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SCP-2072 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2072
Expected annual
$915K
One-time setup
$1.0M
Annual recurring
$902K
Personnel
7.5
First-year startup costs are primarily land acquisition, site build-out, equipment (surveillance, generator, vehicles, freezers) and an operational contingency, totaling roughly $1.02M one-time; annual operations are dominated by staff wages, research, legal/cover operations and maintenance (~$900k/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.0M
Facilities $435K
[#6, #7, #8] Purchase of land/property (chosen purchase option), fencing/gate/lighting/site improvements, and small on-site operations building plus utilities/permitting.
Contingency Reserve $300K
[#24] One-time reserve fund allocated for political/security escalation, rapid response or relocation (midpoint of recommended reserve range).
Equipment $150K
[#4, #9, #10, #11, #18, #26, #27, #28] One-time purchases: sidearms/armory & initial training, generator, CCTV installation, opaque waterproof coverings (initial kit), -80°C freezer, initial surveillance/IT system, site vehicle purchase, initial PPE and mounting hardware.
Forensic Exhumation Per Event $32K
[#15] Per-exhumation event excavation and forensic exhumation costs (midpoint of provided range).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $30K
[#13, #17, #18] Initial amnestic stock and medical setup; initial lab setup/equipment for sample processing and handling (distinct from freezers), and initial consumables for genetic sample prep.
International Operation Per Event $30K
[#23] Per-operation travel/diplomatic/covert-operation budget for overseas coordination or sampling if required (midpoint).
Personnel Vetting Initial $12K
[#5] Initial background checks and psychological screening for ~10 personnel (midpoint estimate).
Forensic Genetic Testing Per Event $12K
[#17] Per-event forensic/genetic testing budget (midpoint covering STR profiling and deeper sequencing if required).
Biohazard Containment And Transport Per Event $10K
[#16] One-time per-event secure containment, sample packaging and secure transport costs (midpoint).
Biohazard Disposal Per Event $3K
[#19] Per-event biohazard waste disposal (midpoint).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $902K/yr
Staff Wages $620K/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #12] Salaries and benefits for continuous security coverage (4 FTE security with benefits), on-call site manager, part-time medic contract, and routine inspection/maintenance labor equivalents.
Research And Monitoring $125K/yr
[#13, #17, #20, #26] Ongoing anomaly study budget, data management, periodic genetic analysis cycles, and monitoring/analysis staff or contractor costs (midpoint of provided research range).
Cover Story And Legal $65K/yr
[#21, #22] Legal counsel, shell company/cover operations, liaison payments, PR/website/signage and complaints handling to maintain plausible front (combined midpoint of ranges).
Facilities Maintenance $28K/yr
[#7, #8, #9, #18, #25] Utilities, fence/gate/lighting repairs, generator fuel & maintenance, freezer monitoring/electricity, and groundskeeping/land maintenance.
Supplies And Consumables $25K/yr
[#4, #5, #11, #13, #19, #28, #30] Annual consumables: ammunition and weapon upkeep, vetting renewals, replacement/repair of coverings, amnestic replenishment, average biohazard disposal/year, PPE consumables, and periodic replacement due to climate/storm damage.
Logistics And Transport $14K/yr
[#16, #23, #27] Routine transport, sample courier security averages, vehicle fuel & maintenance, and occasional domestic travel for coordination.
Surveillance And Cybersecurity $10K/yr
[#10, #26] Ongoing video storage, secure backups, hardened servers, encryption and cybersecurity monitoring/audits.
Psychological Care $6K/yr
[#14] Counseling and post-amnestic monitoring for staff, midpoint of provided estimate.
Records Retention $6K/yr
[#29] Clerical costs, secure physical/digital archive storage and chain-of-custody recordkeeping.
Biohazard Waste Disposal $2K/yr
[#19] Annualized expectation for biohazard disposal outside of major event years (small average contribution).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $902K/yr
87.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine monitoring, maintenance, research and no exhumation or major incidents.
routine_operations no_exhumation_event
🚨 Exhumation Event $968K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$66K vs baseline
A scheduled/local exhumation occurs following a change in Montenegro's Prime Ministership requiring onsite excavation, containment and genetic testing.
change_in_Prime_Ministership scheduled_exhumation onsite_forensic_processing
🚨 International Operation $1.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$128K vs baseline
Exhumation/testing or comparative sampling requires overseas coordination or diplomatic operations (higher travel, liaison and legal costs).
need_for_foreign_sampling diplomatic_coordination
🚨 Political Escalation $1.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$398K vs baseline
Public exposure or targeted political interest forces emergency response, increased security posture, possible relocation or MTF deployment.
public_exposure legal_dispute targeted_interest_from_political_figures
👥 Personnel 7.5 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#1] Four FTEs to provide 24/7 armed on-site coverage (shift coverage, backups and supervision).
Site Manager / Administrator 1 [#2] Single on-call manager responsible for containment compliance and liaison duties.
Research Scientist 1 [#20] One research/analysis FTE (or equivalent contract) to manage anomaly study and data correlation.
Medical Officer / Medic 0.3 [#3] Part-time/contract medic for amnestic administration and periodic medical oversight (0.2–0.5 FTE range used).
Administrative Staff 1 [#29] Administrative/clerical support for records retention, scheduling and routine paperwork.
Site Operations Technician 0.2 [#12, #25] Small FTE-equivalent for routine checks, groundskeeping coordination and maintenance patrols (0.1–0.3 FTE equivalent).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of provided ranges and reasonable assumptions (purchase vs lease, event frequency). Uncertainty remains around land costs, political event frequency (exhumation triggers), and scale of diplomatic or escalation responses, justifying medium confidence.
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