SCP-2020 Euclid-exsequi ~ medium confidence
SCP-2020
Expected annual
$1.9M
One-time setup
$2.6M
Annual recurring
$1.9M
Personnel
12
Initial startup and contingency funding dominate one-time costs (~$2.6M), while recurring annual operations (security, core research staff, monitoring, consumables, overhead) run ~ $1.85M/yr; major-cost drivers are staff wages, contingency/reserve allocations, and episodic national-lab campaigns.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.6M
Contingency Reserve Allocation $625K
[#23] Program contingency reserve allocation for catastrophic scenarios/exposure (one-time fund placement).
Initial Legal And Recovery $500K
[#13] Initial recovery/cover-up contingency, legal counsel, NDAs, liaison and contingency payments (one-time contingency tranche).
Strategic Research Initial Tranche $500K
[#25] Initial tranche for long-term strategic research (multiyear high-cost campaigns / national lab access seed funding).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $350K
[#7] Initial comprehensive analytical campaign (SEM/TEM, Raman, FTIR, mass spec, synchrotron/National Lab time as needed).
Facilities $240K
[#1, #17] Containment cell retrofit (anti-tear coatings, feed port, reinforced locks, observation window, mic mounts) and fire-suppression/emergency upgrades.
Equipment $216K
[#5, #9, #10, #21] Monitoring hardware/software purchase, specialized cutting/processing hardware, freezer/cabinet for Subsite-Bio-17, initial secure digitization/server.
Initial Transport And Recovery $150K
[#14] Initial secure transfer/recovery (armored transport, secure couriers, specialized packaging) and planned transfer costs.
Baseline Screening Program $5K
[#16] One-time baseline medical screening program setup (staff screening for latex/chemical sensitivities).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.9M/yr
Staff Wages $963K/yr
[#4, #6, #5, #15] Security staff wages & benefits (6 FTE guards), core research team salaries & benefits (PI, postdoc, 2 techs), part-time human reviewer/transcription FTE (monitoring), and part-time psychologist/behaviorist FTE.
Research And Monitoring $212K/yr
[#8, #12] Ongoing analytical budget for follow-up experiments and annual destructive-testing/sample-replacement working budget.
Site Overhead And Administration $175K/yr
[#20] Pro rata Site-level overhead allocation (administration, IT, clearance processing, facilities).
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#13] Ongoing legal/liaison/cover-story costs, counsel and liaison with government/military.
Strategic Research Fund Renewal $100K/yr
[#25] Recurring renewal rounds or top-ups for multiyear strategic research programs (episodic high-cost campaigns).
External Collaborations $50K/yr
[#22] Travel, paid collaborators, small grants to outside labs for corroborative analyses or origin investigations.
Contingency Replenishment $50K/yr
[#23] Annual replenishment target for program contingency/reserve as used by incidents or planned replenishment.
Supplies And Consumables $32K/yr
[#2, #11, #9] Daily shredded-paper dietary supply processing, general lab consumables and PPE, and consumables for specialized cutting/processing equipment.
Monitoring And Transcription $30K/yr
[#5] ASR/cloud storage fees, on-site recording storage and indexing (recurring software/storage costs).
Emergency Response Readiness $28K/yr
[#18] Emergency response team readiness, drills, specialized kits and overtime drills.
Facilities Maintenance $24K/yr
[#3, #10, #17] Cell housekeeping/waste handling and disposal, Subsite-Bio-17 sample storage monitoring/maintenance, and ongoing fire-suppression/system testing.
Logistics And Transport $20K/yr
[#14] Routine secure transfers/maintenance moves and courier costs (annual planned transfers).
Intellectual Property And Ethics $20K/yr
[#24] Legal/ethical management for texts/ideas produced by a sapient subject and compliance work.
Training And Medical Surveillance $18K/yr
[#16] Ongoing medical surveillance, PPE training, clearance renewals and emergency drills for staff safety.
Energy And Utilities $16K/yr
[#19] HVAC, continuous monitoring equipment power, freezer(s) and general site utilities for cell/equipment.
Data Archival Maintenance $15K/yr
[#21] Annual maintenance, redaction work and secure archive upkeep for transcripts, video, and research notes.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.9M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with scheduled research, monitoring, routine transfers and no major incidents.
no breaches scheduled experiments only no major legal exposures
🚨 Minor Incident $2.0M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Small containment incident or equipment failure requiring overtime, repairs, temporary relocation of samples and limited remediation.
localized containment breach equipment failure requiring replacement minor contamination event
🚨 Major Breach $3.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or exposure event requiring large-scale emergency response, legal/cover operations, and potential public containment actions.
full escape or public exposure multi-site emergency response major litigation/cover-up operations
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $2.5M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$600K vs baseline
Opportunity or need for a large national-lab campaign / synchrotron time and major destructive testing requiring expanded funding for that year.
need for synchrotron/national-lab time large destructive test campaign external collaboration scale-up
🚨 Political Exposure $2.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Discovery or partial exposure to external parties requiring extensive legal, liaison, cover-up, and political mitigation costs.
unauthorized disclosure media or governmental inquiry whistleblower/legal action
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#4] Minimum 2 guards per shift × 3 shifts = 6 FTE security staff (higher-clearance pay).
Research Scientist (PI) 1 [#6] Senior researcher / principal investigator.
Research Scientist / Postdoc / Senior Tech 1 [#6] Postdoc or senior technical researcher supporting experiments.
Lab Technician 2 [#6] Two lab technicians for daily experiments and sample handling.
Transcription / Human Reviewer 1 [#5] 0.5 FTE human reviewer for ASR verification (counted as 1 headcount, part-time).
Psychologist / Behaviorist 1 [#15] Part-time psychologist/behaviorist (0.2–0.5 FTE represented as one part-time headcount).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes are detailed with ranges for most line items, allowing reasonable mid-point estimates; uncertainty remains due to ranges, episodic national-lab costs, and contingencies for catastrophic scenarios.
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