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SCP-1687 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1687
Expected annual
$498K
One-time setup
$2.7M
Annual recurring
$485K
Personnel
7
One-time setup and contingency reserve drive costs (~$2.72M), recurring annual costs are dominated by staff wages and specialist/research activity (~$485k/yr). Main cost drivers: emergency reserve, facility construction, and ongoing personnel.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.7M
Emergency Response Reserve $2.0M
[#24] Contingency emergency response / MTF mobilization reserve fund for catastrophic large-scale public events.
Cover Up Contingency $200K
[#22] Legal/cover-up/compensation contingency for a major public incident (mid-range budget).
Facilities $182K
[#1, #3] Secure vault upgrade (#1) and acoustic isolation / quarantine chamber buildout (#3).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $115K
[#7, #11, #14, #16, #26] Initial expendable instrument reserve (#7), audiology screening program setup (#11), audio analysis lab hardware/software (#14), radiocarbon/materials provenance testing (#16), initial hazard assessment & SOP development (#26).
Secure Recovery And Transport $100K
[#4] Secure transport and initial recovery operation (MTF deployment, armored transport, evidence handling for original recovery).
Mass Disposal Event $60K
[#5] Disposal/incineration of affected instruments for a large recovery (estimate for ~120 instruments).
Equipment $25K
[#2, #17, #19] Climate-controlled specimen storage installation and shelving/cases (#2), archive/secure database setup (#17), surveillance/CCTV install (#19).
Cover Up Small Claims $25K
[#23] Small claims & owner restitution emergency fund.
Tone Deaf Recruitment $10K
[#10] Recruitment premium/accommodation costs for hiring a tone-deaf operator (one-time recruitment premium).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $485K/yr
Staff Wages $360K/yr
[#9, #10, #18] Dedicated security staffing (3 guards) (#9), tone-deaf operator salary (#10), pro-rated dedicated personnel allocations (researcher/containment/admin combined) (#18).
Research And Monitoring $92K/yr
[#11, #12, #13, #17, #20, #25] Audiology retests and screening maintenance (#11), D-class musical training (#12), specialist contractors (luthier/acoustician/musicologist) (#13), secure archive/IT maintenance (#17), psychological support and counseling (#20), long-term study budget (#25).
Cover Story And Legal $10K/yr
[#27] Insurance/accounting & classified asset tracking, administrative/legal accounting costs.
Supplies And Consumables $10K/yr
[#6, #7, #15] Routine instrument disposal and purchase/replenishment of expendable instruments (#6, #7), consumables for acoustic experiments (#15).
Facilities Maintenance $9K/yr
[#8, #19, #26] Climate-control power and vault maintenance (#8), surveillance monitoring & storage (#19), periodic hazard-assessment updates and drills (#26).
Logistics And Transport $5K/yr
[#21] Routine secure transport and courier for transfers between sites/labs.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $485K/yr
96.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine testing, maintenance, and no major public incidents or large recoveries.
routine research no public exposure normal maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $680K/yr
3.0% probability / year +$195K vs baseline
Localized recovery from a small public performance or isolated exposure requiring MTF response, limited disposals, and modest legal/PR action.
small public performance exposure single-site recovery limited public refunds/PR
🚨 Major Public Incident $1.8M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$1.4M vs baseline
Large-scale public exposure (e.g., full orchestra performance) requiring mass disposal, large legal/compensation payouts, and partial draw on emergency response funds and MTF mobilization.
orchestra-scale exposure mass panic / widespread media attention large litigation/compensation demands
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#9] Rotating 24/7 security coverage (3 guards to cover shifts; salary total included in staff_wages).
Research Scientist 1 [#18] Pro-rated research allocation (partial FTE included in combined dedicated personnel).
Containment Officer 1 [#18] Pro-rated containment officer allocation (included in combined dedicated personnel).
Administrative Staff 1 [#18] Pro-rated administrative allocation (included in combined dedicated personnel).
Tone-deaf Operator 1 [#10] Dedicated operator required to be tone-deaf; recruitment premium and salary included in costs.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item estimates come from analyst notes with many explicit figures (moderate confidence). Major incident probabilities and the magnitude of scenario drawdowns (especially use of the emergency reserve) are judgment calls, so overall confidence is medium.
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