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SCP-1720 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-1720
Expected annual
$51.2M
One-time setup
$1.5B
Annual recurring
$33.1M
Personnel
60
Initial one-time setup is approximately $1.45B driven primarily by dedicated chaser satellites, an intercept mission reserve, and ground/sensor upgrades. Ongoing recurring costs are roughly $33.15M/yr driven by staffing, logistics/propellant and continuous monitoring and liaison activities.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.5B
Equipment $572.8M
[#2, #3, #4, #9, #11, #12, #19, #21] Optical/IR telescopes and cameras, radio/ground-station receivers, dedicated space-based chaser platforms, capture hardware development, data processing hardware, secure comms hardware, launch integration fees, hazardous-handling equipment.
Intercept Mission Reserve $500.0M
[#5] Contingency reserve for full rendezvous/intercept/capture mission (robotic tug, mission ops).
Military Escalation Contingency $200.0M
[#25] One-time contingency reserve for potential military involvement/escalation.
Opportunity Cost Reserve $75.0M
[#24] Reserve to cover re-prioritized missions and opportunity costs from diverting national assets.
Facilities $71.8M
[#1, #10, #16, #22] Radar/tracking shelters and construction, secure analysis cleanrooms/vacuum chambers, one-time physical security buildout and archival vaulting.
Insurance And Liability Contingency Fund $10.0M
[#17] One-time seed for insurance/liability reserve and initial asset-replacement fund.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $9.0M
[#8] Specialist R&D initial program, simulation clusters, lab test setups for anomalous-object behavior modelling and countermeasures.
Program Establishment Overhead $7.0M
[#27] Program office setup, procurement pipeline establishment, auditing and initial program management.
Diplomatic And Legal Setup One Time $3.5M
[#13] Initial legal/diplomatic arrangement costs and MOU negotiations setup.
Classified Record Suppression One Time $1.0M
[#14] One-time classified record suppression / archival correction actions and legal fees.
Emergency Response Setup $600K
[#20] One-time emergency/crisis exercise program setup (simulation software, initial exercises).
Public Relations Initial Campaign $500K
[#15] Initial media/cover-story campaign and rapid-response preparations.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $33.1M/yr
Staff Wages $10.5M/yr
[#3, #7, #11] 24/7 operations staff (flight controllers, telemetry analysts, engineers), includes staff needed to run radio/receiver operations and data processing shifts.
Logistics And Transport $5.5M/yr
[#6, #19] Propellant/on-orbit consumables for chasers and satellites plus ongoing logistics, transport and launch integration support.
Third Party Hardening Reserve $5.0M/yr
[#18] Reserve funding for hardening/protecting third-party satellites and compensating partners as needed.
Research And Monitoring $4.0M/yr
[#2, #3, #8, #11] Ongoing optical/IR and radio operations, specialist R&D continuation, data processing/cloud ops for monitoring and analysis.
Cover Story And Legal $2.9M/yr
[#13, #14, #15] Diplomatic/legal liaison maintenance, classified-record suppression ongoing costs, and public relations/information-control campaigns.
Insurance And Liability Replenishment $2.0M/yr
[#17] Annual replenishment/contingency contributions to insurance and asset-replacement reserves.
Personnel Training And Incentives $1.0M/yr
[#23] Specialized training, retention bonuses and ongoing qualifications for high-clearance staff.
Security And Vetting $600K/yr
[#16] Ongoing physical security operations, badge systems maintenance, background checks and insider-threat mitigation.
Facilities Maintenance $550K/yr
[#10] Maintenance and operations for secure analysis facilities, vacuum/thermal chamber upkeep and utilities.
Secure Comms And Encryption $350K/yr
[#12] Hardened communications and encrypted links operations/lease costs for inter-agency liaison.
Emergency Exercise Program $300K/yr
[#20] Annual tabletop and live drills, simulation costs and staff time for crisis exercises.
Supplies And Consumables $250K/yr
[#21] Consumables for hazardous-materials handling, lab supplies and waste treatment.
Archival Storage Ops $150K/yr
[#22] Air-gapped archival maintenance, secure vault operations and redundancy upkeep.
Annual Monitoring Baseline Note $0/yr
[#26] (Summary note) Analyst-provided baseline of ~$12–35M/yr — actual recurring costs are captured in the line items above.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $33.1M/yr
84.0% probability / year
Normal year with continuous monitoring, no major incidents or missions executed.
steady_state_monitoring no intercepts routine maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $37.6M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$4.5M vs baseline
Localized anomalous behavior requiring extra analysis, emergency response and limited mitigation/hardening actions.
unexpected manoeuvre temporary satellite compromise short-term emergency operations
🚨 Major Intercept Mission $533.1M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$500.0M vs baseline
Execution of a dedicated rendezvous/intercept/capture mission with a robotic chaser and mission ops.
decision to physically capture loss of containment by observation only
🚨 Military Escalation $283.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$250.0M vs baseline
Escalation requiring military involvement or high-cost kinetic/defensive operations.
direct threat to critical assets political decision to use military assets
👥 Personnel 60 total
Role Count Notes
Flight Controllers / Operations 12 Operational watch teams, real-time spacecraft control and scheduling.
Orbital Mechanics / Mission Planners 6 Trajectory analysis, station-keeping and rendezvous planning.
Telemetry Analysts / Signal Analysts 8 Signal interception, DSN-level receiver operations and analysis.
Research Scientist 8 Astrophysicists and anomalous-behavior modellers for study and countermeasure development.
Spacecraft Engineers 6 Chaser/satellite engineering, propulsion and on-orbit systems.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 Physical security for facilities, insider-threat monitoring and rapid response.
Engineer / Maintenance 5 Facility and ground-station maintenance, cleanroom and vacuum chamber upkeep.
Data / AI Engineers 4 High-performance data processing, AI analysis systems and archival management.
Administrative Staff 4 Procurement, program management and liaison support.
Medical Officer 1 On-call medical oversight for handling potentially hazardous samples and personnel health.
📋 Confidence Notes
Detailed analyst line items provide clear cost categories and ranges, but large one-time mission choices (number of chasers, whether to execute intercepts, military involvement) introduce substantial variance. Many estimates use midpoints of broad ranges, so uncertainty remains.
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