SCP-1727 — SCP-1727 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-1727 Safe ~ medium confidence

SCP-1727

Expected annual

$3.0M

One-time setup

$7.4M

Annual recurring

$3.0M

Personnel

Estimated initial (one-time) capital and setup costs are approximately $6.34M, with annual operating costs near $3.0M. Major drivers are facilities/vault construction, equipment (pumps/tank/monitoring), staff salaries, capital replacement reserve, and testing consumables/waste handling.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $7.4M

Facilities $4.8M

[#1, #2, #3, #4, #5] Land acquisition, demolition/remediation, reinforced containment vault, internal water tank/reservoir, and pool lining/secondary containment.

Contingency One Time $1.1M

[#26] 20% contingency applied to one-time capital/setup subtotal to cover unforeseen engineering or regulatory requirements.

Equipment $835K

[#6, #7, #8, #9, #11, #19, #18] Initial pumps/piping/water-treatment hardware, redundant generators, HVAC/climate systems, telemetry/instrumentation, vehicle recovery equipment (cranes/ROVs), containment monitoring hardware, and initial spare parts/rebuild reserve.

Indemnity And Response Fund $500K

[#23] Contingent fund set-aside for external damages, buy-offs, or rapid remediation.

Mapping And Geospatial Analysis $100K

[#22] Initial hydrology/geospatial surveys and risk modeling of nearby water sources.

Cover Company Setup $50K

[#20] One-time setup costs for front organization creation, registrations, and initial cover materials.

Initial Spare Parts And Rebuild Reserve $25K

[#18] Initial stock of replacement parts and small rebuild reserve for vintage/custom components.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $0

[]

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.0M/yr

Staff Wages $1.1M/yr

[#13, #14] On-site security and research/technical staff salaries and benefits (security team, researchers, technicians).

Contingency Recurring $500K/yr

[#26] 20% contingency applied to recurring operating budget to cover escalation, anomalous behavior, or regulatory escalation.

Capital Replacement Reserve $370K/yr

[#25] 7% per-year replacement/amortization reserve based on initial capital expenditures (~$5.285M capital basis).

Administrative Overhead $200K/yr

[#30] Program director, administrative staff, accounting, compliance audits and overhead.

Logistics And Transport $190K/yr

[#11, #12, #28] Vehicle recovery maintenance, standing marine/air recovery capability, and per-test transport/crane/towing logistics.

Supplies And Consumables $150K/yr

[#10] Test expendables including donor vehicles, sacrificial hardware, spare parts consumed during testing.

Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr

[#20, #24] Ongoing front company maintenance, legal fees, PR/cover operations, and counter-investigation expenses.

Dclass And Safety $100K/yr

[#15] Costs associated with D-class procurement/management, safety personnel and medical standby during tests.

Medical And Mortuary Services $75K/yr

[#16] On-site trauma response readiness, medical staff standby and mortuary/autopsy capabilities.

Facilities Maintenance $35K/yr

[#8] Building and HVAC maintenance and minor facility upkeep.

Maintenance And Replacement Parts $30K/yr

[#18] Routine replacement of brushes, motors, control electronics and occasional custom fabrication.

Water Treatment Operations $25K/yr

[#6] Ongoing operation of water treatment, filtration, oil-water separation and disposal costs.

Hazardous Waste Disposal $25K/yr

[#17] Disposal of contaminated filters, fluids, oily debris and regulated hazardous materials.

Energy Costs $25K/yr

[#27] Electricity and fuel for continuous operation of pumps, HVAC, lighting and security systems.

Public Safety Liaison $20K/yr

[#29] Cooperative agreements, covert payments, or formal local authority liaisons for emergency response.

Mapping And Surveillance $15K/yr

[#22] Periodic updates to hydrology/geospatial surveys and risk-modeling subscriptions or consultant updates.

Research And Monitoring $10K/yr

[#9] Data acquisition maintenance, calibration and analysis support for high-speed telemetry and instrumentation.

Generator Fuel And Maintenance $10K/yr

[#7] Fuel and routine maintenance for redundant power/generators.

Containment Monitoring Operations $10K/yr

[#19] Ongoing operations for intrusion detection, sensor maintenance, NVR storage and remote monitoring.

Airspace Control And Notams $10K/yr

[#21] Costs to coordinate/secure local airspace per test and related administrative/cover actions.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.0M/yr

92.0% probability / year

Normal year with routine testing and no major incidents.

routine_testing no_external_incidents

🚨 Minor Incident $3.1M/yr

7.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline

A single containment-related incident requiring external recovery and legal/cleanup actions (e.g., a launched vehicle not recovered within containment).

partial_containment_failure marine_or_air_recovery_deployment

🚨 Major Breach $4.5M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline

Significant external impact or cascade requiring emergency response, large indemnity payouts, and substantial repairs/re-engineering of containment.

vehicle_impacts_public containment_structural_damage

👥 Personnel 15 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	8	[#13] 24/7 armed security rotations (onsite guards with supervision).
Research Scientist	3	[#14] Physicists/engineers for anomaly study and test planning.
Engineer / Technician	4	[#14, #11] Maintenance technicians, recovery/diver operators, and equipment maintainers.

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates are based on analyst ranges and SCP containment guidance; capital and operating ranges are reasonably well-specified but depend heavily on location (land cost), test frequency, and uncertain incident probabilities, so confidence is medium.

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