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SCP-1979 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1979
Expected annual
$3.7M
One-time setup
$4.1M
Annual recurring
$3.4M
Personnel
16
Estimated one-time capital of approximately $3.96M driven primarily by contingency/insurance reserves and off-site control buildout; recurring costs run about $3.39M/yr driven by continuous staffing, fuel/maintenance, security and logistics.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.1M
Emergency Contingency Reserve $1.2M
[#23] Immediate-access contingency/breach response reserve (recommended reserve fund for evacuation, remediation, rapid repairs).
Equipment $799K
[#3, #7, #9, #10, #12, #17, #18] Triple-redundant power infrastructure, mechanic tooling/diagnostics, redundant backup treadmill, automated fail-safe systems, medical equipment, hardened communications/monitoring hardware, and surge/isolation hardware one-time capital.
Insurance Reserve $600K
[#26] Specialized insurance / financial reserve for third-party damage & liability.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $400K
[#11, #22] Monitoring & diagnostics instrumentation (hardened sensors, data-logging) and specialized test equipment for research/containment-protocol development.
Facilities $365K
[#1, #2, #19] Containment room construction, structural reinforcement for treadmill mount, and initial ventilation/lead-safety setup (darkened lead-lined chamber construction, vibration isolation, ventilation/filtration setup).
Offsite Control Center $250K
[#30] Optional off-site duplicate control/monitoring facility one-time buildout.
Research Equipment Initial $125K
[#22] One-time specialized test equipment for experiments and modeling of safe operating windows.
Decommissioning Reserve $125K
[#24] Planning / reserve for decontamination and disposal of lead-lined components and treadmill at end-of-life.
Training Program Initial $65K
[#14] Initial training program and certification setup for treadmill users, mechanics, med & security teams.
Spare Parts Initial Inventory $40K
[#8] Initial spare-parts inventory (belts, motors, controllers, sensors) to enable rapid repair without external shipping.
Compliance And Permitting Initial $40K
[#20] Initial regulatory compliance, permits, and consultancy fees for site, fuel storage, hazardous-materials permitting.
Cover Story Initial $30K
[#21] One-time cover story / plausible local employment setup and initial PR/liaison expenditures.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.4M/yr
Staff Wages $1.4M/yr
[#6, #7, #12] Continuous human-use operator salaries and benefits, skilled mechanics (on-call/rotation), and on-site medical staff salaries and associated HR costs.
Facilities Maintenance $505K/yr
[#4, #5, #19, #27] Fuel storage and generator maintenance contracts, ongoing electricity costs, ventilation/lead-safety maintenance, and miscellaneous facility overhead (utilities, lodging, admin).
Research And Monitoring $405K/yr
[#11, #22, #13] Ongoing monitoring instrumentation maintenance & data storage, research program recurring costs, and medical surveillance/long-term health monitoring.
Logistics And Transport $212K/yr
[#16, #30] Air/ground staff rotation, emergency medevac contracts, spare part deliveries to remote Alaska site, and off-site control center operating costs.
Security And Access Control $200K/yr
[#15] Incremental security staffing and access-control systems (24/7 guard coverage, secure doors, intrusion detection).
Cover Story And Legal $158K/yr
[#20, #21, #29] Ongoing regulatory fees, legal cover story maintenance, public-liaison costs, ethical oversight, and record-keeping.
Redundant User Pool $125K/yr
[#25] Recruitment, training and management costs to maintain a large pool of operators / personnel replacements.
Contingency Replenishment $100K/yr
[#23] Annual replenishment allocation for contingency/breach response fund as incidents occur.
Insurance Annual Allocation $100K/yr
[#26] Annual allocation to maintain insurance/reserve levels for third-party liabilities.
Supplies And Consumables $78K/yr
[#8, #28] Spare-parts replenishment and annual allowance for testing & instrumentation replacement/consumables.
Training Program Recurring $35K/yr
[#14] Ongoing training, recertification, and drills for operators, mechanics, med & security teams.
Communications Maintenance $25K/yr
[#17] High-availability communications maintenance and isolation upkeep (fiber/optical lines, Faraday cages).
Isolation Hardware Maintenance $12K/yr
[#18] Maintenance for surge/isolation hardware, galvanic isolators and specialized circuits.
Fail Safe Maintenance $12K/yr
[#10] Annual maintenance and software/hardware updates for automated fail-safe and auto-start systems.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.4M/yr
55.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with continuous operation and routine maintenance only.
continuous_operation routine_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $3.6M/yr
35.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Local mechanical failure or short outage requiring expedited repairs, overtime, and expedited shipping of parts.
mechanical_failure expedited_parts overtime_repairs
🚨 Major Breach $4.9M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Prolonged downtime or user error leads to field expansion requiring emergency response, remediation, replacements and public cover-up actions.
prolonged_downtime field_expansion emergency_response
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $6.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$3.5M vs baseline
Severe interface event causes third-party infrastructure damage or widespread contamination requiring large-scale remediation and liability payments.
large_field_expansion third_party_damage major_remediation
👥 Personnel 16 total
Role Count Notes
Operators / Runners 10 [#6] Continuous-use personnel to meet '55 minutes out of every hour' requirement (rotating shifts).
Mechanic / Maintenance 3 [#7] Skilled mechanics on rotation / rapid on-call response for treadmill repairs.
Medical Officer 3 [#12] On-site medics and on-call physician coverage for continuous operator health monitoring.
📋 Confidence Notes
Mid-level confidence: analyst notes provide ranges for most line items and clear operational requirements (continuous staffing, redundancy), but many contingency/insurance/reserve choices and remote-site premiums are judgment calls.
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