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SCP-1853 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1853
Expected annual
$2.4M
One-time setup
$635K
Annual recurring
$2.4M
Personnel
17
Initial capital/setup costs are moderate (~$635k) for secure storage, lab setup, and contingencies; recurring annual operations are the main driver (~$2.38M/yr) dominated by staff wages, field operations, and media/legal/contingency budgets.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $635K
Liability Reserve $200K
[#21] One-time contingency/reserve fund allocation for potential large incidents.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $150K
[#5] Laboratory instrumentation / initial characterization budget (mixed in-house/contract proteomics and analytical access).
Equipment $78K
[#1, #2, #6, #7, #14] Monitoring hardware, sealed sample kits, aerosol chamber, -80°C freezer(s), and field-testing kit development/initial hardware.
Quarantine Kit $62K
[#25] Standby modular quarantine kit / rapid-deploy quarantine equipment.
Amnestic Stockpile $30K
[#11] Initial purchase/secure storage setup for Class-B amnestics and related supplies.
Records And It Setup $30K
[#23] Secure recordkeeping, database and archival IT infrastructure one-time setup.
Training And Background Checks Startup $30K
[#22] Initial background checks and specialized handling training for staff.
Facilities $30K
[#1, #4] Physical conversion of Storage Locker 663 to airtight/monitored spec and BSL-2 upgrade/certification costs.
Field Testing Kits Initial Production $25K
[#14] Initial production/purchase of portable field testing/forensic kits.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.4M/yr
Staff Wages $1.2M/yr
[#8, #9, #10, #13] Salaries and benefits for security guards, research staff, medical on-call coverage, and investigative field agents.
Cover Story And Legal $400K/yr
[#19, #20] Communications monitoring, legal/PR retainers, active takedown and covert cover operations.
Quarantine Surge Reserve $200K/yr
[#25] Annual budget set aside for surge quarantine staffing and rapid-response expansion.
Research And Monitoring $150K/yr
[#5, #24] Ongoing analytical runs (outsourced/in-house mix) and longitudinal/epidemiological monitoring program.
Logistics And Transport $130K/yr
[#13, #15] Operational travel/vehicle costs for investigations plus secure transfer/armored courier logistics.
Psychological Treatment $60K/yr
[#18] Behavioral health care and rehabilitation for exposed civilians and staff.
Medical Treatment Reserve $50K/yr
[#12] Budgeted annual contingency for medical removal/treatment (plasmapheresis, hospitalization) for exposed subjects.
Insurance And Contingency Fund $50K/yr
[#21] Ongoing contribution to liability reserve and insurance-like contingency.
Facilities Maintenance $33K/yr
[#1, #3, #4, #7] Ongoing monitoring/maintenance of locker sensors, site overhead for reserved secure storage, periodic BSL audits, and freezer electricity/maintenance.
Misc Administrative Overhead $20K/yr
[#26] Procurement, inventory audits, minor repairs, and administrative overhead.
Supplies And Consumables $14K/yr
[#2, #6, #14, #17] Replacement sealed-sample kits, aerosol chamber consumables/HEPA, field-kit consumables, and PPE/sterile supplies.
Training And Clearance Refresh $10K/yr
[#22] Annual refresher training and clearance processing costs.
Records And It Maintenance $9K/yr
[#23] Ongoing maintenance of secure databases, logging, and archival systems.
Decontamination $6K/yr
[#16] Routine decontamination, biohazard waste disposal, and periodic large decon contingency.
Amnestic Replenishment $5K/yr
[#11] Annual replenishment of amnestic stockpile and dosing supplies.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.4M/yr
86.0% probability / year
Routine year with no major incidents; normal monitoring, research, and containment operations.
no_external_use detected regular audits and research routine field activity
🚨 Minor Incident $2.4M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Single external user or small cluster discovered requiring investigation, single patient medical treatment, and localized legal takedown.
isolated external use single hospitalization or treatment targeted media takedown
🚨 Major Breach $3.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$800K vs baseline
Multiple exposures requiring surge quarantine, significant medical interventions, broad investigations, and major decontamination/legal response.
multiple civilian exposures large-scale medical hospitalization rapid-deploy quarantine activation
🚨 Political Exposure $2.9M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
High-visibility media or political exposure forcing extensive legal, PR, and contingency spending (international attention possible).
public/media leak political/legal pressure large-scale takedown/cover operations
👥 Personnel 17 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#8] Six guards (2 per shift × 3 shifts) for physical security and escort duties.
Research Scientist 2 [#9] Two senior researchers responsible for biochemical characterization and protocol oversight.
Lab Technician 2 [#9] Two laboratory technicians supporting assays, sample handling, and routine testing.
Field Agent / Investigator 6 [#13] Investigative agents (4–8 range in notes; midpoint used) for external-use tracking and covert operations.
Medical Officer 1 [#10] On-call physician/nurse coverage allocated as incremental dedicated availability.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges and clear drivers, but many estimates are ranges and dependent on policy choices (outsourcing vs. in-house, scale of monitoring), so numeric totals are mid-range estimates rather than precise.
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