SCP-1865 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1865
Expected annual
$630K
One-time setup
$1.1M
Annual recurring
$596K
Personnel
7
Initial capital/setup is approximately $1.08M driven mainly by a custom seawater containment tank, remote handling robotics, and specialized transport/vehicle; ongoing annual costs are roughly $596k driven primarily by skilled staff wages, security, and recurring maintenance/supplies.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.1M
Facilities $528K
[#1, #2, #5, #13, #25] Construction of the custom seawater humanoid containment tank, airlock/personnel access suite, environmental/climate control and corrosion mitigation, onsite quarantine room setup, and estimated full decommissioning/remediation costs.
Equipment $434K
[#3, #4, #6, #7, #8, #9, #10, #11, #12, #22, #23] Saltwater life-support and circulation systems, water treatment hardware, backup power/generator, CCTV/underwater cameras, fiber-optic inspection kits, remote manipulators/robotics, custom transport container, weights/restraining gear, initial PPE, purchase/outfitting of a secure transport vehicle, and seed for incident-response equipment purchase.
Incident Response Fund $45K
[#23] Seed funding for an emergency response & containment reserve to be used for rapid remediation, emergency contracting, and urgent materials in the event of leaks or exposures.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $35K
[#14] Initial biosafety analysis and laboratory testing setup including primary analyses (microbiology, sequencing, histology, SEM, material chemistry) and initial consumable kits for baseline characterization.
Training And Sop Setup $19K
[#17] One-time costs for development of SOPs, simulation/mock-up suit segments, and initial staff training drills construction.
Legal Setup $15K
[#18] Initial legal/permits/front-company setup and associated administrative costs (initial portion of legal/cover story setup).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $596K/yr
Staff Wages $390K/yr
[#15, #16] Dedicated research personnel (marine/xeno-biologist, technicians, lab manager) and security staffing & rapid response guards.
Cover Story And Legal $42K/yr
[#18] Annual permits, transport paperwork, legal overhead, and front-company costs for plausible deniability and regulatory compliance.
Facilities Maintenance $36K/yr
[#3, #5, #6, #9] Ongoing maintenance of life-support/circulation systems, HVAC/dehumidification and corrosion control, fuel/testing for backup power, and servicing of remote manipulation/handling gear.
Research And Monitoring $32K/yr
[#7, #14, #24] Continuous CCTV/data storage and servicing, ongoing follow-up biosafety/research testing, and long-term secure archiving/backups of video and physical samples.
Supplies And Consumables $31K/yr
[#4, #8, #11, #12, #20] Water treatment cartridges/consumables, fiber-optic replacement parts and spares, spare weights/inspection parts, PPE replacement and sterilants, and general lab consumables.
Corrosion And Spare Parts $19K/yr
[#21] Annual budget for replacement seals, pumps, valves, sacrificial anodes, camera housings and other saltwater-accelerated wear items.
Incident Response Fund Replenishment $12K/yr
[#23] Annual replenishment allocation to maintain an emergency remediation reserve after use.
Wastewater Disposal $12K/yr
[#19] Regular biohazard treatment, hauling, and disposal costs for contaminated seawater, calcified material, used filters and PPE.
Medical Quarantine Readiness $10K/yr
[#13] Ongoing medical preparedness, quarantine consumables, staff training refreshers, and basic hyperbaric/oxygen readiness maintenance.
Training And Drills $8K/yr
[#17] Recurring drills, simulation updates, and SOP revisions for entry/repair/transport and emergency water-loss scenarios.
Logistics And Transport $4K/yr
[#10, #22] Specialized per-move handling for the transport container (assumed small number of moves per year) plus routine maintenance/inspections of the purchased transport vehicle.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $596K/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful operational year with routine maintenance, staff operations, and scheduled research.
no breaches routine research only no major equipment failures
🚨 Minor Incident $626K/yr
8.0% probability / year +$30K vs baseline
Small containment incident or localized equipment failure (minor leak, damaged camera/optic) requiring emergency repairs and limited downtime.
small leak or seal failure damage to fiber-optic or camera minor medical evaluation for exposed staff
🚨 Major Breach $896K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Significant containment failure (major tank breach, prolonged water loss) requiring replacement equipment, extensive remediation, and potential medical treatment.
tank rupture or major seal failure catastrophic pump/grid failure large-scale contamination event
🚨 Research Escalation Requiring Bsl Upgrade $1.5M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$950K vs baseline
Discovery of hazardous pathogens or materials that mandate a BSL upgrade and major facility retrofit plus ongoing elevated operating costs.
identification of high-risk biological agents regulatory requirement for BSL upgrade extended research requiring new containment
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 1 [#15] Senior marine/xeno-biologist responsible for oversight and principal research.
Technician 2 [#15] Wetlab/field technicians for sampling, maintenance, and routine testing.
Lab Manager 1 [#15] Part-time/full-time lab manager responsible for scheduling, compliance, and SOP enforcement.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#16] Onsite guards with clearance and on-call rapid response; count chosen to meet 24/7 restricted-access requirements with rotations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Detailed stage-1 notes supply specific line-item ranges for most costs, so fiscal estimates are grounded; medium confidence reflects necessary mid-point assumptions, an assumed transport frequency, and subjective probabilities for incidents and research escalations.
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