162K
[#7] Wired/fiber CCTV and wired communications installation to enforce 100 m radio exclusion (midpoint $75k–$250k).
Proactive Infrastructure Replacement Initial $150K
[#23] Initial proactive replacement/avoidance program for iron-bearing infrastructure near containment (midpoint $50k–$250k).
Nonferrous Inventory $125K
[#9] Purchase of non-iron tooling, shelving, carts and fasteners appropriate for containment zone (midpoint $50k–$200k).
Magnetic Sensors Install $100K
[#8] Installation of magnetic/electromagnetic sensors, interlocks and control automation (midpoint $50k–$150k).
Data Archiving Install $100K
[#25] Wired secure logging, off-site wired backups and physical sample archiving initial capital (midpoint $50k–$150k).
Secure Transport Initial $88K
[#22] Initial armored/magnet-aware transport to Site-298 (midpoint $25k–$150k).
Capsules And Envelopes $38K
[#2] Custom hermetic capsules for liquid specimens and specialized paper containment envelope (midpoint $15k–$60k).
Suits Purchase $30K
[#12] Purchase of ~10 Type-4 HazMat suits ($2k–$4k each; midpoint $30k).
Radio Exclusion Install $20K
[#20] Installation/signage for 100 m radio exclusion zone (midpoint $10k–$30k).
Equipment $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.5M/yr
Staff Wages $1.6M/yr
[#10] 24/7 core staffing: 2L3 scientists, 2 containment techs, 1 magnet engineer, 1 physician (on-call/FT), ~12 security (shifts). Annual payroll midpoint $1.2M–$2.0M.
Breach Response Reserve $1.2M/yr
[#17] Annual allocation toward rapid response mobilization and reserve for emergency magnet procurement/contractors (midpoint $500k–$2.0M held).
Research And Monitoring $650K/yr
[#14] Controlled research program (behavior, control, PI/postdoc/grad support, consumables); midpoint $300k–$1.0M/yr.
Infrastructure Replacement Contingency $300K/yr
[#23] Annual contingency for inspection and replacement of iron-bearing items that enter exclusion zone (midpoint $100k–$500k/yr).
Security Operations Budget $275K/yr
[#11] Additional security training/equipment/overtime beyond payroll (midpoint $150k–$400k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $250K/yr
[#21] PR, legal retainers and coordination with local authorities (midpoint $100k–$400k/yr).
Magnet Operations $250K/yr
[#5] Recurring cryogenics/helium, reliquefaction operation and magnet-specific operating costs (midpoint $100k–$400k/yr).
Magnet Maintenance $250K/yr
[#19] Service contracts, quench repairs and vendor SLAs for superconducting magnets (midpoint $100k–$400k/yr).
Power Operations $100K/yr
[#6] Fuel contracts, generator/UPS maintenance and power-related O&M (midpoint $50k–$150k/yr).
Incident Liability Reserve $100K/yr
[#27] Annual reserve allocation for per-incident medical/legal liabilities (note per-severe-incident costs can be $50k–$1M+; this is a baseline reserve allocation).
Ethical Oversight $90K/yr
[#26] Ethics boards, counseling and review for human/converted-host issues (midpoint $30k–$150k/yr).
Training Drills $70K/yr
[#18] Regular Protocol G drills, HazMat and magnet safety training (midpoint $40k–$100k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $50K/yr
[#22] Ongoing secure transport/logistics baseline for occasional moves and escorts (nominal $25k–$200k per transfer; baseline budget assumed).
Medical Surveillance $50K/yr
[#13] Routine medical screening for iron-conversion risk, diagnostics and surveillance (midpoint $25k–$75k/yr).
Hazmat Consumables $40K/yr
[#12] Consumables, decon supplies and suit maintenance replacements (midpoint $20k–$60k/yr).
Environmental Monitoring $40K/yr
[#24] Baseline groundwater/soil and environmental monitoring (midpoint $20k–$60k/yr).
Sample Equipment Maintenance $35K/yr
[#15] Maintenance and calibration for sample handling and analytical equipment (midpoint $20k–$50k/yr).
Hazardous Waste Routine $30K/yr
[#16] Routine hazardous waste treatment/disposal contracts (midpoint $10k–$50k/yr).
Comms Maintenance $25K/yr
[#7] Ongoing maintenance of wired/fiber monitoring, alarm lines and failover links (midpoint $10k–$40k/yr).
Sensors Calibration $20K/yr
[#8] Calibration and maintenance of magnetic/electromagnetic sensors and control software (midpoint $10k–$30k/yr).
Radio Exclusion Enforcement $15K/yr
[#20] Ongoing enforcement, scanning equipment and administrative costs for the 100 m radio-exclusion policy (midpoint $5k–$25k/yr).
Data Storage Maintenance $15K/yr
[#25] Ongoing secure wired data storage and logging maintenance (midpoint $5k–$25k/yr).
Nonferrous Replacement $12K/yr
[#9] Replacement/consumables for non-ferrous tooling and fixtures (midpoint $5k–$20k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.5M/yr
91.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents: ongoing staffing, maintenance, research, and reserve allocations only.
stable_containment routine_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $5.7M/yr
7.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized containment event requiring brief emergency field activation, limited medical treatment, and contractor assistance.
small_cell_breach short_emergency_field_activation single converted-host hospitalization
🚨 Major Breach $8.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Multi-cell breach or large-scale conversion requiring broad deployment of emergency field infrastructure, major medical/legal costs and public safety measures.
multi-cell_failure mass_conversion public_exposure
👥 Personnel 18 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist (Level-3) 2 [#10] Full-time senior scientists for experiments and oversight (salaries included in staff_wages).
Containment Technician 2 [#10] Full-time technicians for specimen handling and cell maintenance.
Engineer / Magnet Specialist 1 [#10, #19] Full-time magnet engineer for cryogenics, magnet operation and service coordination.
Site Physician / Medical Officer 1 [#10, #13] On-call or part-time physician for surveillance and incident response.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#10, #11] Shifted 24/7 security staff dedicated to the containment wing (payroll included in staff_wages; additional security budget in security_operations_budget).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of analyst ranges where available and explicitly map each line item. Significant uncertainty remains around custom superconducting magnet capital (adaptation of existing MRI vs full custom system) and breach-scale per-incident costs; staffing and recurring maintenance estimates are better defined.
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