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SCP-2069 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2069
Expected annual
$1.5M
One-time setup
$4.3M
Annual recurring
$1.5M
Personnel
12
Initial (one-time) setup is dominated by a historical MTF recovery sunk cost and facility retrofit/containment buildout (~$4.32M total one-time); ongoing annual costs are dominated by staff/security wages and site overhead (~$1.51M/year).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.3M
Sunk Mtf Recovery $3.0M
[#14] Historical MTF Sigma-8 recovery & demobilization (sunk cost) including mobilization, vessels, personnel (~$1M–$5M; midpoint used).
Facilities $400K
[#1] Warehouse retrofit: reinforced entrances, quarantine room, blast-rated storage, decontamination airlock, fire suppression upgrade, odor/mold control.
Equipment $365K
[#2, #3, #5, #12] Storage fixtures and per-item containment ($200k), HVAC installation and monitoring hardware ($65k), electronic security installation ($80k), initial IT hardening/setup ($20k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $255K
[#8, #10, #15] Initial biological/memetic hazard screening (historical lab/contract costs $150k), one-time advanced-instrument characterization campaign ($75k), initial conservation/stabilization ($30k).
Emergency Kit And Reserve $125K
[#19] One-time emergency kit and contingency fund for rapid response (containment barriers, transport cases, tents, PPE).
Legal Cover Setup $75K
[#16] Initial legal/cover-story setup, retainer and cover-company establishment.
Inventory Cataloging $55K
[#11] RFID/barcode tags/readers and database/cataloging labor for 2,308 items (tags/readers ~$15k; cataloging labor ~$40k).
Long Term Archival Duplication $30K
[#21] Offsite duplicate catalog/data copies and duplicate physical storage setup.
Health Safety Setup $10K
[#17] Initial health & safety / waste-disposal contract setup and onboarding.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.5M/yr
Staff Wages $900K/yr
[#6, #7] On-site security personnel (6 guards, wages + benefits/OT ~$350k) and research/curation staff (senior researcher, scientists, techs, DB/catalog specialist; total ~$550k).
Site Overhead $325K/yr
[#20] Pro-rated Area-29 overhead (administration, insurance, HR, facility management), assumed ~25–35% of recurring personnel & operations.
Logistics And Transport $60K/yr
[#13] Secure transfers, armored/secured vehicle costs, courier/MTF time, fuel and maintenance ($20k–$100k/yr; midpoint used).
Research And Monitoring $42K/yr
[#10, #15] Baseline instrument/advanced analysis budget (~$30k/yr) plus ongoing conservation/stabilization (~$12k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $40K/yr
[#16] Ongoing legal/cover-story retainer, payments to local authorities, liaison and PR suppression operations.
It And Data Hosting $30K/yr
[#12] Secure data hosting, server maintenance, software licenses, cybersecurity and audits ($15k–$60k/yr; midpoint used).
Facilities Maintenance $25K/yr
[#4] HVAC/energy operating cost to run climate control, lights, CCTV and basic site utilities (~$10k–$40k; midpoint used).
Security Systems Maintenance $25K/yr
[#5] Ongoing monitoring & maintenance contracts for CCTV, badge access, sensors and IDS ($10k–$40k/yr).
Emergency Reserve Replenishment $20K/yr
[#19] Annual replenishment of emergency kits and contingency reserve ($10k–$50k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $18K/yr
[#9] Ongoing lab consumables and PPE, packing consumables, disinfectants, reagents.
Training And Drills $15K/yr
[#18] Personnel training, memetic-safety briefings, periodic security audits and emergency drills.
Health And Safety Waste Disposal $8K/yr
[#17] Annual biohazard waste contracts, sharps disposal, and staff health screenings ($3k–$15k/yr).
Archival Storage $6K/yr
[#21] Offsite storage/maintenance fees for duplicated archives ($2k–$10k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.5M/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine operations and no major incidents.
normal operations scheduled research routine maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $1.6M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Small containment or discovery incident requiring additional analyses and short-term emergency response.
localized contamination discovered unexpected hazardous finding on an item minor security breach
🚨 Major Breach $3.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant security breach or discovery of hazardous/anomalous property requiring MTF mobilization, emergency containment, and major repairs.
large-scale theft or breach discovery of hazardous/memetic property requiring evacuation destructive incident to storage
🚨 Political Exposure $1.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Public exposure or local political/legal action requiring expensive PR, legal settlements, and intensified cover operations.
media exposure of recoveries local government/legal challenges leak of cataloged data
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#6] 24/7 coverage: 2guards/shift × 3 shifts (6 total).
Level-3 Senior Researcher 1 [#7] Senior researcher with authority to grant access and oversee curation.
Research Scientist 2 [#7] Scientific staff for analysis and curation.
Lab Technician 2 [#7] Technicians for sample prep and screening.
Administrative / Database Specialist 1 [#7, #11] Database/catalog specialist for inventory, tagging, and record-keeping.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed ranges for most line items and SCP-2069 is Safe/inert, so recurring staffing and overhead estimates are well-grounded; uncertainty remains in site-specific costs, sunk historical MTF costs, and probability of adverse events, so confidence is medium.
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