SCP-1879 — SCP-1879 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-1879 Keter ~ medium confidence

SCP-1879

Expected annual

$4.1M

One-time setup

$4.1M

Annual recurring

$4.1M

Personnel

One-time capital expenses (vehicles, incinerator, lab/vault buildout, comms) total several hundred thousand to a few million; recurring annual costs are dominated by MTF payroll and monitoring (~$4.05M/yr). Main drivers are staff wages, monitoring/analysis, legal/cover operations and reserves.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.1M

Surge Mobilization Reserve One Time $2.0M

[#24] Worst-case surge mobilization reserve (initial set-aside), lower-end recommended reserve $2M.

Equipment $837K

[#1, #3, #5, #9, #19] Monitoring servers/software ($15k), vehicles & mobile command ($550k), initial PPE/weapons kit ($72k), portable incinerator(s) ($150k), initial communications setup ($50k).

Contingency Reserve One Time $500K

[#20] One-time contingency/reserve fund (lower-end reserve) for indemnity/large unexpected liabilities.

Facilities $375K

[#8, #18] Secure temporary holding furnish/setup ($25k) and secure evidence/hazard vault build-out ($350k).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $375K

[#10] Lab setup & specialized analysis equipment (midpoint $375k).

Recruitment And Vetting One Time $40K

[#22] Recruitment/vetting one-time costs (background checks, clearances) estimated $20k–$60k; midpoint used.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.1M/yr

Staff Wages $2.2M/yr

[#1, #2, #7, #10, #22, #25] MTF payroll and benefits (12 FTE + 2 support = $1.68M), 2 intelligence analysts ($160k), 2 research/tech staff ($160k), pharmacy/staffing & QA (~$60k), recruitment vetting recurring (~$5k), administrative overhead included (~$180k).

Research And Monitoring $550K/yr

[#11, #23] Annual forensics/research budget (~$450k midpoint) plus epidemiological monitoring & outreach (~$100k).

Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr

[#16] PR/legal retainer and liaison ($120k–$300k/yr; midpoint used).

Surge Mobilization Reserve Ongoing $200K/yr

[#24] Ongoing annual contribution to surge mobilization reserve to prepare for larger outbreaks.

Civilian Compensation Reserve $125K/yr

[#15] Annual contingency for door/property repair, compensation, NDAs (~$50k–$200k; midpoint used).

Insurance Premiums $125K/yr

[#20] Annual insurance/indemnity premiums (~$50k–$200k/yr; midpoint used).

Facilities Maintenance $109K/yr

[#8, #18] Lease and maintenance for temporary holding facility (~$54k/yr) and vault maintenance/power/security (~$55k/yr).

Training Exercises $100K/yr

[#12] Regular training, scenario exercises, instructors and travel (~$50k–$150k/yr; midpoint used).

Amnestics Risk Fund $100K/yr

[#17] Stockpile replacement, adverse-event monitoring, follow-up and oversight (~$50k–$150k/yr; midpoint used).

Logistics And Transport $80K/yr

[#4] Vehicle maintenance, fuel, insurance and replacement reserve (~$80k/yr).

Supplies And Consumables $60K/yr

[#5, #6] Recurring PPE/gear/ammo/training consumables (~$50k/yr) and on-scene medical consumables (~$10k/yr).

Victim Medical Reserve $50K/yr

[#14] Reserve for victim hospitalization/long-term care per serious case (budgetary reserve).

Communications And Cybersecurity $40K/yr

[#19] Ongoing security monitoring/licensing/certification for encrypted comms and secure databases (~$25k–$60k/yr; midpoint used).

Psychological Support $40K/yr

[#21] Staff mental-health support, counseling and debriefing (~$20k–$60k/yr; midpoint used).

Monitoring Infrastructure $20K/yr

[#1] Monitoring platform hosting/maintenance and comms lines for automated scraping and analyst tooling (~$20k/yr).

Hazardous Waste Permits $10K/yr

[#9] Ongoing permits/compliance related to hazardous/annihilation/disposal (~$10k/yr).

Per Incident Operational Costs Estimate $0/yr

[#13] Per-incident operational costs vary widely (handled in scenarios); baseline recurring set to $0 here so incident costs appear only in scenario/contingency lines.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.1M/yr

58.0% probability / year

Normal year with no major incidents beyond routine monitoring, training, and maintenance costs.

routine_monitoring scheduled_training no_significant_incidents

🚨 Minor Incident $4.1M/yr

30.0% probability / year +$20K vs baseline

One or a few low-severity incidents (single-civilian, incineration feasible) requiring several deployments and modest per-incident expenses.

single_low_severity_incident local_deployment evidence_incineration

🚨 Medium Incident Wave $4.3M/yr

10.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline

Several medium-severity incidents in a year (injuries, multiple civilians, legal follow-up) requiring extra operational deployments, medical treatment, legal action and repair/compensation.

multiple_medium_incidents hospitalization hazardous_disposal_and_litigation

🚨 Major Outbreak $6.6M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline

Significant surge/spread event affecting many homes simultaneously requiring surge staffing, mass amnestic administration, large-scale incineration and broad cover operations.

widespread_increase_in_frequency mass_amnestic_administration surge_mobilization_activation

👥 Personnel 20 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	12	[#2] MTF Rho-4 core operators (12 FTE).
MTF Administrative / Support	2	[#2] Dedicated on-call admin/support for MTF operations.
Intelligence Analyst	2	[#1] 24/7 monitoring analysts supporting automated scraping and triage.
Research Scientist / Technician	2	[#10] 2 dedicated technicians/researchers for dismantling and analysis.
Pharmacy / Medical Technician	1	[#7] Pharmacy staff to manage Class-A amnestic stock, QA and dosing.
Administrative Staff	1	[#25] Site-level administrative/accounting support (procurement, budgeting).

📋 Confidence Notes

Multiple line items are given as wide ranges and per-incident costs are highly variable; staffing costs and many fixed items are well-described but incident frequency and severity are uncertain, producing medium confidence in the aggregated annual estimate.

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