SCP-2002 Neutralized ? low confidence
SCP-2002
Expected annual
$26.8M
One-time setup
$229.8M
Annual recurring
$25.2M
Personnel
75
Estimated one-time program setup costs are approximately $230M, driven mainly by a dedicated space mission, large-scale salvage, and facility upgrades; ongoing yearly costs are about $25.25M driven by research staffing, security operations, and sustained cover/legal/media operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $229.8M
Space Mission And Launch $100.0M
[#2] Building/tasking/diverting a probe/relay satellite or new launch to intercept/relay images and telemetry.
Facilities $51.0M
[#5, #13] Reinforced hangar construction/upgrade and custom cradles/HVAC/vibration isolation for large hull fragments.
Salvage And Recovery $50.0M
[#3] Crash-site recovery: salvage vessels, ROVs/submersibles, heavy lift, helicopters, ship days, port fees, on-site security.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $6.3M
[#6, #14, #11] Specialized analytical instruments, initial data infrastructure purchases, and high-containment autopsy suite setup.
Contingency Reserves Insurance $5.0M
[#28] Incident/accident insurance and contingency reserves held for liability, cleanup, and litigation.
Diplomatic Influence One Time $5.0M
[#20] Discrete high-value payments or quid-pro-quo arrangements to alter or suppress external records/data.
Security Tactical Equipment $5.0M
[#10] Initial tactical unit equipment, vehicle amortization, training and specialized field assets.
Security Hardware Initial $4.0M
[#27] Perimeter sensors, EMP/Faraday shielding, CCTV, drones and initial installation.
Destruction Disposal Capabilities $2.0M
[#29] Facilities/procedures for controlled demolition, high-temp incineration, or deep burial of anomalous material.
Transport And Heavy Lift $1.0M
[#4] Secure transport of wreckage to Site-102: armored convoys, cargo aircraft, barges, cranes, escorts.
Hazardous Waste Initial $500K
[#12] Initial hazardous waste remediation and disposal setup and contractor engagement.
Equipment $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $25.2M/yr
Staff Wages $8.0M/yr
[#8, #9] Long-term research team (physicists, engineers, etc.) and technical/site operations staff salaries + benefits + overhead.
Cover Story And Legal $5.1M/yr
[#16, #19, #24, #17, #18] Public disinformation campaigns, legal budgets/gag orders/litigation support, takedown/forensic rebuttals, social media monitoring and covert influence payments targeted at fringe organizations/observatories.
Security Operations $5.0M/yr
[#10] 24/7 armed security presence, tactical rapid-response teams, training, operations, and vehicle/aircraft availability amortization.
Research And Monitoring $2.5M/yr
[#1, #7, #15, #25] Deep-space monitoring, beamtime/supercomputing allocations, ongoing signal analysis/translation, and long-term artifact research/collaboration funding.
Emergency Planning $2.0M/yr
[#23] Contingency planning, national/international exercises, modeling, and maintained emergency response readiness.
Communications Jamming And Spectrum Control $500K/yr
[#30] Ongoing equipment/operations for jamming/spoofing and global RF monitoring.
Energy And Utilities $500K/yr
[#26] Powering large labs, climate control for hangars and instruments, generators and fuel overhead.
Facilities Maintenance $300K/yr
[#13] Ongoing maintenance for hangars, HVAC, humidity/temp control and artifact supports.
Forensic Pathology Operations $300K/yr
[#11] Ongoing autopsy/pathology analyses, preservation and storage costs for remains.
Counterintelligence And Vetting $300K/yr
[#21] Background reinvestigations, polygraphs, internal monitoring to prevent leaks.
Supplies And Consumables $200K/yr
[#12] Hazardous waste disposal, consumables for decontamination and routine disposals.
Amnestic Counseling Programs $200K/yr
[#22] Counseling, relocation, rehabilitation and secrecy-maintenance support for involved personnel.
Security Hardware Maintenance $200K/yr
[#27] Annual maintenance and calibration for perimeter sensors, EMP shielding upkeep, and drone/CCTV servicing.
Data Infrastructure Operations $150K/yr
[#14] Secure classified servers, air-gapped backups, encryption maintenance, and off-site storage operations.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $25.2M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with ongoing research, security, and cover operations but no major incidents.
routine_research steady_media_monitoring no_major_leaks
🚨 Minor Incident $30.2M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Localized leak or small-scale public exposure requiring intensified legal/disinformation and rapid-response operations.
image_leak viral_social_media_attention
🚨 Major Breach $75.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach, large public disclosure, or catastrophic field incident requiring salvage, emergency remediation, and high-level diplomatic/legal engagement.
large_public_exposure field_incident_requiring_massive_cleanup
👥 Personnel 75 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 30 Senior/junior scientists, engineers, xenobiologists and specialized analysts covered in research staffing [#8].
Technician / Technical Staff 40 Lab technicians, instrument techs, IT/admin support and facilities technicians covered in technical staffing [#9].
Administrative Staff 5 Project administrators and program managers included in overall staff wages [#8, #9].
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are built from wide analyst ranges and significant uncertainty about scope (scale of salvage, diplomatic costs, and long-term research tempo). Many cost items are highly variable and scenario-dependent, so confidence is low.
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