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SCP-1796 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1796
Expected annual
$275K
One-time setup
$800K
Annual recurring
$271K
Personnel
2.3
One-time setup and contingency reserves drive capital costs (~$800k), while recurring annual costs are dominated by staff wages, legal/cover operations, and ongoing research/monitoring (~$271k/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $800K
Catastrophic Leak Reserve $500K
[#19] Catastrophic leak contingency reserve for high-impact disclosure mitigation (one-time/reserve).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $174K
[#10, #11, #13] Controlled testing campaign budget, high-resolution / multispectral imaging equipment and dedicated printers / initial paper stock for experimentation.
Facilities $55K
[#1, #6, #22] Locker retrofit, shelving/catalog modifications and a duplicate secure locker at a secondary site (physical construction and secure storage upgrades).
Equipment $36K
[#2, #4, #5, #12, #14, #15] Biometric reader(s), CCTV cameras, small HVAC/dehumidifier, air-gapped server hardware counted here (hardware), tamper-evident containers and secure destruction hardware.
Legal And Policy $28K
[#17] One-time legal review and policy drafting to establish handling, FOIA/cover contingency frameworks and initial legal work.
Initial Training $8K
[#9] Initial training and access-certification costs for the initial handler cohort (one-time).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $271K/yr
Staff Wages $106K/yr
[#7, #8, #23] Fractional Level-4 oversight (0.15 FTE), two security guards (incremental coverage), and administrative evidence/records clerk time (0.15 FTE).
Cover Story And Legal $79K/yr
[#17, #18, #20, #25] Ongoing legal counsel and response readiness, information-control / public affairs contingency fund baseline, incident response planning/drills, and insurance/compliance allocations.
Research And Monitoring $72K/yr
[#21, #24] Quarterly audits/access-log reviews and a standing research follow-up/remediation budget (task force pool for re-redaction, containment of revealed outputs).
Facilities Maintenance $9K/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #12, #13, #15] Access-control and biometric licensing/maintenance, secure video storage retention costs, HVAC electricity/maintenance, archive shelving/catalog maintenance, media rotation/secure server maintenance, printer consumables maintenance, and destruction equipment upkeep.
Logistics And Transport $2K/yr
[#14] Intra-site courier, tamper-evident transport operational costs (fuel, overtime).
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#9, #16] Ongoing recertification/training refresh costs and consumables (PPE, evidence bags, archival sleeves, gloves, tweezers).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $271K/yr
93.9% probability / year
Normal year with no significant incidents; routine operations, maintenance, audits, and contingency reserves maintained.
routine_access_and_audit scheduled_research_and_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $296K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
Small-scale containment incident or unauthorized access attempt requiring forensic response, overtime, minor legal action and short-term remediation.
unauthorized_access_attempt small_leak_or_data_disclosure forensic_investigation
🚨 Major Breach $421K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Significant disclosure of sensitive material requiring extensive legal/PR response, targeted remediation, and expanded containment efforts.
confirmed_sensitive_disclosure external_media_or_legal_action
🚨 Catastrophic Leak $1.3M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
High-impact national-security or mass-harm disclosure requiring emergency mitigation, large-scale legal/financial interventions, and cross-site containment actions.
national_security_exposure mass_harm_information_release
👥 Personnel 2.3 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist (Level-4 oversight) 0.15 [#7] Fractional senior researcher time reserved for approvals, supervised handling and oversight.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#8] Two incremental guards or equivalent shift coverage for Safe wing / point-specific patrols.
Administrative Staff (Records Clerk / Evidence Manager) 0.15 [#23] Fractional admin FTE for chain-of-custody, scheduling and record maintenance.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items are well-understood (hardware, staff time), but substantial uncertainty exists around research scope, the probability and cost of disclosures, and required catastrophic reserves; mid-level confidence is appropriate.
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