SCP-2084 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2084
Expected annual
$1.7M
One-time setup
$2.3M
Annual recurring
$1.7M
Personnel
12
First-year one-time setup is estimated at $2,295,000 driven by property acquisition, tent/HVAC, lab setup, sensors and contingency funds; ongoing annual operations are estimated at $1,620,000/yr driven by staff wages, utilities, research consumables, and security.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.3M
Equipment $815K
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #8, #10, #11, #17, #22] Full-building rubber tent, negative-pressure HVAC/HEPA initial hardware, decon unit/trailer purchase, initial PPE stock, autoclave purchase, security camera/alarm installation, biosurveillance sensor systems, vehicle purchases, and response trailer equipment.
Facilities $660K
[#1, #2] Land acquisition/lease and site preparation/structural sealing (closing/title/searches, contractor fees, sealing windows/vents, exterior barriers, minor structural repairs).
Contingency Fund $500K
[#21] Upfront insurance/reserve/contingency fund to cover large incident remediation, covert payouts, or litigation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $250K
[#13] Onsite research & containment lab fit-out (BSL-2 enhanced suite: biosafety cabinets, incubators, freezers, centrifuges, basic sequencing/PCR hardware).
Legal One Time $25K
[#20] Initial legal/permit work, retainers, municipal negotiation costs for tent/temporary structure permits.
Training Initial $20K
[#18] Initial Level C PPE and decon training, SOP development, contractor trainers for hazmat and biosecurity.
Documentation Initial $15K
[#24] Secure servers, physical classified storage vault setup, initial chain-of-custody systems and backups.
Cover Story One Time $10K
[#19] One-time PR/cover creation (initial signage, contractor coordination to establish cover story).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.7M/yr
Staff Wages $988K/yr
[#9, #14] Security payroll (onsite guards, shift coverage) and research/scientific staffing (virologists/microbiologists, lab technicians, biosafety oversight). Includes benefits and overtime estimates.
Research And Monitoring $180K/yr
[#11, #15] Environmental sampling, biosurveillance calibration, sequencing runs, PCR reagents, ELISA kits, outsourced specialized testing, and reagent cold-chain costs.
Utilities $72K/yr
[#4, #12] Power, water, sewage management: continuous electrical draw for HVAC/HEPA, water heating for decon showers and effluent handling.
Facilities Maintenance $60K/yr
[#4, #5, #8, #10] HVAC and HEPA maintenance, decon unit upkeep, autoclave minor maintenance, and security-system hardware maintenance.
Incident Response On Call $60K/yr
[#22] On-call rapid response budget (hazmat medics overtime, mobilization, emergency transport, small trailer redeployments).
Biohazard Disposal $50K/yr
[#8] Contracted autoclave/incineration/disposal services for contaminated waste (alternative or supplement to onsite autoclave).
Contingency Replenishment $50K/yr
[#21] Annual replenishment allocation for contingency/reserve drawn down during incidents.
Cover Story And Legal $40K/yr
[#19, #20] Ongoing cover operations (contractor visits, signage) and recurring legal/liaison/counsel fees.
Medical Surveillance $40K/yr
[#16] Occupational health exams, post-entry monitoring, psychological support and incident medical response records.
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#17] Fuel, maintenance, insurance for vans, refrigerated/secure sample transport and cleared drivers.
Long Term Environmental Management $30K/yr
[#23] Ongoing environmental management to preserve antibody-supporting conditions (humidity control, pest/mold management, microbial ecology monitoring).
Supplies And Consumables $25K/yr
[#6, #7] Recurring PPE replacement (cartridges/facepieces) and field decon consumables (bleach, sporicides, biohazard bags, absorbents).
Miscellaneous Upkeep $25K/yr
[#25] Routine facility upkeep, landscaping, winterization, small-tools replacement and petty supplies.
Documentation And Records $10K/yr
[#24] Secure backups, classified storage fees, audit/compliance monitoring and recordkeeping costs.
Training And Drills $10K/yr
[#18] Annual refresher training, breach/medical drills, and contractor trainer fees.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.7M/yr
94.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, no containment incidents.
routine_operations scheduled_maintenance regular_research
🚨 Minor Incident $1.8M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Localized contamination or small breach requiring targeted remediation, overtime, and temporary increased disposal and testing.
localized_contamination PPE_breach small-scale_decontamination
🚨 Major Breach $3.1M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$1.4M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or discovery that requires building-level remediation, extended shutdown, large-scale waste disposal, legal/PR response and possible property remediation.
large_scale_contamination structural_remediation public_exposure
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#9] 24/7 guarded perimeter and access control; count includes supervisors/shift coverage as part of FTE total accounted in staff_wages.
Research Scientist 2 [#14] Virologist/microbiologist leads included in research staffing budget.
Laboratory Technician 2 [#14, #13] Lab technicians for sample handling and routine testing; costs included in research personnel wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, enabling medium confidence in category-level estimates; major uncertainties remain in property acquisition cost, sensor sophistication, and exact staffing mixes which drive wide ranges.
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