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SCP-1948 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1948
Expected annual
$1.2M
One-time setup
$2.0M
Annual recurring
$1.2M
Personnel
5
First-year one-time setup costs are dominated by containment suite buildout, instrumentation, and large optional contingencies (~$2.0M). Recurring annual costs (baseline ~$1.17M/yr) are driven by two specialist scientists, ongoing monitoring/research, and contingency/reserve funds.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.0M
Geoengineering Contingency $1.0M
[#22] Optional contingency fund for regional economic mitigation/geoengineering-style responses (one-time, scale-dependent).
Recovery And Settlement Historical $600K
[#20] Historical recovery operation and settlement/hospitalization/legal costs from initial recovery (one-time historical expense).
Facilities $100K
[#1, #3] Containment suite build/retrofit and HVAC/environmental control upgrade (includes labor, permitting, insulation/sealing and structural HVAC work).
Insurance Reserve $100K
[#25] One-time reserve/incidental fund for legal/indemnity exposures (initial reserve portion).
Equipment $97K
[#2, #4, #11, #12] Standard avian cage and spares, meteorological station hardware, CCTV/alarms hardware, and backup power/generator purchase.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $42K
[#5, #23] Data storage/compute/analysis setup and long-term biobanking equipment (freezer, sequencing/sample prep).
Rapid Response Gear $15K
[#16] One-time purchase of capture cages, initial PPE, and specialist rapid-response gear.
Amnestic Administration Per Case $9K
[#21] Per-case cost estimate for amnestic administration and follow-up (one-time per-person when used).
Secure Transport Equipment $3K
[#17] Climate-controlled secure transport box and related transit gear.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.2M/yr
Staff Wages $400K/yr
[#6, #7, #8] Two resident scientists (~$250k total), one FTE animal care technician (~$60k), and security staffing (~$90k total).
Recovery Contingency Fund $300K/yr
[#20] Annual contingency/reserve to cover potential future recovery operations, settlements, or large incident response.
Research And Monitoring $228K/yr
[#4, #5, #14, #15, #23, #24] Instrument maintenance/calibration (~#4), hosting/licenses/compute (~#5), dedicated research program budget (~#14), regional field monitoring (~#15), biobank storage (~#23), and consumables for meteorological experiments (~#24).
Cover Story And Legal $164K/yr
[#18, #19, #25] Administrative/compliance/auditing (~#18), public-relations/local liaison/cover-up budgets (~#19), and recurring insurance/legal premium/reserve (~#25).
Rapid Response Readiness $60K/yr
[#16] Annual training, on-call team readiness, consumables, and recurring capture/training costs.
Facilities Maintenance $13K/yr
[#3, #11, #12, #13] HVAC compensatory energy and minor maintenance (~#3), CCTV/storage maintenance (~#11), generator testing/fuel (~#12), and facility inspections/repairs (~#13).
Supplies And Consumables $4K/yr
[#2, #9, #10] Amortized cage/spare replacement (~#2), husbandry and cleaning supplies (~#9), and routine veterinary diagnostics/clinic costs (~#10).
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.2M/yr
93.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, staffing, and no major incidents.
routine_operations scheduled_research_campaigns normal_husbandry
🚨 Minor Incident $1.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Small containment breach or weather-driven local damage requiring targeted response, repairs, limited legal/amnestic actions.
localized_breach minor_property_damage limited_public_exposure
🚨 Major Breach $2.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Significant escape/behavior change resulting in casualties, prolonged recovery, legal settlements, and large-scale redeployment.
large_escape casualties extended_recovery_operations
🚨 Geoeconomic Contingency $2.7M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant regional climate/economic impact requiring geoengineering mitigation, large compensation, or broad PR/liaison efforts.
visible_regional_climate_shift tourism/agriculture_impacts political_exposure
👥 Personnel 5 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 2 [#6] Two resident scientists (ornithologist and meteorologist) as required by containment.
Animal Care Technician 1 [#7] One FTE technician for daily husbandry and veterinary coordination.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#8] Site-level security presence (night/weekend coverage and monitoring).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges for most categories, enabling medium confidence. Large one-off contingencies (geoengineering, major settlements) are highly uncertain, reducing overall confidence from high.
← SCP-1947 ↑ All SCPs SCP-1949 →