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SCP-1874 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1874
Expected annual
$587K
One-time setup
$283K
Annual recurring
$568K
Personnel
7
Estimated one-time setup costs are approximately $283,000 driven by paddock/blast mitigation and research instrumentation; recurring annual costs are approximately $568,200 driven primarily by staff wages (animal care, security, research), veterinary support and a contingency reserve.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $283K
Facilities $115K
[#1, #2] Secure paddock retrofit and blast-mitigation (berm/reinforced panels) one-time construction/retrofit costs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $98K
[#19, #20, #21, #22, #23, #27] Research-grade measurement instruments, initial sequencing/sample prep costs, breeding/AI equipment, initial compliance/audit work, initial staff training, and freezer purchase.
Equipment $62K
[#4, #9, #11, #12, #13] Surveillance hardware, low- and high-tech remote-handling equipment (robotics/feeder/squeeze chute), initial PPE issue, and sheep jackets purchase.
Livestock Acquisition $8K
[#3] Initial purchase of flock (7+ sheep) including 1–2 spare replacement animals.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $568K/yr
Staff Wages $360K/yr
[#6, #8, #32] Animal-care handlers (2 FTE), dedicated security coverage (3 FTE equivalent), and research personnel (PI + technician) salaries.
Contingency Reserve $100K/yr
[#30] Site-level contingency reserve allocation for major incident response, remediation, evacuation and escalation costs.
Veterinary Services And Supplies $40K/yr
[#7] Contracted or on-call veterinary coverage (contract option chosen for recurring cost); clinical supplies are included where applicable.
Research And Monitoring $12K/yr
[#10, #20, #21, #28] Surveillance monitoring & storage costs, routine laboratory assays/diagnostics, per-attempt breeding specialist labor (AI), and data management/recordkeeping.
Cover Story And Legal $12K/yr
[#22, #29] Permit renewals/animal ethics compliance and communications/cover-story/legal contingency budgeting.
Insurance Liability $10K/yr
[#31] Incremental insurance / self-insurance allocation for operating a hazardous-animal program.
Supplies And Consumables $8K/yr
[#5, #14, #16, #25] Annual replacement of sheep jackets, PPE laundering/consumables, decontamination supplies, and feed/bedding/pasture maintenance.
Incident Cleanup And Disposal $7K/yr
[#15] Annual budget for biohazard cleanup, regulated disposal (incineration/autoclave) averaged across expected minor incidents.
Facilities Maintenance $5K/yr
[ ] General paddock and structural maintenance not tied to blast incidents (no specific single-stage lines).
Incident Repairs $5K/yr
[#18] Budget for repairs to fences, gates, sensor housings and pen infrastructure following blast events (annualized).
Environmental Monitoring And Remediation $4K/yr
[#17] Periodic soil/environmental testing and small-scale remediation averaged per year (testing + potential localized remediation).
Medical Surveillance $3K/yr
[#24] Occupational health surveillance, vaccinations, baseline and incident medical follow-up for staff.
Training $2K/yr
[#23] Annual refresher training (PPE, decon, emergency protocols, animal handling).
Husbandry Services $1K/yr
[#26] Contracted routine husbandry services (shearing, hoof trimming, parasite treatments) performed under PPE/remote procedures.
Cold Chain Maintenance $600/yr
[#27] Electricity and maintenance costs for sample freezers and cold-chain equipment.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $568K/yr
75.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major detonations or escalations; routine operations, maintenance, research and contingency allocations only.
no detonations affecting infrastructure standard husbandry and research activity
🚨 Minor Incident $588K/yr
18.0% probability / year +$20K vs baseline
Single detonation event causing localized biohazard cleanup, minor fence/pen repairs and replacement of animals/equipment.
single sheep detonates in paddock localized cleanup and small repairs replacement of 1–2 sheep
🚨 Major Breach $718K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Multiple detonations or a larger-yield event causing significant contamination, larger structural repairs, extended remediation and elevated legal/PR response.
multiple detonations soil remediation and larger structural repairs heightened legal/agency engagement
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $968K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Severe event with injuries to staff, major infrastructure damage, potential public exposure and multi-agency response requiring large contingency and remediation spending.
multi-casualty detonation external infrastructure damage or public exposure major multi-agency remediation and legal action
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Animal Technician / Handler 2 [#6] Two full-time animal technicians for daily husbandry, monitoring and handling under PPE.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#8] Three FTE-equivalent security staff to provide restricted-access coverage and shift rotation.
Research Scientist (PI) 1 [#32] Principal Investigator to oversee research, breeding attempts and experimental protocols.
Research Technician 1 [#32] One research technician/postdoc-level staff to assist with assays, data and experiments.
📋 Confidence Notes
Containment and procedural items are well-specified (Safe class, explicit husbandry/PPE requirements) supporting moderate confidence; however the explosive yield, incident frequency and remediation scale are uncertain, producing medium confidence in recurring incident-driven estimates.
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