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SCP-2028 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2028
Expected annual
$2.2M
One-time setup
$7.1M
Annual recurring
$2.1M
Personnel
16
Estimated one-time setup costs are approximately $7.09M driven primarily by Site-91 construction, land acquisition and contingency reserves; ongoing annual costs are roughly $2.15M driven by staff wages, research/monitoring, legal/cover-up, and emergency readiness.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $7.1M
Facilities $4.6M
[#1, #2, #19, #22] Site-91 construction hardened shell and land acquisition/compensation plus animal-control perimeter measures and vibration/impact mitigation (combined structural and site work).
Equipment $1.1M
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #10, #12, #14] One-time purchase and installation of utilities-related hardware (generators/UPS/HVAC), padded/shock-monitored storage containers, remote-handling robots, REM-detection access interlocks, emergency-response gear, monitoring/CCTV installation, and secure used-instance locker hardware.
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#11] Contingency / damage remediation reserve fund for Alpha events and large repairs (one-time seed reserve).
Decommissioning And Disposal Planning $300K
[#24] One-time budget for decommissioning/disposal planning and research into neutralization/disposal pathways.
Legal Retainer $40K
[#18] Initial one-time legal/PR retainer and cover-up setup fees.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $20K
[#21] Initial archival and specimen management setup (cataloguing, databases, tagging) and minor research LIMS setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.1M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#7] Ongoing salaries and benefits for core site staffing (L3 oversight, researchers/technicians, security coverage, site manager, clinicians, containment techs, admin).
Research And Monitoring $345K/yr
[#6, #12, #15, #21, #23] Recurring costs for REM-detection calibration, data storage/monitoring maintenance, specialized research budget (imaging, fMRI/EEG, experiments), archival record upkeep, and forensics/anomaly-analysis specialists and tools.
Cover Story And Legal $275K/yr
[#18, #20] Ongoing PR/cover-up, legal counsel, liaison with local authorities, plus internal insurance/indemnity reserves.
Emergency Response And Training $100K/yr
[#10] Ongoing drills, equipment replacement, specialized hazmat and response team training specific to 2028-Alpha events.
D Class And Subject Costs $100K/yr
[#9] Costs for acquiring, maintaining, monitoring and post-care for human test subjects (D-class or equivalent), plus oversight/ethics processing.
Facilities Maintenance $90K/yr
[#3, #17] Recurring fuel/maintenance for generators/UPS/HVAC and routine repair/replacement of non-anomalous containment infrastructure.
Medical And Psych Care $80K/yr
[#8] On-site medical and psychiatric care for staff and subjects including counseling, meds, screening and emergency readiness.
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#16] Secure transfer and transport costs for moving instances between Site-91, Site-20, and research facilities.
Supplies And Consumables $20K/yr
[#13] PPE, gloves, batteries, spare parts and routine consumables for handling and experiments.
Used Instance Maintenance $3K/yr
[#14] Ongoing maintenance/calibration and monitoring for the vibration-damped used-instance locker and signage/authorization systems.
Animal Control Maintenance $3K/yr
[#19] Ongoing perimeter wildlife deterrent maintenance and farmer outreach to prevent accidental exposures.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.1M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine operations and no major containment incidents.
normal operations scheduled research routine maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $2.5M/yr
7.0% probability / year +$350K vs baseline
Accidental breakage or small-scale Alpha requiring emergency response, localized remediation, and moderate replacements.
accidental breakage mishandling during handling/transfer single-instance Alpha event
🚨 Major Breach $4.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or large/long-duration 2028-Alpha causing structural repairs, extensive remediation, and possible relocation/compensation.
large impact break multiple-instance failure extended Alpha persistence
🚨 Research Scaleup $2.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Planned or reactive increase in research activity (large experiment series, scale-up of imaging and testing) requiring extra equipment, staff time, and transfers.
major funded research program intensive testing campaign need for outsourced neuroimaging time
👥 Personnel 16 total
Role Count Notes
Level-3 Researcher 1 [#7] Oversight and approval authority for experiments.
Research Scientist / Technician 3 [#7, #15, #23] Conduct experiments, imaging, forensics and specimen analysis.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#7] 24/7 security coverage to maintain perimeter and access control.
Containment Technician 3 [#7, #5, #14] Handle instances, operate remote manipulators and maintain storage protocols.
Site Manager / Facilities Tech 1 [#7, #3, #17] Facilities upkeep, utilities and coordination of maintenance.
Medical Officer / Psychologist 1 [#8] Part-time on-site medical and psychiatric care for staff and subjects.
Administrative Staff 1 [#21, #18] Recordkeeping, archival management, legal/cover coordination and administrative support.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst-provided ranges and reasonable mid-point assumptions; SCP description gives good operational detail but many line items (real-estate, contingency needs, and incident frequency/severity) have wide variances, reducing confidence.
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