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SCP-1843 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1843
Expected annual
$1.7M
One-time setup
$12.4M
Annual recurring
$1.5M
Personnel
11
Total one-time capital costs are dominated by potential land acquisition and site hardening; recurring annual costs are dominated by staffing (security, research, veterinary) and ongoing monitoring/freezer power. Baseline annual operations are estimated at roughly $1.48M/year, while initial capital outlay can exceed $12M if surrounding land must be purchased.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $12.4M
Land Acquisition $10.0M
[#9] Land acquisition / easements to control 2.5 km radius (optional/contingent, mid-range selection from $4M–$20M+ range).
Facilities $1.6M
[#1, #8] Large Containment Vault fit-out (structural reinforcement, airlocks, reinforced floor, security door, CCTV integration) plus perimeter/high-security fence installation to exclude Ovis; mid-range combined estimate chosen ($350k vault + $1.2M fence).
Equipment $200K
[#11, #12, #24] Initial detection & monitoring install (thermal/seismic/camera systems) and drone fleet + portable corrals/mobile handling equipment initial purchase (fleet and mobile infrastructure).
Materials Analysis Purchase $200K
[#15] Capital purchase option for dedicated instruments (SEM/XRD/mass-spec-class instruments); included as an alternative one-time capital line (lower-bound dedicated-instrument estimate).
Initial Cover Story Payouts $200K
[#20] Initial cover-story / landowner payouts and buyouts required at recovery and initial containment phase (mid-range).
Backup Power And Ups $95K
[#18] Backup generator + ATS + UPS initial purchase and installation (mid-range estimate).
Transport Purchase $90K
[#2] Heavy-lift and secure transport vehicle/crane purchase + outfitting option (purchase + outfitting mid-range).
Materials Analysis Outsource $40K
[#15] One-time outsourced materials/isotopic analysis (SEM/TEM/mass spec) option (mid-range).
Transport Rental $30K
[#2] Heavy-lift and transport rental option (one-time rental/initial recovery cost alternative).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $20K
[#3] Cryogenic/ultra-low temperature specimen storage initial purchase (one -80°C freezer / LN2 setup with alarm & backup).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.5M/yr
Staff Wages $700K/yr
[#5, #6, #7] Security staffing (6 guards × $45k = $270k/yr), scientific personnel including 1 L4 oversight + 2 techs (~$270k/yr), veterinary staff & techs (~$160k/yr).
Contingency Fund $300K/yr
[#25] Annual contingency / emergency response reserve (recommend 10–25% of operations; mid-range allocation).
Research And Monitoring $132K/yr
[#14, #16, #22, #23] Necropsy/pathology and specimen processing (~$60k/yr), controlled testing program (~$40k/yr), outsourced instrument time (~$20k/yr), data management and archival (~$12k/yr).
Administrative Overhead $90K/yr
[#26] Allocated portion of Site administrative overhead, utilities and insurance attributable to SCP operations.
Cover Story And Legal $65K/yr
[#19, #20] Legal/permitting compliance ongoing costs (~$15k/yr) and ongoing cover-story/local compensation & PR (~$50k/yr).
Wildlife Management And Population Control $50K/yr
[#10] Ongoing trapping, relocation or culling, wildlife specialist hires and permit compliance (mid-range $20k–$150k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $41K/yr
[#2, #12, #24] Drone patrol operations and pilots/fuel/maintenance (~$25k/yr), occasional secure transport moves/flatbed crew (~$10k/yr), maintenance for mobile corrals/trailers (~$6k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $40K/yr
[#4, #11, #18] Cryogenic freezer electricity/LN2/refills & service (~$8k/yr), monitoring system maintenance & data costs (~$20k/yr), generator fuel & service (~$12k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $40K/yr
[#13, #17] Animal capture/euthanasia consumables and disposal (tranq, incineration, PPE) and routine PPE/decontamination supplies ($10k–$50k/yr total; mid-range).
Training And Drills $20K/yr
[#21] Regular staff training, drills and SOP development for animal handling and containment exercises.
Outsourced Lab Access $0/yr
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Data Management $0/yr
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⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.5M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, staffing and occasional specimen processing; no major incidents or land purchases.
routine monitoring scheduled testing typical wildlife incursions handled
🚨 Minor Incident $1.8M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Localized surge event: multiple SCP-1843-A events / mass gatherings of Ovis requiring emergency wildlife control, extra necropsies, temporary compensations and overtime.
mass Ovis approach multiple SCP-1843-A events emergency wildlife control
🚨 Major Breach $7.5M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$6.0M vs baseline
Severe containment exposure or political pressure requiring large-scale response including expedited land purchases/easements, widespread buyouts, major PR/legal action and capital replacements.
public discovery / media exposure need to acquire/control surrounding land large-scale ecological/containment incident
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#5] 24/7 coverage recommended; minimal allocation of 6 dedicated guards to cover shifts (6 × $45k/yr).
Research Scientist (Level-4 oversight) 1 [#6] One L4 oversight position (part-time stipend included in research personnel costs).
Research Technician 2 [#6] Two technicians for sample prep and field tests (salaries included in research personnel estimate).
Veterinarian 1 [#7] On-call/full or part-time veterinarian for necropsies and animal welfare oversight (FTE approximated to 1).
Veterinary Technician 1 [#7] One vet tech to support veterinary duties and field operations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst-provided ranges and reasonable midpoints; major uncertainty stems from whether Site-12 already controls the 2.5 km buffer (land acquisition swings multi-million dollars) and from optional choices (purchase vs outsource equipment). Staffing and recurring utility/monitoring costs are better constrained.
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