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SCP-1877 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1877
Expected annual
$5.1M
One-time setup
$5.3M
Annual recurring
$5.2M
Personnel
28
First-year one-time capital and acquisition costs are dominant (~$5.3M), driven by property acquisition and contingency reserves; annual recurring operations are substantial (~$4.19M/yr) driven by staffing, infrastructure disruption contingency, and remote monitoring/maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.3M
Contingency Fund One Time $2.0M
[#18] One-time insurance-style contingency reserve for catastrophic containment failure, legal settlements, or large-scale public exposure.
Facilities $1.5M
[#1, #3, #4, #12, #23] Property acquisition, in-unit structural modifications, flame/electrical hazard mitigation, infrastructure containment engineering, and one-time municipal partnership/agreements for affected infrastructure.
R And D Seed One Time $500K
[#27] Seed R&D for novel containment technologies, bioengineering materials, or remote intervention systems.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $450K
[#9] Development/purchase of custom long-range/robotic endoscopic inspection systems and initial lab/instrument setup for mapping and diagnostics.
Infrastructure Inspection Contracts $300K
[#10] Mobilization and initial mapping runs by specialized sewer/tunnel inspection contractors and ROV teams for affected segments.
Scp 1877 Search Initial $250K
[#17] Initial intensive field search for SCP-1877-03 (door-to-door canvassing, GIS field ops, tip lines, contractor mobilization).
Legal And Coverup Initial $200K
[#2] Initial covert purchase/legal fees, NDAs for neighbors, handling foreign jurisdiction paperwork and covert closing costs.
Equipment $60K
[#5] In-home medical monitoring hardware (cameras, sensors, EEG/telemetry) installation and redundant UPS systems for current sites.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.2M/yr
Staff Wages $1.5M/yr
[#6, #16, #7, #8, #26] On-site security staffing (guards and supervisors), core research team salaries (PI, techs, analyst), remote monitoring center personnel portion, routine medical visit personnel/clinicians, and containment program management/administrative staff.
Facilities Maintenance $1.2M/yr
[#7, #11, #23, #5] Remote monitoring infrastructure upkeep (servers/comms), infrastructure-disruption contingency provisioning, recurring municipal partnership/agency payments, and in-home power/UPS maintenance.
Infrastructure Disruption Contingency $1.0M/yr
[#11] Recurring contingency budget to cover intermittent public-infrastructure closures, municipal compensation, and lost-revenue mitigation.
Research And Monitoring $415K/yr
[#27, #22, #17] Ongoing R&D program costs (if continued past seed), secure data storage and geospatial/mapping licenses, and low-level ongoing surveillance/tip-followup costs.
Supplies And Consumables $330K/yr
[#9, #13, #21] Single-use endoscope sheaths/disposables and per-procedure consumables, routine PPE and decon supplies, and ongoing equipment sterilization/maintenance consumables.
Logistics And Transport $220K/yr
[#10, #15] Recurring contractor inspection runs/mobilizations for sewers/tunnels and long-duration international travel/housing/visa costs for containment/research personnel.
Cover Story And Legal $180K/yr
[#2, #19, #24, #20] Ongoing local legal/cover-up retainer fees, public communications/PR/misinformation budget, translation/cultural liaison/local legal counsel, and neighbor/stakeholder compensation/hush payments.
Psychiatric And Qol Care $130K/yr
[#25] Ongoing psychiatric care, in-home aides, therapy, and quality-of-life allowances for subjects to reduce noncompliance risk.
Rapid Response Readiness $100K/yr
[#14] On-call emergency rapid-response medical/surgical team readiness and standby equipment funding (annual readiness costs).
Contingency Reserve $100K/yr
[#18] Annual reserve contribution toward the larger insurance-style contingency (ongoing fund replenishment).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.2M/yr
75.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine monitoring, maintenance, and planned activities only.
no major retraction events no public infrastructure exposures normal staffing and inspections
🚨 Minor Incident $4.5M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$-700000 vs baseline
Localized medical complication or small-scale exposure requiring rapid-response mobilization, extra disposables, overtime, and limited cleanup.
medical retraction >10mm in 48 hours small contamination incident domestic specialist mobilization
🚨 Major Infrastructure Disruption $6.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant public-infrastructure closure (e.g., metro or major sewer segment) requiring extended closures, municipal compensation, large-scale contractor work and public remediation.
discovery of intestine within major transit/sewer rotation-out-of-service of critical infrastructure multi-day closure and municipal claims
👥 Personnel 28 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 Six guards per site (3 shifts) across two known sites; covert local hires. [#6]
Security Supervisor 2 Local supervisory staff for on-site security teams. [#6]
Research Scientist 1 Senior PI leading neurology/gastroenterology research. [#16]
Research Technician 2 Lab/field technicians supporting endoscopy, mapping, and ROV operations. [#16, #9, #10]
Data Analyst 1 Geospatial and EEG/data analysis for network mapping. [#16, #22]
Remote Monitoring Operator 4 Staff for 24/7 monitoring center (shift coverage). [#7]
Medical Officer / Clinician 3 Clinicians/nurses performing 48-hour cycle visits and procedures. [#8]
Engineer / Maintenance 2 Maintenance and engineering support for facility modifications and infrastructure interfaces. [#12, #4]
Administrative Staff / Program Manager 1 Containment program management, accounting, and coordination across jurisdictions. [#26]
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges and clear operational requirements, allowing informed estimates; however large tail risks (infrastructure closures, unknown third subject) produce significant uncertainty in magnitude and frequency, so confidence is medium.
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