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SCP-1831 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1831
Expected annual
$405K
One-time setup
$778K
Annual recurring
$396K
Personnel
6
Estimated one-time containment and preparedness capital is approximately $778,100, driven primarily by initial research setup and a large-scale leak contingency reserve. Recurring annual costs are approximately $396,200/yr, driven by staff reassignment/wages, research/monitoring, medical readiness, and legal/cybersecurity retainer costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $778K
Large Scale Leak Contingency $500K
[#20] One-time reserve fund for mass-response to a public/digital leak (amnestic campaigns, PR suppression, large-scale coordination).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $150K
[#8] Initial controlled research program setup (dedicated testing room outfitting, IRB-style approvals support, initial experiments budgeted as part of program startup).
Equipment $43K
[#1, #2, #3, #4, #5, #13, #22] Lockbox upgrade, site-level access hardware and cabinet integration, phone/electronics lockers, CCTV/tamper sensors installation, IT gating hardware/policy implementation hardware costs, archival housing, secure printers/redaction hardware.
Facilities $35K
[#23] Room build or repurpose for secure testing/interview space; estimate covers soundproofing, no-camera modifications.
Initial Dob Screening $20K
[#17] Up-front DOB verification for current staff (200 staff; midpoint estimate of initial checks).
Transport Contingency Fund $10K
[#12] Small contingency fund for secure transfers and unexpected movement-related costs (one-time establishment of fund).
Initial Medical Supplies $10K
[#9] Initial procurement of amnestic drug supplies and emergency medical kits for exposures.
Training Materials Development $10K
[#7] One-time development of training modules, SOPs, and initial training materials.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $396K/yr
Staff Wages $115K/yr
[#6, #11] Staff reassignment/backfill costs and on-call incident response team standby/partial-salary allocations.
Cover Story And Legal $70K/yr
[#15, #21] Annual legal retainer, cover-story maintenance, and insurance/legal-defense reserve.
Research And Monitoring $60K/yr
[#8] Ongoing controlled testing budget (per-subject costs, staff time, compensation) and routine characterization experiments.
Medical Response Budget $40K/yr
[#9] Expected annual budget for immediate treatment, follow-up care, amnestic administration, and med/psych staffing on-call.
Psychological Care Reserve $30K/yr
[#10] Counseling, psychiatric follow-up, and long-term monitoring reserves for affected personnel and test subjects.
Administrative Overhead $25K/yr
[#19] Supervisor and administrative time for approvals, scheduling, and policy enforcement.
Cybersecurity And Takedown $15K/yr
[#14] Continuous web monitoring, takedown retainer, and cybersecurity specialist time.
Miscellaneous Contingency $10K/yr
[#24] Small annual contingency for unanticipated small expenditures (replacement seals, courier mishaps, extra training events).
Record Keeping And Audits $8K/yr
[#16] Annual audits, logging systems maintenance, and compliance documentation work.
Logistics And Transport $5K/yr
[#12] Budgeted per-transfer transport and escort fees (assumes ~1 secure transfer/year average).
Training And Onboarding $5K/yr
[#7] Annual refreshers and new-staff onboarding training costs.
Facilities Maintenance $4K/yr
[#2, #4, #13] Ongoing maintenance and monitoring for access-control hardware, CCTV/tamper systems, and environmental sensors.
Background Rescreening $3K/yr
[#17] Ongoing DOB verification for new hires and periodic revalidation.
Containment Documentation Maintenance $3K/yr
[#22] Maintenance of secure documentation systems, redaction tools, and controlled distribution upkeep.
It Maintenance $2K/yr
[#5] Ongoing HR/IT gating maintenance, updates, and policy implementation support.
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#3, #18] Replacement signage, consumables (gloves, archival trays, disposable seals, labels).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $396K/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no accidental exposures or large leaks; routine monitoring, training, and research continue.
no incidents scheduled research and maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $421K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
Isolated accidental viewing or small internal leak requiring limited medical/amnestic response and an incident review.
single exposure localized incident response
🚨 Major Digital Leak $1.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Public/digital dissemination of a high-resolution reproduction causing mass exposures within the affected birth cohort and requiring large-scale response.
high-resolution online leak mass exposure among 1976–2002 cohort
👥 Personnel 6 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#2, #11, #12] Access control management, incident response team members, and secure transport escorts.
Research Scientist 1 [#8] Staff conducting controlled characterization tests and supervising experimental protocols.
Medical Officer 1 [#9, #11] On-call medical responder for exposures, amnestic administration, and emergency care.
Psychologist / Counselor 1 [#10, #8] Provides counseling and long-term monitoring for exposed individuals and participates in research consent/assessment.
Administrative Staff 1 [#5, #17, #19, #22] HR/IT gating administration, background screening coordination, policy enforcement, and records management.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are built from analyst-provided ranges and reasonable midpoints; containment hardware and staffing needs are well-described, but uncertainty exists around frequency of incidents and scale of potential digital leaks, producing moderate confidence.
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