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SCP-1773 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1773
Expected annual
$1.1M
One-time setup
$2.3M
Annual recurring
$1.1M
Personnel
4
Estimated one-time setup and contingency costs are approximately $2.33M driven primarily by BSL-3 build-out, backup power, and contingency reserves; recurring annual costs are about $1.12M driven by staff wages, ongoing research, and BSL-3 operations/certification.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.3M
Facilities $1.5M
[#2, #24] BSL-3 build-out (estimate $1.5M midpoint) plus generator/UPS installation ($40k).
Contingency Reserve $500K
[#26] Contingency reserve for large-scale eradication/major outbreak response (planning midpoint).
Equipment $164K
[#1, #3, #4, #5, #7, #10, #11, #27, #28, #29] Secure refrigerated containment ($15k), secondary containment/cabinetry ($1.5k), biosafety cabinet/glovebox ($40k), autoclave purchase ($50k), initial PPE stock ($6k), security cameras/access control hardware ($15k), on-site emergency medical kit & training ($6k), initial IT systems ($10k), microscopes/incubators ($20k), containment packaging/recall replacement hardware ($10k).
Product Recall One Time $50K
[#20, #29] One-time public-health/recall/remediation costs for a localized removal and replacement of products.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $45K
[#5, #17] Validation study and protocol development for autoclave/kill methods and one-time validation program ($15k + $30k).
Epidemiological Field Investigation Initial $20K
[#21] Initial traceback and retail sampling / field investigation one-off costs.
Training Materials Initial $8K
[#22] Initial SOPs, signage, training materials and initial training sessions.
Medical Stockpile Initial $6K
[#13] Initial antibiotics and medical stockpile for accidental exposures.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.1M/yr
Staff Wages $370K/yr
[#8, #9] Two Level-2/3 technicians (~$140k total) + one Level-3 research scientist (~$120k) + one biosafety officer (~$110k). Salaries + benefits.
Research And Monitoring $350K/yr
[#14, #15, #30] Ongoing diagnostic/research projects (~$100k/yr), animal model housing & IACUC costs (~$100k/yr), long-term monitoring & research fund (~$150k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $205K/yr
[#2, #1, #24] BSL-3 HVAC/operational costs (~$200k/yr midpoint) plus refrigeration/UPS maintenance (~$5k).
Cover Story And Legal $80K/yr
[#20, #23, #11] Liability insurance premiums/legal reserve (~$50k/yr), standing hospital/ambulance contract (~$10k/yr), legal/PR retainer for ongoing cover-story management (~$20k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $39K/yr
[#7, #16, #13] Recurring PPE replenishment (~$18k/yr), husbandry & consumables (~$18k/yr), antibiotic replenishment (~$3k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $15K/yr
[#19] Secure courier services and specimen transport (~$15k/yr).
Contracted Biohazard Waste Disposal $12K/yr
[#6] Contracted incineration/biohazard disposal (~$12k/yr midpoint).
Incident Drills $10K/yr
[#25] Annual incident response drills and tabletop/live exercises (~$10k/yr).
Occupational Health Surveillance $10K/yr
[#12] Employee health surveillance and stool testing program (~$10k/yr for ~10 personnel).
Retail Surveillance $10K/yr
[#21] Ongoing retail sampling/surveillance and traceback sampling budget (~$10k/yr).
Certification And Qa $9K/yr
[#18] Annual certification and QA for BSCs, autoclaves, HVAC HEPA filters and environmental monitoring (~$9k/yr).
Training And Documentation $5K/yr
[#22] Annual refresher training, SOP updates, and documentation (~$5k/yr).
It Maintenance $3K/yr
[#27] IT systems maintenance, backups and secure recordkeeping (~$3k/yr).
Security Monitoring $3K/yr
[#10] Camera monitoring/access-control subscription and monitoring (~$3k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.1M/yr
94.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; ongoing containment, research, and routine operations.
no_incident routine_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $1.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$125K vs baseline
Localized public exposure or single retail contamination requiring limited recall, epidemiological response and medical treatment for a few cases.
localized_public_exposure single_retail_contamination isolated_consumer_ingestion
🚨 Major Recall $2.6M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Widespread retail contamination or multi-site exposures triggering major recalls, mass remediation, litigation and large public-health costs.
widespread_retail_contamination multiple_exposures public_outbreak
👥 Personnel 4 total
Role Count Notes
Technical Handler / Technician 2 Two Level-2/3 technicians for day-to-day husbandry, testing preparation, and containment maintenance; salaries included in staff_wages.
Research Scientist 1 One Level-3 researcher (microbiologist/parasite specialist) responsible for experiments and study design; salary included in staff_wages.
Biosafety Officer 1 One biosafety officer for protocol oversight, training, and emergency response; salary included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges but many items (recall scale, outbreak size, research scope) have wide ranges. Midpoint estimates and conservative staffing assumptions were used; uncertainty about whether a site already has BSL-3 increases variance.
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