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SCP-2045 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2045
Expected annual
$10.1M
One-time setup
$166.3M
Annual recurring
$9.7M
Personnel
10
One-time capital costs dominated by optional mass-scenario civil works and mitigation equipment (~$166M total); recurring annual costs including staffing, monitoring, security and potential mass-response obligations ~ $9.7M/yr, with mass-scenario monitoring and field operations as the main recurring drivers.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $166.3M
Facilities $100.6M
[#1, #16, #25] Secure humanoid containment cell construction, potential site relocation and large civil-engineering diversion plan if mass scenario applies.
Environmental Remediation Initial $25.0M
[#26] Initial large-scale environmental remediation planning/costs in case mass scenario occurs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $12.0M
[#23, #28] Mass-scenario early-warning monitoring setup and initial specialized R&D program startup (lab/field instrumentation).
Equipment $10.0M
[#3, #8, #24] Dummy tractor prop, surveillance install (one-time), and purchase of heavy mitigation equipment (purchase option).
Large Scale Pr Reserve $10.0M
[#30] One-time contingency reserve for mass-event PR/legal containment and cover operations.
Victim Recovery Initial $8.0M
[#27] Initial morgue/forensic response and emergency victim-recovery costs for a mass event.
Conservation Center Setup $500K
[#31] One-time setup for a small conservation lab / artifact storage center.
Cataloging Archive Initial $50K
[#20] Initial cataloging/archive setup for recovered artifacts (distinct from larger conservation center).
Medical Amnestic Supplies $20K
[#9] One-time stockpile and training for amnestic supplies and medical responder preparedness.
Data Security Setup $15K
[#22] One-time special IT access controls and logging setup for anomalous-file access.
Conservation Stabilization $14K
[#11] One-time stabilization/restoration of the automaton.
Administrative Setup $10K
[#14] One-time secure-records setup, redaction tools and offsite backup initialization.
Ppe Kit $5K
[#12] Initial PPE, cleaners and hot-water cleaning equipment kit for molasses handling.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $9.7M/yr
Research And Monitoring $4.3M/yr
[#23, #26, #28] Ongoing mass-monitoring data analysis, environmental monitoring, and recurring specialized R&D program costs.
Mass Field Station Staff Costs $2.5M/yr
[#29] Long-term field station staffing/security/science costs if mass scenario is active.
Mitigation Equipment Leasing $1.0M/yr
[#24] Annual leasing option for heavy equipment if purchase is not chosen (mass scenario contingency).
Staff Wages $780K/yr
[#6, #7, #18] Salaries/benefits/overhead for one Level-3 operative, 6 site security guards, and research-team salaries (2–3 researchers aggregated).
Victim Recovery Longterm $500K/yr
[#27] Ongoing identification, family liaison, and mortuary/forensic follow-up costs after a mass event.
Logistics And Transport $160K/yr
[#10, #21] Debris-clearing operations and transport/logistics (fuel, vehicles, occasional aerial support).
Contingency Reserve $150K/yr
[#32] General contingency reserve (approx. 10–20% guideline applied to baseline operations).
Archive And Cataloging Operation $125K/yr
[#20, #31] Ongoing archive operation and conservation center running costs.
Incident Response Fund $75K/yr
[#17] Small-scale incident contingency for public exposure, vandalism, accidental spills (quick-response teams/overtime).
Forensic Biohazard Handling $50K/yr
[#19] Baseline forensic/biohazard disposal and surveillance costs.
Cover Story And Legal $22K/yr
[#14, #15] Ongoing admin/redaction costs and cover-story/liaison expenditures (front company, small payments, PR queries).
Supplies And Consumables $22K/yr
[#5, #9, #12] Weekly bucket consumables, amnestic resupply/on-call med tech operating costs (recurring portion), PPE resupply and solvents.
Facilities Maintenance $15K/yr
[#2, #8, #11] Annual HVAC/repairs/sealing; surveillance maintenance; ongoing conservator minor upkeep.
Training And Drills $10K/yr
[#13] Annual refresher training, drills and SOP maintenance.
Data Security Maintenance $3K/yr
[#22] Annual maintenance of special IT access/logging controls.
Dummy Tractor Upkeep $2K/yr
[#4] Repairs, repainting, vandalism mitigation and storage for the dummy tractor.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $9.7M/yr
94.8% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, maintenance, and small incidents handled within contingency; no mass scenario activation.
routine operations scheduled maintenance no large incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $9.9M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized public exposure, vandalism, or small spill requiring emergency response, amnestics, overtime, and modest repairs.
vandalism/theft public contact requiring amnestics small molasses spill
🚨 Mass Activation $183.2M/yr
0.2% probability / year +$173.5M vs baseline
Low-probability re-manifestation or activation of the 300x300x10 m molasses mass requiring major engineering works, mass-response, R&D scale-up, and long-term remediation.
mass re-manifestation large-scale threat to infrastructure major public casualties/exposure
👥 Personnel 10 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#7] 6 guards (2 per shift × 3 shifts) as specified.
Level-3 Personnel / Operative 1 [#6] One Level-3-qualified operative (weekly entry duties).
Research Scientist 3 [#18] Team of 2–3 researchers; budgeted here as 3 researchers (included in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Baseline containment costs and recurring staffing/maintenance are well-specified by analyst notes; low-probability mass-scenario estimates are highly uncertain in scope and timing, so overall confidence is medium.
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