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SCP-1905 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1905
Expected annual
$249K
One-time setup
$428K
Annual recurring
$246K
Personnel
1.9
Initial one-time containment and testing setup is estimated at approximately $428,100, driven largely by range upgrades, remote-firing/robotic equipment, ammunition setup, and research instrumentation. Recurring annual costs are estimated at $245,650, driven mainly by staff wages, ammunition resupply/contracting, and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $428K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $160K
[#7, #8, #11, #21, #27] Initial ammunition purchase (starting stock), ammunition-manufacturing/press setup (one-time), ballistics instrumentation/high-speed capture hardware, secure data-storage hardware, and advanced materials-analysis initial setup.
Facilities $158K
[#1, #9] Costs for a hardened storage locker (or small vault) and ballistic range / reinforced backstop upgrades.
Equipment $94K
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #10, #15, #22, #23] Electronic access control, CCTV/NVR and sensors, alarm setup (one-time portion), mechanical interlocks, remote firing rig hardware, HEPA vacuum (initial), spare parts initial stock, and emergency containment kit.
Sop Creation And Initial Training $8K
[#18] SOP creation and initial operator training / drills.
Legal And Permits Initial $5K
[#19] Initial legal/permitting fees and compliance-related onboarding.
Medical And Decon Supplies $3K
[#16] Initial first-aid and decontamination equipment (respirators, eyewash, emergency shower allowances).
Cleaning And Maintenance Kit $600
[#6] Initial specialized cleaning & maintenance kit (solvents, brushes, small gunsmith tools).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $246K/yr
Staff Wages $123K/yr
[#12, #13] Security personnel (recommended ~1.25 FTE) and fractional research/weapons tech FTEs (gunsmith/ballistics tech + materials researcher).
Research And Monitoring $40K/yr
[#11, #18, #21, #27] Instrumentation consumables/calibration, refresher training and drills, secure data storage & maintenance, and follow-up advanced-research/analysis consumables.
Ammunition Resupply $20K/yr
[#7] Ongoing ammunition purchases for testing/resupply (.577 Tyrannosaur rounds; quantity/frequency-driven).
Hazard Pay $15K/yr
[#14] Hazard pay / psychological screening premiums for assigned staff.
Cover Story And Legal $13K/yr
[#19, #24] Ongoing compliance costs, permits, legal counsel and a modest contingency/reserve for rare public-exposure remediation.
Logistics And Transport $10K/yr
[#20] Secure/armored transport or escorted shipments for offsite testing or vendor pickups (quarterly cadence assumed).
Ammo Manufacturing Contract $10K/yr
[#8] Ongoing contract or in-house custom-loading operational costs (per-round costs and vendor fees).
Supplies And Consumables $9K/yr
[#6, #15, #16, #17, #22] Cleaning consumables replacement, per-instance debris cleanup labor & waste bags, medical consumables, waste disposal per testing cadence, and spare-parts/repair consumables.
Facilities Maintenance $4K/yr
[#4, #26] Alarm/integration maintenance and periodic facility audits / re-certification.
Energy And Utilities $1K/yr
[#25] Incremental electricity/ventilation/utility costs for cameras, locks, ventilation and occasional heavy equipment.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $246K/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine testing, maintenance, and no significant incidents.
scheduled_testing routine_maintenance regular_ammo_resupply
🚨 Minor Incident $271K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
Unplanned manifest or accidental activation resulting in localized cleanup, medical attention, overtime and investigation.
unplanned_manifestation_during_handling failed_remote_test minor_injury_or_debris_cleanup
🚨 Major Breach $446K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Transport crash, public manifestation, or larger containment breach requiring large-scale recovery, PR/legal actions, and extended operations.
transport_incident public_manifestation large_scale_breach
👥 Personnel 1.9 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 1.25 [#12] Dedicated security custodians with firearm qualification; fractional/incremental FTE relative to site staffing.
Ballistics Specialist / Gunsmith 0.3 [#13] Fractional FTE for gunsmithing, repairs, and test rig maintenance.
Research Scientist / Materials Scientist 0.35 [#13, #27] Fractional FTE for ballistics research, materials analysis, and anomalous-study work.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges for most categories, so estimates are informed; significant uncertainty remains around ammunition quantities/pricing, range upgrade scope, and whether a dedicated containment/test program is chosen versus integration into existing facilities.
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